A Bayesian model for evaluating influenza antiviral efficacy in household studies with asymptomatic infections

Biostatistics

Volumn 10, Issue 2, 2009, Pages 390-403

  Yang, Yang ^a   Halloran, M Elizabeth ^a,b   Longini Jr , Ira M ^a,b  

^a Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON   (United States)

Author keywords

Asymptomatic; Bayesian; Influenza; Markov chain Monte Carlo

Indexed keywords

ANTIVIRUS AGENT; OSELTAMIVIR; VIRUS RNA;

ARTICLE; BAYES THEOREM; BIOLOGICAL MODEL; BLOOD; COMPARATIVE STUDY; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; FAMILY SIZE; HUMAN; INFLUENZA; METHODOLOGY; MONTE CARLO METHOD; PROBABILITY; RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIAL;

ANTIVIRAL AGENTS; BAYES THEOREM; FAMILY CHARACTERISTICS; HUMANS; INFLUENZA, HUMAN; MARKOV CHAINS; MODELS, BIOLOGICAL; MONTE CARLO METHOD; OSELTAMIVIR; RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIALS AS TOPIC; RNA, VIRAL;

EID: 61449248266     PISSN: 14654644     EISSN: 14684357     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxn045     Document Type: Article

References (15)

1. CAUCHEMEZ, S., CARRAT, F., VIBOUD, C., VALLERON, A. J. AND BOËLLE, P. Y. (2004). A Bayesian MCMC approach to study transmission of influenza: application to household longitudinal data. Statistics in Medicine 23, 3469-3487.
2. COWLING, B. J., FUNG, R. O. P., CHENG, C. K. Y., FANG, V. J., CHAN, K. H., SETO, W. H., YUNG, R., CHIU, B., LEE, P., UYEKI, T. M., HOUCK, P. M., PEIRIS, J. S. M. AND LEUNG, G. M. (2008). Preliminary findings of a randomized trial of non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent influenza transmission in households. Public Library of Science ONE, 3, e2101. doi:10.137/journal.pone.0002101.
3. FERGUSON, N. M., CUMMINGS, D. A., CAUCHEMEZ, S., FRASER, C., RILEY, S., MEEYAI, A., IAMSIRITHAWORN, S. AND BURKE, D. S. (2005). Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in SE Asia. Nature 437, 209-214.
4. GILBERT, P. B., BOSCH, R. J. AND HUDGENS, M. G. (2003). Sensitivity analysis for the assessment of causal vaccine effects on viral load in AIDS vaccine trials. Biometrics 59, 531-541.
5. HALLORAN, M. E., FERGUSON, N. M., EUBANK, S., LONGINI, I. M., CUMMINGS, D. A. T., LEWIS, B., XU, S., FRASER, C., VULLIKANTI, A., GERMANN, T. C. and others (2008). Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 105, 4639-4644.
6. HALLORAN, M. E., HAYDEN, F. G., YANG, Y., LONGINI, I. M. AND MONTO, A. S. (2007). Antiviral effects on influenza viral transmission and pathogenicity: observations from household-based trials. American Journal of Epidemiology 165, 212-221.
7. HALLORAN, M. E., STRUCHINER, C. J. AND LONGINI, I. M. (1997). Study designs for different efficacy and effectiveness aspects of vaccination. American Journal of Epidemiology 146, 789-803.
8. HAYDEN, F. G., BELSHE, R., VILLANUEVA, C., LANNO, R., HUGHES, C., SMALL, I., DUTKOWSKI, R., WARD, P. AND CARR, J. (2004). Management of influenza in households: a prospective, randomized comparison of oseltamivir treatment with or without postexposure prophylaxis. Journal of Infectious Diseases 189, 440-449.
9. HUDGENS, M. G. AND HALLORAN, M. E. (2006). Causal vaccine effects on binary postinfection outcomes. Journal of the American Statistical Association 101, 51-64.
10. LONGINI, I. M., NIZAM, A., XU, S., UNGCHUSAK, K., HANSHAOWORAKUL, W., CUMMINGS, D. A. T. AND HALLORAN, M. E. (2005). Containing pandemic influenza at the source. Science 309, 1083-1087.
11. MURPHY, B. R., RENNELS, M. B., DOUGLAS, R. G., BETTS, R. F., COUCH, R. B., CATE, T. R., CHANOCK, R. M., KENDAL, A. P., MAASSAB, H. F., SUWANAGOOL, S. and others (1980). Evaluation of influenza A/Hong Kong/123/77 (H1N1) ts-1A2 and cold-adapted recombinant viruses in seronegative adult volunteers. Infection and Immunity 29, 348-355.
12. O'NEILL, P., BALDING, D. J., BECKER, N. G., EEROLA, M. AND MOLLISON, D. (2000). Analyses of infectious disease data from household outbreaks by Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Applied Statistics 49, 517-542.
13. VIBOUD, C., BOËLLE, P.-Y., CAUCHEMEZ, S., LAVENU, A., VALLERON, A.-J., FLAHAULT, A. AND CARRAT, F. (2004). Risk factors of influenza transmission in households. British Journal of General Practice 54, 684-689.
14. WELLIVER, R., MONTO, A. S., CAREWICZ, O., SCHATTEMANET, E., HASSMAN, M., HEDRICK, J., JACKSON, H. C., HUSON, L., WARD, P. AND OXFORD, J. S. (2001). Effectiveness of oseltamivir in preventing influenza in household contacts: a randomized controlled trial. Journal of the American Medical Association 285, 748-754.
15. YANG, Y., LONGINI, I. M. AND HALLORAN, M. E. (2006). Design and evaluation of prophylactic interventions using infectious disease incidence data from close contact groups. Applied Statistics 55, 317-330.