Simulations of future snow cover and discharge in Alpine headwater catchments

Hydrological Processes

Volumn 23, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 95-108

  Bavay, Mathias ^a   Lehning, Michael ^a   Jonas, Tobias ^a   Löwe, Henning ^a  

^a WSL INSTITUTE FOR SNOW AND AVALANCHE RESEARCH SLF   (Switzerland)

Author keywords

Catchment hydrology; Climate change; Flooding; Flow regime; Snow melt; Water resources

Indexed keywords

CATCHMENTS; FLOW OF WATER; GEOLOGIC MODELS; RAIN; RUNOFF; SNOW; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; WATER; WATER RESOURCES;

ALPINE CATCHMENTS; CATCHMENT HYDROLOGY; CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS; CLIMATE SCENARIOS; FLOODING; FLOW REGIME; FUTURE CLIMATES; HEADWATER CATCHMENTS; HEAVY PRECIPITATIONS; HIGH-RESOLUTION SIMULATIONS; MODEL UNCERTAINTIES; RIVER DISCHARGES; SNOW AND ICES; SNOW COVERS; SNOW MELT; SURFACE PROCESS;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

ALPINE ENVIRONMENT; CATCHMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; DISCHARGE; FLOOD FORECASTING; HEADWATER; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE; PREDICTION; RIVER DISCHARGE; RUNOFF; SNOW COVER; SNOWMELT;

ALPS; EURASIA; EUROPE;

EID: 61749094926     PISSN: 08856087     EISSN: 10991085     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.7195     Document Type: Review

References (32)

1. Barnett TP, Adam JC, Lettenmaier DP. 2005. Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature 438: 303-309, Doi:10.1038/nature0414.
2. Bartelt PB, Lehning M. 2002. A physical SNOWPACK model for avalanche warning services. Part I: numerical model. Cold Regions Science And Technology 35/3: 123-145.
3. Christensen JH, Carter TR, Rummukainen M, Amanatidis G. 2007. Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: the PRUDENCE project. Climatic Change 81:1-6.
4. Fierz C, Riber P, Adams EA, Curran AR, Föhn PMB, Lehning M, Plüss C. 2003. Evaluation of snow-surface energy balance models in alpine terrain. Journal of Hydrology 282: 76-94.
5. Hantel M, Ehrendorfer M, Haslinger A. 2000. Climate sensitivity of snow cover duration in Austria. International Journal of Climatology 20(6): 615-640.
6. Hantel M, Hirtl-Wielke LM. 2007. Sensitivity of Alpine snow cover to European temperature. International Journal of Climatology 27(10): 1265-1275.
7. Hamlet AF, Mote PW, Clark MP, Lettenmaier DP. 2005. Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on snowpack trends in the western United States. Journal of Climate 18: 4545-4561.
8. Horton P, Schaefli B, Mezghani A, Hingray B, Musy A. 2006. Assessment of climate-change impacts on alpine discharge regimes with climate model uncertainty. Hydrological Processes 20: 2091-2109.
9. IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007 - The Physical Science Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
10. Jonas T, Rixen Ch, Sturm M, Stoeckli V. 2008. How alpine plant growth is linked to snow cover and climate variability. Journal of Geophysical Research 113: G03013, Doi:10.1029/2007JG000680.
11. Laternser M, Schneebeli M. 2003. Long-term snow climate trends of the Swiss Alps (1931-99). International Journal of Climatology 23(7): 733-750.
12. Lehning M, Bartelt PB, Brown RL, Fierz C, Satyawali P. 2002. A physical SNOWPACK model for the Swiss Avalanche Warning Services. Part III: Meteorological boundary conditions, Thin layer formation and evaluation. Cold Regions Science and Technology 35(3): 169-184.
13. Lehning M, Bartelt P, Brown RL, Russi T, Stöckli U, Zimmerli M. 1999. Snowpack Model calculations for avalanche warning based upon a new network of weather and snow stations. Cold Regions Science and Technology 30: 145-157.
14. Lehning M, Löwe H, Ryser M, Raderschall N. 2008. Inhomogeneous precipitation distribution and snow transport in steep terrain. Water Resources Research 44(7): W07404, Doi:10.1029/2007WR006545.
15. Lehning M, Volksch I, Gustafsson D, Nguyen TA, Stahli M, Zappa M. 2006. ALPINE3D: a detailed model of mountain surface processes and its application to snow hydrology. Hydrological Processes 20: 2111-2128.
16. López-Moreno JI, Goyette S, Beniston M, Alvera B. 2008. Sensitivity of the snow energy balance to climate change: Implications for the evolution of snowpack in Pyrenees in the 21st century. Climate Research 36(3): 203-217.
17. Luetschg M, Lehning M, Haeberli W. 2008. A sensitivity study of factors influencing warm/thin permafrost in the Alps. Journal of Glaciology 54: 696-704.
18. Magnusson J, Jonas T, Löpez-Moreno I, Lehning M. 2008. Potential impact of climate change on the snowpack in a partly-glaciated basin in central Switzerland. Sveinsson OGB, Gardarsson SM, Gunnlaugsdottir S (eds). Northern Hydrology and its global role. Proceedings of XXV Nordic Hydrological Conference. Nordic Association for Hydrology, Reykjavik, Iceland, 1: 67-81.
19. Marty C. 2008. Regime shift of snow days in Switzerland. Geophysical Research Letters 35: L12501, Doi:10.1029/2008GL033998.
20. Mote PW. 2006. Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. Journal of Climate 19(23): 6209-6220.
21. Michlmayr G, Lehning M, Holzmann H, Koboltschnig G, Mott R, Schöner W, Zappa M. 2008. Application of Alpine3D for glacier mass balance and runoff studies at Goldbergkees, Austria. Hydrological Processes 22(19): 3941-3949, Doi:10.1002/hyp.7102/.
22. Nakicenovic N Grübler A, McDonalds A. 1998. Global Energy Perspectives. Cambridge University Press; 299.
23. Nishimura K, Baba E, Hirashima H, Lehning M. 2005. Application of SNOWPACK model to snow avalanche warning in Niseko, Japan. Cold Regions Science and Technology 43: 62-70.
24. Raderschall N, Lehning M, Schr̃r C. 2008. Fine scale modelling of the boundary layer wind field over steep topography. Water Resources Research 44(9): W09425.
25. Rasmus S, Räisänen J, Lehning M. 2004. Estimating snow conditions in Finland in the late 21st century using the SNOWPACK model with regional climate scenario data as input. Annals of Glaciology 38: 238-244.
26. Shepard D. 1968. A two-dimensional interpolation function for irregularly-spaced data. Proceedings of the 1968 ACM National Conference, 517-524.
27. Singh P, Kumar N. 1997. Impact assessment of climate change on the hydrological response of a snow and glacier melt runoff-dominated Himalayan river. Journal of Hydrology 193: 316-350.
28. Scherrer SC, Appenzeller C, Laternser M. 2004. Trends in Swiss Alpine snow days: The role of local- and large-scale climate variability. Geophysical Research Letters 31(13): L13215.
29. Stahl K, Moore RD, Shea JM, Hutchinson D, Cannon AJ. 2008. Coupled modeling of glacier and streamflow response to future climate scenarios. Water Resources Research 44(2): W02422, Doi:10.1029/ 2007WR005956.
30. Stewart IT, Cayan DR, Dettinger MD. 2005. Changes toward earlier streamflow timing across western North America. Journal of Climate 18(8): 1136-1155.
31. Zappa M, Pos F, Strasser U, Warmerdam P, Gurtz J. 2003. Seasonal water balance of an Alpine catchment as evaluated by different methods for spatially distributed snowmelt modelling. Nordic Hydrology 34: 179-202.
32. Zemp M, Haeberli W, Hoelzle M, Paul F. 2006. Alpine glaciers to disappear within decades? Geophysical Research Letters 33: 4.