Estimating earthquake magnitude with early arrivals: A test using dynamic and kinematic models

Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

Volumn 99, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 1-23

  Murphy, Shane ^a,c   Nielsen, S ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NAPLES FEDERICO II   (Italy)

^b ISTITUTO NAZIONALE DI GEOFISICA E VULCANOLOGIA   (Italy)

^c UNIVERSITY COLLEGE DUBLIN   (Ireland)

Author keywords

Additional synthetic kinematic catalogs

Indexed keywords

EARTHQUAKES;

ADDITIONAL SYNTHETIC KINEMATIC CATALOGS; EARLY ARRIVALS; EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDES; EARTHQUAKE SOURCES; ELASTIC ENERGIES; ISOCHRONES; KINEMATIC ANALYSIS; KINEMATIC MODELS; NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS; PEAK AMPLITUDES; RADIATING SOURCES; SATURATION LEVELS; SCALING RELATIONS; SEISMOLOGICAL DATUM;

KINEMATICS;

ASPERITY; EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE; EARTHQUAKE RUPTURE; KINEMATICS; NUMERICAL MODEL; SEISMIC SOURCE; SEISMOLOGY;

EID: 60649092355     PISSN: 00371106     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1785/0120070246     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Aki, K. (1967). Scaling law of seismic spectrum, J. Geophys. Res. 72, no. 4, 1217-1231.
2. Aki, K., and P. G. Richards (2002). Quantitative Seismology, Second Ed., University Science Books, Sausalito, California.
3. Allen, R. M., and H. Kanamori (2003). The potential for earthquake early warning in southern California, Science 300, 786-789.
4. Andrews, D. J. (1976). Rupture propagation with finite stress in antiplane strain, J. Geophys. Res. 81, no. 20, 3575-3582.
5. Andrews, D. J. (1980). A stochastic fault model 1. Static case, J. Geophys. Res. 85, no. B7, 3867-3877.
6. Bernard, P., and R. Madariaga (1984). A new asymptotic method for the modeling of near-field accelerograms, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 74, 539-557.
7. Cochard, A., and R. Madariaga (1996). Complexity of seismicity due to highly rate dependent friction, J. Geophys. Res. 101, no. B11, 25,321-25,336.
8. Cua, G., and T. Heaton (2007). The virtual seismologist (vs) method: a bayesian approach to earthquake early warning, in Earthquake Early Warning Systems, P. Gasparini, G. Manfredi and J. Zschau (Editors), Springer, Heidelberg, Chap. 7, 97-132.
9. Das, S., and B. V. Kostrov (1983). Breaking of a single asperity: rupture process and seismic radiation, J. Geophys. Res. 88, no. B5, 4277-4288.
10. Dunham, E. M., P. Favreau, and J. M. Carlson (2003). A supershear transition mechanism for cracks, Science 299, 1557-1559.
11. Ellsworth, W. L., and G. C. Beroza (1995). Seismic evidence for an earthquake nucleation phase, Science 268, 851-855.
12. Festa, G., and S. Nielsen (2003). ML absorbing boundaries, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 93, 891-903.
13. Hanks, T. C., and H. Kanamori (1979). A moment-magnitude scale, J. Geophys. Res. 84, 2348-2352.
14. Heaton, T. H. (1990). Evidence for and implications of self-healing pulses of slip in earthquake rupture, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter. 64, 1-20.
15. Herrero, A., and P. Bernard (1994). A kinematic self-similar rupture process for earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 84, no. 4, 1216-1228.
16. Kostrov, B. V. (1964). Self-similar problems of propagation of shear cracks, J. Appl. Math. Mech. 28, 1077-1087.
17. Madariaga, R. (1976). Dynamics of an expanding circular fault, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 66, no. 3, 639-666.
18. Mai, P. M., P. Spudich, and J. Boatwright (2005). Hypocenter locations in finite-source rupture models, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 95, 965-980.
19. Nakamura, Y., and J. Saita (2007). Uredas, the earthquake warning system: today and tomorrow, in Earthquake Early Warning Systems, Paolo Gasparini, Gaetano Manfredi and Jochen Zschau (Editors), Springer, New York, Chap. 13, 249-282.
20. Nielsen, S. (2007). Can earthquake size be controlled by the initial seconds of rupture?, in Earthquake Early Warning Systems, Paolo Gasparini, Gaetano Manfredi and Jochen Zschau (Editors), Springer, New York, Chap. 2, 9-20.
21. Nielsen, S. B., and J. M. Carlson (2000). Rupture pulse characterization: self-healing, self-similar, expanding solutions in a continuum model of fault dynamic, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 90, no. 6, 1480-1497.
22. Nielsen, S., and R. Madariaga (2003). On the self-healing fracture model, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 93, no. 6, 2375-2388.
23. Nielsen, S. B., and K. B. Olsen (2000). Constraints on stress and friction from dynamic rupture models of the 1994 Northridge, California earthquake, Pure Appl. Geophys. 157, 2029-2046.
24. Olson, E. L., and R. M. Allen (2005). The deterministic nature of earthquake rupture, Nature 438, 212-215.
25. Page, M. T., E. M. Dunham, and J. M. Carlson (2005). Distinguishing barriers and asperities in near-source ground motion, J. Geophys. Res. 110, B11302, doi 10.1029/2005JB003736.
26. Ripperger, J., J.-P. Ampuero, P. M. Mai, and D. Giardini (2007). Earthquake source characteristics from dynamic rupture with constrained stochastic fault stress, J. Geophys. Res. 112, B04311, doi 10.1029/2006JB004515.
27. Rydelek, P., and S. Horiuchi (2006). Is earthquake rupture deterministic?, Nature 442, E5-E6, doi 10.1038/nature04963
28. Scherbaum, F., and M.-P. Bouin (1997). Fir filter effects and nucleation phases, Geophys. J. Int. 130, 661-668.
29. Scholz, C. H. (1982). Scaling relationships for strong ground motion in large earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 72, no. 6, 1903-1909.
30. Spudich, P., and L. N. Frazer (1984). Use of ray theory to calculate highfrequency radiation from earthquake sources having spatially variable rupture velocity and stress drop, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 74, 2061-2082.
31. Stein, S., and M. Wysession (2003). An Introduction to Seismology, Earthquakes, and Earth Structure, Blackwell, Oxford.
32. Weber, E., G. Iannaccone, A. Zollo, A. Bobbio, L. Cantore, M. Corciulo, V. Convertito, M. Di Crosta, L. Elia, A. Emolo, C. Martino, A. Romeo, and C. Satriano (2007). Development and testing of an advanced monitoring infrastructure (isnet) for seismic early-warning applications in the campania region of southern italy, in Earthquake Early Warning System, Paolo Gasparini, Gaetano Manfredi and Jochen Zschau (Editors), Springer, Heidelberg, Chap. 16, 325-342.
33. Wesnousky, S. G. (2006). Predicting the endpoints of earthquake ruptures, Nature 444, 358-360, doi 10.1038/nature05275.
34. Wu, Y.-M., and H. Kanamori (2005). Experiment on an onsite early warning method for the taiwan early warning system, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 95, no. 1, 347-353.
35. Wu, Y.-M., and L. Zhao (2006). Magnitude estimation using the first three seconds P-wave amplitude in earthquake early warning, Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L16312, doi 10.1029/2006GL026871.
36. Wu, Y.-M., H.-Y. Yen, L. Zhao, B.-S. Huang, and W.-T. Liang (2006). Magnitude determination using initial p waves: a single-station approach, Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L05306, doi 10.1029/ 2005GL025395.
37. Zheng, G., and J. R. Rice (1998). Conditions under which velocityweakening friction allows a self-healing versus a cracklike mode of rupture, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 88, no. 6, 1466-1483.
38. Zollo, A., M. Lancieri, and S. Nielsen (2006). Earthquake magnitude estimation from peak amplitudes of very early seismic signals on strong motion records, Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L23312, doi 10.1029/2006GL027795.
39. Zollo, A., M. Lancieri, and S. Nielsen (2007). Reply to comment by P. Reydelek et al on "Earthquake magnitude estimation from peak amplitudes of very early seismic signals on strong motion records", Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L20303, doi 10.1029/2007GL030560.