The evolution of giant oil field production behavior

Natural Resources Research

Volumn 18, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 39-56

  Höök, Mikael ^a   Söderbergh, Bengt ^a   Jakobsson, Kristofer ^a   Aleklett, Kjell ^a  

^a UPPSALA UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

Author keywords

Depletion; Field behavior; Giant oil fields; Peak oil

Indexed keywords

EID: 60349099694     PISSN: 15207439     EISSN: 15738981     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11053-009-9087-z     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. AAPG, 1970, Geology of giant petroleum fields: Memoir 14, 575 p.
2. AAPG, 1980, Giant oil and gas fields of the decade 1968-1978: Memoir 30, 596 p.
3. AAPG, 1992, Giant oil and gas fields of the decade 1978-1988: Memoir 54, 526 p.
4. AAPG, 2003, Giant oil and gas fields of the decade 1990-1999: Memoir 78, 340 p.
5. AAPG, 2005, Saudi Arabia's Ghawar field-the elephant of all elephants: AAPG Explorer, no. 1, http://www.aapg.org/explorer/2005/01jan/ghawar.cfm
6. Arab Oil & Gas Directory, 1980-2008, Arab Oil & Gas Directory 2008 and previous editions: Annual publication by the Arab Oil & Gas Research Center, See also: http://www.arab-oil-gas.com/index1.htm.
7. J. J. Arps 1945 Analysis of decline curves Trans. Am. Inst. Mining, Metall. Petrol. Engr. 160 228 247
8. T. Babadagli 2007 Development of mature oil fields-a review J. Petrol. Sci. Eng. 57 3-4 221 246
9. R. Bentley S. A. Mannan S. J. Wheeler 2007 Assessing the date of the global oil peak: the need to use 2P reserves Energy Policy 35 12 6364 6382
10. CERA, 2007, Finding the critical numbers: what are the real decline rates for global oil production?: Private report, 21 p.
11. Campbell, C., and Laherrère, J., 1998, The end of cheap oil: Scientific American, March 1998.
12. Campbell, C. J., and Sivertsson, A., 2003, Updating the depletion model, in Proceedings of the Second International Workshop on Oil Depletion, Paris, France, 26-27 May 2003, 16 p. See also: http://www.peakoil.net/iwood2003/paper/ CampbellPaper.doc.
13. Campbell, C. J., and Heapes, S., 2008, An atlas of oil and gas depletion: Jeremy Mills Publishing, Lindley, 396 p.
14. Doublet, L. E., Pande, P. K., McCollom, T. J., and Blasingame, T. A., 1994, Decline curve analysis using type curves-analysis of oil well production data using material balance time: application to field cases, Society of Petroleum Engineers Paper Presented at the International Petroleum Conference and Exhibition of Mexico, 10-13 October 1994, Veracruz, Mexico, SPE paper 28688-MS, 24 p.
15. M. V. Feygin V. M. Ryzhik 2001 Estimation of the oil reserves requirement to meet a given production level-mathematical modeling Nat. Resour. Res. 10 1 51 58
16. M. J. Fetkovich 1980 Decline curve analysis using type curves J. Petrol. Technol. 32 6 1065 1077
17. J. Gowdy R. Juliá 2007 Technology and petroleum exhaustion: evidence from two mega-oilfields Energy 32 8 1448 1454
18. R. Hirsch 2008 Mitigation of maximum world oil production: shortage scenarios Energy Policy 36 2 881 889
19. Hubbert, M. K., 1956, Nuclear energy and the fossil fuels, Publication no. 95: Shell Development Company, Houston, Texas, 40 p. See also: http://www.hubbertpeak.com/Hubbert/1956/1956.pdf.
20. R. Hurst 1934 Unsteady flow of fluids in oil reservoirs J. Appl. Phys. 5 20 20 30
21. M. Höök K. Aleklett 2008 A decline rate study of Norwegian oil production Energy Policy 36 11 4262 4271
22. Höök, M., Hirsch, R., and Aleklett, K., 2008, Giant oil field decline rates and their influence on world oil production: Global Energy Systems, report GES PP-09:2, see also: http://www.tsl.uu.se/uhdsg/Publications/ GOF-decline-Article.pdf.
23. IEA, 2008, World Energy Outlook 2008: see also: http://www. worldenergyoutlook.org/.
24. Jakobsson, K., Söderbergh, B., Höök, M., and Aleklett, K., 2008, The maximum depletion rate model for forecasting oil production: its uses and misuses: Global Energy Systems, report PP-09:1, see also: http://www.tsl.uu.se/uhdsg/Publications/MDRM-Article.pdf.
25. K. H. James 2000 The Venezuelan hydrocarbon habitat, part 2: hydrocarbon occurrences and generated-accumulated volumes J. Petrol. Geol. 23 2 133 164
26. M. C. Lynch 2003 Petroleum resources pessimism debunked in Hubbert model and Hubbert modeler's assumptions Oil Gas J. 101 27 38 47
27. R. K. Mueller D. J. Eggert H. S. Swanson 1981 Petroleum decline analysis using time series Energy Econ. 3 4 256 267
28. Mäkivierikko, A., 2007, Russian oil-a depletion rate model estimate of the future Russian oil production and export: Diploma thesis from Uppsala University, see also: http://www.tsl.uu.se/uhdsg/Publications/Aram-Thesis.pdf.
29. Nehring, R., 1978, Giant oil fields and world oil resources: Report prepared by the RAND Corporation for the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), see also: http://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/2006/R2284.pdf.
30. Robelius, F., 2007, Giant oil fields-the highway to oil: giant oil fields and their importance for future oil production: Doctoral thesis from Uppsala University, 156 p. See also: http://publications.uu.se/abstract.xsql?dbid=7625.
31. Saudi-Aramco, 2004, Fifty-year crude oil supply scenarios: Saudi Aramco's perspective. Presented by Mahmoud M. Abdul Baqi and Nansen G. Saleri, 24 February 2004 at Center for Strategic and International Studies, Washington, USA. Available from: http://www.csis.org/media/csis/events/040224-baqiandsaleri. pdf.
32. Simmons, M., 2002, The world's giant oilfields: White paper, 9 January 2002, see also: http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/files/giantoilfields.pdf.
33. Simmons, M., 2005, Twilight in the desert: the coming Saudi oil shock and the world economy: Wiley, New york, 448 p.
34. A. F. van Everdingen W. Hurst 1949 The application of the Laplace transformation to flow problems in reservoirs Trans. Am. Inst. Mining, Metall. Petrol. Engr. 186 305 324
35. Zittel, W., 2001, Analysis of the UK oil production. Contribution to the Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas (ASPO), see also: http://www.peakoil.net/Publications/06-Analysis-of-UK-oil-production.pdf.