메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 37, Issue 4, 2009, Pages 1267-1276

The peak of oil production-Timings and market recognition

Author keywords

Energy markets; Oil prices; Peak oil production

Indexed keywords

CRUDE PETROLEUM; MARKETING; PETROLEUM TRANSPORTATION;

EID: 61749104581     PISSN: 03014215     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2008.11.016     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (96)

References (63)
  • 3
    • 2342541048 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • World oil production capacity model suggests output peak by 2006-07
    • Bakhtiari A. World oil production capacity model suggests output peak by 2006-07. Oil and Gas Journal 102 16 (2004) 18-19
    • (2004) Oil and Gas Journal , vol.102 , Issue.16 , pp. 18-19
    • Bakhtiari, A.1
  • 4
    • 61749101351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Online article
    • Bakhtiari, A., 2006. The last frontier. Online article. 〈www.sfu.ca/~asamsamb/sb.htm〉.
    • (2006) The last frontier
    • Bakhtiari, A.1
  • 5
    • 0034002774 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An analysis of US and world oil production patterns using Hubbert-style curves
    • Bartlett A. An analysis of US and world oil production patterns using Hubbert-style curves. Mathematical Geology 32 1 (2000) 1-17
    • (2000) Mathematical Geology , vol.32 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-17
    • Bartlett, A.1
  • 6
    • 63149165552 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Economic impacts of US liquid fuel mitigation options
    • National Energy Technology Laboratory, USA
    • Bezdek, R., Wendling, R., Hirsch, R., 2006. Economic impacts of US liquid fuel mitigation options. Report for the US Department of Energy, National Energy Technology Laboratory, USA.
    • (2006) Report for the US Department of Energy
    • Bezdek, R.1    Wendling, R.2    Hirsch, R.3
  • 7
    • 0041621812 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Industry urged to watch for regular oil production peaks, depletion signals
    • Campbell C. Industry urged to watch for regular oil production peaks, depletion signals. Oil and Gas Journal 101 27 (2003) 38-45
    • (2003) Oil and Gas Journal , vol.101 , Issue.27 , pp. 38-45
    • Campbell, C.1
  • 10
    • 58249092404 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • CERA/IHS Study, Cambridge Energy Research Associates, Inc., Cambridge, MA 〈http://www.cera.com/aspx/cda/public1/news/pressReleases/pressReleaseList.aspx〉
    • CERA A. No Evidence of Precipitous Fall on Horizon for World Oil Production: Global 4.5% Decline Rate Means No Near-Term Peak (2008), CERA/IHS Study, Cambridge Energy Research Associates, Inc., Cambridge, MA. http://www.cera.com/aspx/cda/public1/news/pressReleases/pressReleaseList.aspx 〈http://www.cera.com/aspx/cda/public1/news/pressReleases/pressReleaseList.aspx〉
    • (2008) No Evidence of Precipitous Fall on Horizon for World Oil Production: Global 4.5% Decline Rate Means No Near-Term Peak
    • CERA, A.1
  • 15
    • 2542468340 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • EIA, US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, USA
    • EIA, 2006. International energy outlook 2006. US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, USA.
    • (2006) International energy outlook 2006
  • 16
    • 0002753132 scopus 로고
    • Commodity futures prices: some evidence on forecast power, premiums and the theory of storage
    • Fama E., and French K. Commodity futures prices: some evidence on forecast power, premiums and the theory of storage. Journal of Business 60 1 (1987) 55-73
    • (1987) Journal of Business , vol.60 , Issue.1 , pp. 55-73
    • Fama, E.1    French, K.2
  • 19
    • 3442899119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting the limits to the availability and diversity of global conventional oil supply
    • Hallock J., Tharakan P., Hall C., Jefferson M., and Wu W. Forecasting the limits to the availability and diversity of global conventional oil supply. Energy 29 (2004) 1673-1696
    • (2004) Energy , vol.29 , pp. 1673-1696
    • Hallock, J.1    Tharakan, P.2    Hall, C.3    Jefferson, M.4    Wu, W.5
  • 20
    • 61749099537 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil futures and the future of oil
    • June 09
    • Hamilton, J.D., 2005. Oil futures and the future of oil. Econbrowser, June 09. 〈www.econbrowser.com〉.
    • (2005) Econbrowser
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 22
    • 61449316362 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Peaking of world oil production: Impacts, mitigation and risk management
    • National Energy Technology Laboratory, USA
    • Hirsch, R., Bezdek, R., Wendling, R., 2005. Peaking of world oil production: Impacts, mitigation and risk management. Report for the US Department of Energy, National Energy Technology Laboratory, USA.
    • (2005) Report for the US Department of Energy
    • Hirsch, R.1    Bezdek, R.2    Wendling, R.3
  • 23
    • 0000500321 scopus 로고
    • The Economics of Exhaustible Resources
    • Hotelling H. The Economics of Exhaustible Resources. Journal of Political Economy 39 2 (1931) 137-175
    • (1931) Journal of Political Economy , vol.39 , Issue.2 , pp. 137-175
    • Hotelling, H.1
  • 24
    • 0342576680 scopus 로고
    • Energy from fossil fuels
    • Hubbert M.K. Energy from fossil fuels. Science 109 2823 (1949) 103-109
    • (1949) Science , vol.109 , Issue.2823 , pp. 103-109
    • Hubbert, M.K.1
  • 25
    • 63149144776 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hubbert, M.K., 1956. Nuclear energy and fossil fuels. Publication Number 95, Shell Development Company, Houston, Texas, 1956. Presented on the Spring Meeting on Drilling and Production Practice, March 7-9, American Petroleum Institute, San Antonio, Texas.
    • Hubbert, M.K., 1956. Nuclear energy and fossil fuels. Publication Number 95, Shell Development Company, Houston, Texas, 1956. Presented on the Spring Meeting on Drilling and Production Practice, March 7-9, American Petroleum Institute, San Antonio, Texas.
  • 26
    • 0011425951 scopus 로고
    • The energy resources on the Earth
    • W. H. Freeman & Co., San Francisco
    • Hubbert MK. The energy resources on the Earth. Energy and Power, a Scientific American Book (1971), W. H. Freeman & Co., San Francisco 31-40
    • (1971) Energy and Power, a Scientific American Book , pp. 31-40
    • Hubbert, MK.1
  • 27
    • 0003512933 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International Energy Agency, Paris
    • IEA. World energy outlook 2000 (2000), International Energy Agency, Paris
    • (2000) World energy outlook 2000
    • IEA1
  • 28
    • 33846862975 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • International Energy Agency, Paris
    • IEA. World energy outlook 2006 (2006), International Energy Agency, Paris
    • (2006) World energy outlook 2006
    • IEA1
  • 30
    • 34147152351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Why the Peak Oil Theory Falls Down-Myths, Legends, and the Future of Oil
    • Cambridge, MA, USA
    • Jackson, P., 2006. Why the Peak Oil Theory Falls Down-Myths, Legends, and the Future of Oil. CERA, Client Services Cambridge, MA, USA.
    • (2006) CERA, Client Services
    • Jackson, P.1
  • 32
    • 27744491429 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Triple witching hour for oil arrives early in 2004-but, as yet, no real witches
    • April 7, Cambridge, MA, USA
    • Jackson, P., Esser, R., 2004. Triple witching hour for oil arrives early in 2004-but, as yet, no real witches. CERA, Client Services, April 7, Cambridge, MA, USA.
    • (2004) CERA, Client Services
    • Jackson, P.1    Esser, R.2
  • 33
    • 33846261503 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New technology for the comprehensive utilization of Chinese oil shale resources
    • Jiang X., Han X., and Cui Z. New technology for the comprehensive utilization of Chinese oil shale resources. Energy 32 (2007) 772-777
    • (2007) Energy , vol.32 , pp. 772-777
    • Jiang, X.1    Han, X.2    Cui, Z.3
  • 37
    • 61749101828 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The shape of oil to come
    • October 12, 〉〈http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3060
    • Koppelaar, R., 2007. The shape of oil to come. The Oil Drum 〈www.theoildrum.com〉, October 12. 〈http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3060〉.
    • (2007) The Oil Drum
    • Koppelaar, R.1
  • 38
    • 63149103773 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Krane, J., 2007. Texas oilman Pickens says global oil production at its peak. Associated Press Interview, March 1. 〈http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/03/01/africa/ME-FIN-Pickens-Oil-Peak.php〉.
    • Krane, J., 2007. Texas oilman Pickens says global oil production at its peak. Associated Press Interview, March 1. 〈http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/03/01/africa/ME-FIN-Pickens-Oil-Peak.php〉.
  • 39
    • 0037216669 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Will the natural gas supply meet the demand in North America?
    • Laherrere J. Will the natural gas supply meet the demand in North America?. International Journal of Global Energy Issues 19 1 (2003) 1-62
    • (2003) International Journal of Global Energy Issues , vol.19 , Issue.1 , pp. 1-62
    • Laherrere, J.1
  • 40
    • 13344285445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Seminar at the Swiss Institute of technology, Center of Energy Conversion, May 7, Zurich
    • Laherrere, J., 2003b. Future of oil supplies. Seminar at the Swiss Institute of technology, Center of Energy Conversion, May 7, Zurich. 〈http://www.oilcrisis.com/laherrere/zurich.pdf〉.
    • (2003) Future of oil supplies
    • Laherrere, J.1
  • 41
    • 61749101009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas-Ireland, July
    • Laherrere, J., 2007. Limits to Growth Updated. Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas-Ireland, July. 〈http://www.aspo-ireland.org/index.cfm?page=speakerArticles&rbId=9〉.
    • (2007) Limits to Growth Updated
    • Laherrere, J.1
  • 42
    • 84993839697 scopus 로고
    • Backwardation in oil futures markets: theory and empirical evidence
    • Litzenberger R., and Rabinowitz N. Backwardation in oil futures markets: theory and empirical evidence. Journal of Finance 50 5 (1995) 1517-1545
    • (1995) Journal of Finance , vol.50 , Issue.5 , pp. 1517-1545
    • Litzenberger, R.1    Rabinowitz, N.2
  • 43
    • 0042623808 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Petroleum resources pessimism debunked in Hubbert model and Hubbert modelers' assessment
    • Lynch M.C. Petroleum resources pessimism debunked in Hubbert model and Hubbert modelers' assessment. Oil and Gas Journal 101 27 (2003) 38-48
    • (2003) Oil and Gas Journal , vol.101 , Issue.27 , pp. 38-48
    • Lynch, M.C.1
  • 45
    • 61749095119 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil innovations pump new life into old wells
    • March 5
    • Mouawad, J., 2007. Oil innovations pump new life into old wells. New York Times, March 5.
    • (2007) New York Times
    • Mouawad, J.1
  • 46
    • 61749086120 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The impact of falling discovery on peak production
    • Nemesis., 2002. The impact of falling discovery on peak production. ASPO-ODAC Newsletter 15. 〈http://www.peakoil.net/IWOOD2002/Newsletter/Newsletter15.doc〉.
    • (2002) ASPO-ODAC Newsletter , vol.15
    • Nemesis1
  • 48
    • 61749094765 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Royal Dutch Shell plc, Netherland
    • Shell., 2008. Shell energy scenarios to 2050. Royal Dutch Shell plc, Netherland. 〈www.shell.com/scenarios〉.
    • (2008) Shell energy scenarios to 2050
  • 49
  • 51
    • 33645278884 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Oil field mega projects 2004
    • January 18-20
    • Skrebowski C. Oil field mega projects 2004. Petroleum Review (2004) January 18-20
    • (2004) Petroleum Review
    • Skrebowski, C.1
  • 52
    • 33745064351 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Prices holding steady, despite massive-planned capacity additions
    • April 28-31
    • Skrebowski C. Prices holding steady, despite massive-planned capacity additions. Petroleum Review (2006) April 28-31
    • (2006) Petroleum Review
    • Skrebowski, C.1
  • 53
    • 33847151802 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • New capacity fails to boost 2006 production-delays or depletion?
    • February 41-45
    • Skrebowski C. New capacity fails to boost 2006 production-delays or depletion?. Petroleum Review (2007) February 41-45
    • (2007) Petroleum Review
    • Skrebowski, C.1
  • 55
    • 63149086346 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Energy Institute, London (Presentation in the conference Oil depletion-Dealing with the issues, November)
    • Smith M.R. Modeling the oil supply gap (2006), Energy Institute, London (Presentation in the conference Oil depletion-Dealing with the issues, November)
    • (2006) Modeling the oil supply gap
    • Smith, M.R.1
  • 56
    • 61749100317 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Water in the Gas Tank
    • March 26, 〉〈http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2393
    • Stuart, S., 2007. Water in the Gas Tank. The Oil Drum 〈www.theoildrum.com〉, March 26. 〈http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2393〉.
    • (2007) The Oil Drum
    • Stuart, S.1
  • 57
    • 63149146891 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On the information content of oil future prices
    • Banco Central do Brasil, Brasil
    • Tabak, B.M., 2003. On the information content of oil future prices. Banco Central do Brasil 〈http://www.bcb.gov.br/〉, Working Paper Series 65, Brasil.
    • (2003) Working Paper Series , vol.65
    • Tabak, B.M.1
  • 58
    • 61749093325 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The State of the Energy Industry: Strengths, Realities and Solutions
    • Houston, Texas
    • Tillerson, R., 2007. The State of the Energy Industry: Strengths, Realities and Solutions. CERA Week 2007 Conference, Houston, Texas.
    • (2007) CERA Week 2007 Conference
    • Tillerson, R.1
  • 59
    • 24944437236 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • WEC, World Energy Council, London
    • WEC., 2003. Drivers of the energy scene. World Energy Council, London. 〈http://www.worldenergy.org〉.
    • (2003) Drivers of the energy scene
  • 60
    • 63149147588 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wood, J., Long, G., 2000. Long-term world oil supply (a resource base/production path analysis). Report from the US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, presented in the Meeting of the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, April 18, New Orleans, Louisiana. 〈http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/FTPROOT/presentations/long_term_supply/index.htm〉.
    • Wood, J., Long, G., 2000. Long-term world oil supply (a resource base/production path analysis). Report from the US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, presented in the Meeting of the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, April 18, New Orleans, Louisiana. 〈http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/FTPROOT/presentations/long_term_supply/index.htm〉.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.