A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for Western Australia

Pure and Applied Geophysics

Volumn 165, Issue 11-12, 2008, Pages 2059-2088

  Burbidge, David ^a   Cummins, Phil R ^a   Mleczko, Richard ^a   Thio, Hong Kie ^b  

^a GEOSCIENCE AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

^b URS CORPORATION   (United States)

Author keywords

Earthquake recurrence; Probabilistic hazard assessment; Subduction zone; Sunda Arc; Tsunami; Western Australia

Indexed keywords

CONFERENCE PROCEEDING; EARTHQUAKE RECURRENCE; HAZARD ASSESSMENT; MITIGATION; PROBABILITY; SUBDUCTION ZONE; TSUNAMI EVENT;

ASIA; AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA; EURASIA; GREATER SUNDA ISLANDS; INDONESIAN SEAS; JAVA; LESSER SUNDA ISLANDS; MALAY ARCHIPELAGO; PACIFIC OCEAN; SOUTHEAST ASIA; SUMBA; SUNDA ARC; SUNDA ISLES; WESTERN AUSTRALIA;

EID: 59549095637     PISSN: 00334553     EISSN: 14209136     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-008-0421-x     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (54)

1. w 7.9 earthquake south of Sumatra: Deformation in the India-Australia Plate, J. Geophys. Res. 108, B1, 2018, doi:10.1029/2001JB000674.
2. ACHARYYA, S. K. (1998), Break-up of the greater Indo-Australian continent and accretion of blocks framing south and east Asia, J. Geodynamic 26, 149-170.
3. BEAUREGARD, J. O. (2001), Explosive rhyodacitic volcanism: The evolution and frequency of pre-1883 eruptions at Krakatau volcano, Indonesia, Ph.d. Thesis, University of Rhode Island, 358 pp.
4. BIRD, P. (2003). An updated digital model of plate boundaries Geochem. Geophys. Geosys., 4, 1027, doi:10.1029/2001GC000252.
5. BIRD, P. and KAGAN, Y. Y. (2004), Plate-tectonic analysis of shallow seismicity: Apparent boundary width, beta, corner magnitude, coupled lithosphere thickness, and coupling in seven tectonic settings Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 94, 2380-2399.
6. BLAND, P. A. and ARTEMIEVA, N. A. (2003), Efficient disruption of small asteroids in Earth's atmosphere, Nature 424 288-290.
7. BOCK, Y., PRAWIRODIRDJO, L., GENRICH, J. F., STEVENS, C. W., MCCAFFREY, R., SUBARYA, C., PUNTODEWO, S. S. O., and CALAIS, E. (2003), Crustal motion in Indonesia from Global Positioning System measurements, J. Geophys. Res. 108, 2367.
8. BURBIDGE, D. R. and BRAUN, J. (1998), Analogue models of obliquely convergent continental plate boundaries, J. Geophys. Res. 103, B7, 15,221-15,237.
9. BURBIDGE, D. and CUMMINS, P. (2007), Assessing the hazard to western Australia from tsunami generated by earthquakes along the Sunda Arc, Natural Hazards 43(3), 319-331.
10. CHAMOT-ROOKE, N., JESTIN, F., DE VOOGD, B. and PHEDRE WORKING GROUP (1993), Intraplate shortening in the central Indian Ocean determined from a 2100-km-long north-south deep seismic reflection profile, Geology 21, 1043-1046.
11. CHESLEY, S. R. and WARD, S. N. (2006), A Quantitative assessment of the human and economic hazard from Impact-generated Tsunami, Natural Hazards 38, 355-374.
12. CORNELL, C.A. (1968), Engineering seismic risk analysis, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 58, 1583-1606.
13. CRUCIANI, C., CARMINATI, E., and DOGLIONI, C. (2005), Slab dip vs. lithosphere age: No direct function, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 238, 298-310.
14. CUMMINS, P. R. (2007), The potential for giant tsunamigenic earthquakes in the northern Bay of Bengal, Nature. 229, 75-78.
15. DOMINEY-HOWES, D., CUMMINS, P., and BURBIDGE, D. (2006), Historic records of teletsunami in the Indian Ocean and insights from numerical modelling, Natural Hazards Doi: 10.1007/s11069-006-9042-9.
16. GEIST, E. L. (2002), Complex earthquake rupture and local tsunamis, J. Geophys. Res. 107, 5, 2-1.
17. GEIST, E. L. and PARSONS, T. (2006), Probabilistic analysis of tsunami hazards, Natural Hazards 37, 277-314.
18. GUSIAKOV, V. K. (2005), Integrated tsunami database for the world ocean, version 5.15, Tsunami Laboratory, ICMMG SD RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia.
19. HYNDMAN, R. D. and WANG, K. (1993), Thermal constraints on the zone of major thrust earthquake failure: The Cascadia subduction zone, J. Geophys. Res. 98, 2039-2060.
20. HARMSEN, S. C. and FRANKEL, A. D. (2001), Geographic deaggregation of seismic hazard in the Untied States, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 91, 13-26.
21. HORRILLO, J., KOWALIK, Z. and SHIGIHARA, Y. (2006), Wave dispersion study in the Indian Ocean-Tsunami of December 26, 2004, Marine Geodesy 29, 149-166.
22. JENKINS, C. J. and KEENE, J. B. (1992), Submarine slope failures of the southeast Australian continental slope: A thinly sedimented margin, Deep-Sea Research 39, 121-136.
23. KAGAN, Y. Y. (2002), Seismic moment distribution revisited: II. Moment conservation principle, Geophys. J. Int. 149, 731-754.
24. KOPP, H. (2002), BSR occurrence along the Sunda margin: Evidence from seismic data, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 197, 225-235.
25. KORYCANSKY, D. G. and LYNETT, P. J. (2005), Offshore breaking of impact tsunami: The Van Dorn effect revisited, Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, 1-4.
26. KRAMER, S. L., Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering (Prentice Hall, New Jersey, 1996).
27. LASKE, G. and MASTERS, G. (1997), A Global Digital Map of Sediment Thickness, EOS Trans. AGU 78, F483.
28. LIU, Y., SANTOS, A., WANG, S. M., SHI, Y., LIU, H., and YUEN, D. A. (2007), Tsunami hazards along Chinese coast from potential earthquakes in South China Sea, Phys. Earth Planet. Int. 163, 233-244.
29. MCCAFFREY, R. (1988), Active tectonics of the eastern Sunda and Banda Arcs, J. Geophys. Res. 93, B12, 15,163-15,182.
30. MCGUIRE, R. K. (1976), FORTRAN computer program for seismic risk analysis, U. S. Geolog. Survey Open File Report 76-67, pp. 90.
31. MELOSH, H. J. (2003), Impact-generated tsunamis: An over-rated hazard. Lunar Planet. Sci. Conf. 34, Abstract 2013.
32. NATAWIDJAJA, D. H., SIEH, K., CHLIEH, M., GALETZKA, J., SUWARGADI, B. W., CHENG, H., EDWARDS, R. L., AVOUAC, J.-P., and WARD, S. N. (2006), Source parameters of the great Sumatran megathrust earthquakes of 1797 and 1833 inferred from coral microatolls, J. Geophys. Res. 111, doi:10.1029/2005JB004025.
33. NEWCOMB, K. R. and MCCANN, W. R. (1987), Seismic history and seismotectonics of the Sunda Arc, J. Geophys. Res. 92, 421-439.
34. NISHENKO, S. P. (1991), Circum-Pacific seismic potential: 1989-1999, Pure Appl. Geophys. 135, 169-259.
35. NOTT, J. and BRYANT, E. (2003), Extreme marine inundations (tsunamis?) of coastal western Australia, J. Geology 111, 691-706.
36. OKAL, E. A. and REYMOND, D. (2003), The mechanism of great Banda Sea earthquake of 1 February 1938: Applying the method of preliminary determination of focal mechanism to a historical event, Earth and Planet. Sci. Lett. 216, 1-15.
37. OLESKEVICH, D. A., HYNDMAN, R. D., and WANG, K. (1999), The up-dip and down-dip limits to great subduction zone earthquakes: Thermal and structural models of Cascadia, South Alaska, SW Japan, and Chile, J. Geophys. Res 104, 14,965-14,991.
38. PACHECO, J. F. and SYKES, L. R. (1992), Seismic moment catalog of large, shallow earthquakes, 1900-1989, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 82, 1306-1349.
39. PACHECO, J. F., SYKES, L. R., and SCHOLZ, C. H. (1993), Nature of seismic coupling along simple plate boundaries of the subduction type, J. Geophys. Res. 98, 14133-14159.
40. PURCARU, G. and BERCKHEMER, H. (1978), A magnitude scale for very large earthquakes, Tectonophys. 49, 189-198.
41. RIKITAKE, T. and AIDA, I. (1988), Tsunami hazard probability in Japan, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 78, 1268-1278.
42. RUFF, L. (1989), Do trench sediments affect great earthquake occurrence in subduction zones? Pure Appl. Geophys. 129, 263-282.
43. RUFF, L. and KANAMORI, H. (1980), Seismicity and the subduction process, Phys. Earth Planet. Int. 23, 240-252.
44. RYNN, J. and DAVIDSON, J. (1999), Contemporary assessment of tsunami risk and implications for early warning for Australia and its Island Territories, Sci. Tsunami Hazard 17(2), 107-125.
45. SCHOLTZ, C. H., The Mechanics of Earthquakes and Faulting, Second Edition (Cambridge Univeristy Press, UK, 2002).
46. SPENCE, W. (1986), The 1977 Sumba earthquake series: Evidence for slab pull force acting at a subduction zone, J. Geophys. Res. 91, 7225-7240.
47. STEIN, S. and OKAL, E. (2007), Ultralong Period Seismic Study of the December 2004 Indian Ocean Earthquake and Implications for Regional Tectonics and the Subduction Process, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 97, S279-S295.
48. THIO, H. K., SOMERVILLE, P., and INCHINOSE, G. (2008), Probabilistic analysis of strong ground motion and tsunami hazards in southeast Asia, J. Earthquakes and Tsunami, 1, 119-137.
49. TSUTSUMI, A., SHIMAMOTO, T., KAWAMOTO, E., and LOGAN, J. M. (2000), Nearshore flow velocity of Southwest Hokkaido earthquake tsunami, J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering, 126 136-143.
50. WANG, R., MARTIN, F. L., and ROTH, F. (2006), Computation of deformation induced by earthquakes in a multi-layered crust - FORTRAN programs, EDGRN EDCMP, Comp. and Geosc. 29, 195-207 (inc. erratum).
51. WARD, S. N. and ASPHAUG, E. (2000), Asteroid impact tsunami: A probabilistic hazard assessment, Icarus 145, 64-78.
52. WARD, S. N. and DAY, S. (2001), Cumbre Vieja volcano - potential collapse and tsunami at La Palma, Canary Islands, Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 3397-3400.
53. WELLS, R. E., BLAKELY, R. J., SUGIYAMA, Y., SCHOLL, D. W., and DINTERMAN, P. A. (2003), Basin-centered asperities in great subduction zone earthquakes: A link between slip, subsidence and subduction erosion? J. Geophys. Res. 108, 2507, doi:10.1029/ 2002JB002072.
54. ZACHARIASEN, M., SIEH, K., TAYLOR, F. W., EDWARDS, R. L., and HANTORO, W. S. (1999), Submergence and uplift associated with the giant 1833 Sumatran subduction earthquake: Evidence from coral microatolls, J. Geophys. Res. 104, 895-919.