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Volumn 323, Issue 5918, 2009, Pages 1183-

Predicting elections: Child's play!

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ELECTION; PREDICTION;

EID: 61349086075     PISSN: 00368075     EISSN: 10959203     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1126/science.1167748     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (310)

References (12)
  • 1
    • 0004281448 scopus 로고
    • B. Jowett, Transl, Collier, New York
    • Plato, The Republic, B. Jowett, Transl. (Collier, New York, 1901).
    • (1901) The Republic
    • Plato1
  • 3
    • 61349196371 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • D. K. Simonton, in Advances in Psychological Research, S. P. Shohov, Ed. (Nova Science, Hauppauge, NY, 2002), 14, pp. 143-153. Note, in Simonton's analysis, the standardized partial beta for relation between intelligence and presidential greatness is 0.29 (the zero-order correlation was 0.55); removing an endogenous predictor (i.e., the number of years in office) increases the beta of intelligence to 0.41.
    • D. K. Simonton, in Advances in Psychological Research, S. P. Shohov, Ed. (Nova Science, Hauppauge, NY, 2002), vol. 14, pp. 143-153. Note, in Simonton's analysis, the standardized partial beta for relation between intelligence and presidential greatness is 0.29 (the zero-order correlation was 0.55); removing an endogenous predictor (i.e., the number of years in office) increases the beta of intelligence to 0.41.
  • 4
    • 61349100911 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • If politicians were selected on ability, the correlation between ability and performance would be zero or very weak given the range restriction in ability
    • If politicians were selected on ability, the correlation between ability and performance would be zero or very weak (given the range restriction in ability).
  • 10
    • 61349202976 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • methods, and extended results are available as supporting material on Science
    • Materials, methods, and extended results are available as supporting material on Science Online.
    • Online
    • Materials1
  • 11
    • 61349182665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • 2(1) = 8.45, φ = 0.81, P < 0.01] election results.
    • 2(1) = 8.45, φ = 0.81, P < 0.01] election results.
  • 12
    • 61349088120 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • We thank our university rectorate for support and J. P. Bonardi, M. Brulhart, F. Butera, S. Faulk, U. Hoffrage, P. Jacquart, F. Krings, R. Lalive, G. Palazzo, B. Sattler, C. Zehnder, and the OB group for helpful comments
    • We thank our university rectorate for support and J. P. Bonardi, M. Brulhart, F. Butera, S. Faulk, U. Hoffrage, P. Jacquart, F. Krings, R. Lalive, G. Palazzo, B. Sattler, C. Zehnder, and the OB group for helpful comments.


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.