메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 15, Issue 6, 2008, Pages 1013-1022

An assessment of Bayesian bias estimator for numerical weather prediction

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ASSESSMENT METHOD; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; FORECASTING METHOD; NUMERICAL METHOD; STATISTICAL ANALYSIS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 59649123865     PISSN: 10235809     EISSN: 16077946     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.5194/npg-15-1013-2008     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (2)

References (22)
  • 5
    • 85036896974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Cui, B., Toth, Z., Zhu, Y, Hou, D., and Beauregard, S.: Statistical post-processing of operational and CDC hindcast ensembles, Preprints, 21st Conference on weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction. Washington DC, 1-5 Aug 2005, Amer. Meteor. Soc, 12B.2, 2005.
    • Cui, B., Toth, Z., Zhu, Y, Hou, D., and Beauregard, S.: Statistical post-processing of operational and CDC hindcast ensembles, Preprints, 21st Conference on weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction. Washington DC, 1-5 Aug 2005, Amer. Meteor. Soc, 12B.2, 2005.
  • 7
    • 0001737050 scopus 로고
    • The use of model output statistics (MOS) in Objective weather forecasting
    • Glahn, H. R. and Lowry, D. A.: The use of model output statistics (MOS) in Objective weather forecasting, J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 1202-1211, 1972.
    • (1972) J. Appl. Meteor , vol.11 , pp. 1202-1211
    • Glahn, H.R.1    Lowry, D.A.2
  • 8
    • 0001904039 scopus 로고
    • The future of Time Series: Learning and Understanding
    • edited by: Weigend, A. S. and Gershenfeld, N. A, Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Reading, MA
    • Gershenfeld, N. A. and Weigend, A. S.: The future of Time Series: Learning and Understanding. Time Series Prediction, edited by: Weigend, A. S. and Gershenfeld, N. A., Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Reading, MA., 1-70, 1994.
    • (1994) Time Series Prediction , pp. 1-70
    • Gershenfeld, N.A.1    Weigend, A.S.2
  • 9
    • 20444484849 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation
    • Gneiting, T., Raftery, A. E., Westveld III, A. H., and Goldman, T.: Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation, Mon. Weather Rev., 133, 1098-1118, 2005
    • (2005) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.133 , pp. 1098-1118
    • Gneiting, T.1    Raftery, A.E.2    Westveld III, A.H.3    Goldman, T.4
  • 10
    • 1642306852 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ensemble Reforecasting: Improving Medium-Range Forecast Skill Using Retrospective Forecast
    • Hamill, T. M., Whitaker, J., and Wei, X.: Ensemble Reforecasting: Improving Medium-Range Forecast Skill Using Retrospective Forecast, Mon. Weather Rev., 132, 1434-1447, 2004.
    • (2004) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.132 , pp. 1434-1447
    • Hamill, T.M.1    Whitaker, J.2    Wei, X.3
  • 11
    • 0035127191 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Objective verification of the SAMEX'98 ensemble forecasts
    • Hou, D., Kalnay, E., and Drorgemeier, K. K.: Objective verification of the SAMEX'98 ensemble forecasts, Mon. Weather Rev., 129, 73-91, 2001.
    • (2001) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.129 , pp. 73-91
    • Hou, D.1    Kalnay, E.2    Drorgemeier, K.K.3
  • 12
    • 0029768948 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G., Woollen, J., Zhu, Y, Leetmaa, A., Reynolds, B., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Higgins, W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K. C, Ropelewski, C, Wang, J., Jenne, R., and Joseph, D.: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project, B. Am. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471, 1996.
    • Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., Iredell, M., Saha, S., White, G., Woollen, J., Zhu, Y, Leetmaa, A., Reynolds, B., Chelliah, M., Ebisuzaki, W., Higgins, W., Janowiak, J., Mo, K. C, Ropelewski, C, Wang, J., Jenne, R., and Joseph, D.: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project, B. Am. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471, 1996.
  • 13
    • 0020971827 scopus 로고
    • Why Should a Forecaster and a Decision Maker Use Bayes Theorem
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.: Why Should a Forecaster and a Decision Maker Use Bayes Theorem, Water Resour. Res. 19, 327-336, 1983.
    • (1983) Water Resour. Res , vol.19 , pp. 327-336
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.1
  • 14
    • 0026476272 scopus 로고
    • Bayesian correlation Score: A utilitarian measure of forecast skill
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.: Bayesian correlation Score: A utilitarian measure of forecast skill, Mon. Weather Rev., 19, 208-219, 1992.
    • (1992) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.19 , pp. 208-219
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.1
  • 15
    • 0033177871 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian forecasting via deterministic models
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.: Bayesian forecasting via deterministic models. Risk Analysis, 19, 739-749, 1999.
    • (1999) Risk Analysis , vol.19 , pp. 739-749
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.1
  • 16
    • 0024794531 scopus 로고
    • Skill Scores and Correlation Coefficients in Model Verification
    • Murphy, A. H. and Epstein, E. S.: Skill Scores and Correlation Coefficients in Model Verification, Mon. Weather Rev., 117, 572-581, 1989.
    • (1989) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.117 , pp. 572-581
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Epstein, E.S.2
  • 18
    • 34248642590 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation and numerical forecasting with imperfect models: The mapping paradigm
    • Toth, Z. and Pena, M.: Data assimilation and numerical forecasting with imperfect models: The mapping paradigm, Physics D., 230, 146-158, 2007.
    • (2007) Physics D , vol.230 , pp. 146-158
    • Toth, Z.1    Pena, M.2
  • 19
    • 0002718318 scopus 로고
    • Approximation tests of correlation in time series
    • Quenouille, M.: Approximation tests of correlation in time series, J. R. Statist. Soc. B., 11, 18-84, 1949.
    • (1949) J. R. Statist. Soc. B , vol.11 , pp. 18-84
    • Quenouille, M.1
  • 22
    • 0021552712 scopus 로고
    • Australian Experimental Model Output Statistics Forecast of Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperature
    • Woodcock, F.: Australian Experimental Model Output Statistics Forecast of Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperature, Mon. Weather Rev., 112, 2112-2121, 1984.
    • (1984) Mon. Weather Rev , vol.112 , pp. 2112-2121
    • Woodcock, F.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.