메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 16, Issue 2, 2009, Pages 216-234

The credit rating process and estimation of transition probabilities: A Bayesian approach

Author keywords

Bayesian inference; Latent factors; Markov Chain Monte Carlo; Ratings transitions

Indexed keywords


EID: 59249102888     PISSN: 09275398     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2008.10.006     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (50)

References (46)
  • 2
    • 0001440094 scopus 로고
    • The implications of corporate bond rating drift
    • Altman E., and Kao D.L. The implications of corporate bond rating drift. Financial Analysts Journal 48 (1992) 64-75
    • (1992) Financial Analysts Journal , vol.48 , pp. 64-75
    • Altman, E.1    Kao, D.L.2
  • 3
    • 4644265058 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How rating agencies achieve rating stability
    • Altman E., and Rijken H.A. How rating agencies achieve rating stability. Journal of Banking and Finance 28 (2004) 2679-2714
    • (2004) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.28 , pp. 2679-2714
    • Altman, E.1    Rijken, H.A.2
  • 5
    • 59249094665 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Studies on the validation of the internal rating systems
    • Bank for International Settlements
    • Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Studies on the validation of the internal rating systems. Working paper No.14 (2005), Bank for International Settlements
    • (2005) Working paper No.14
    • Basel Committee on Banking Supervision1
  • 8
    • 59249103893 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • British Bankers' Association, London Investment Banking Association and the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, 2004. Introductory Paper on Low Default Portfolios. Discussion Paper 080904.
    • British Bankers' Association, London Investment Banking Association and the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, 2004. Introductory Paper on Low Default Portfolios. Discussion Paper 080904.
  • 9
    • 0007496802 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Parameterizing credit risk models with rating data
    • Carey M., and Hrycay M. Parameterizing credit risk models with rating data. Journal of Banking and Finance 25 (2001) 197-270
    • (2001) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.25 , pp. 197-270
    • Carey, M.1    Hrycay, M.2
  • 11
    • 4644258367 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confidence sets for continuous time rating transition probabilities
    • Christensen J.H.E., Hansen E., and Lando D. Confidence sets for continuous time rating transition probabilities. Journal of Banking and Finance 28 (2004) 2575-2602
    • (2004) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.28 , pp. 2575-2602
    • Christensen, J.H.E.1    Hansen, E.2    Lando, D.3
  • 13
    • 33645676205 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian migration in credit ratings based on probabilities of default
    • Das S.R., Fan R., and Geng G. Bayesian migration in credit ratings based on probabilities of default. Journal of Fixed Income 12 (2002) 17-23
    • (2002) Journal of Fixed Income , vol.12 , pp. 17-23
    • Das, S.R.1    Fan, R.2    Geng, G.3
  • 14
    • 59249101298 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The distribution of defaults and Bayesian model validation
    • Dwyer D.W. The distribution of defaults and Bayesian model validation. Moody KMV (2006)
    • (2006) Moody KMV
    • Dwyer, D.W.1
  • 16
    • 59249102113 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Modeling the effect of macroeconomic factors on corporate default and credit rating transitions
    • Figlewski S., Frydman H., and Liang W. Modeling the effect of macroeconomic factors on corporate default and credit rating transitions. NYU Stern Business School working paper (2008)
    • (2008) NYU Stern Business School working paper
    • Figlewski, S.1    Frydman, H.2    Liang, W.3
  • 17
    • 43149119024 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Credit rating dynamics and Markov mixture models
    • Frydman H., and Schuermann T. Credit rating dynamics and Markov mixture models. Journal of Banking and Finance 32 (2008) 1062-1075
    • (2008) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.32 , pp. 1062-1075
    • Frydman, H.1    Schuermann, T.2
  • 18
    • 27244441009 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Stochastic migration models with application to corporate risk
    • Gagliardini P., and Gourieroux C. Stochastic migration models with application to corporate risk. Journal of Financial Econometrics 3 (2005) 188-226
    • (2005) Journal of Financial Econometrics , vol.3 , pp. 188-226
    • Gagliardini, P.1    Gourieroux, C.2
  • 22
    • 0041856328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A risk factor model for ratings based bank capital rules
    • Gordy M. A risk factor model for ratings based bank capital rules. Journal of Financial Intermediation 12 (2003) 199-232
    • (2003) Journal of Financial Intermediation , vol.12 , pp. 199-232
    • Gordy, M.1
  • 23
    • 80053956245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictions based on certain uncertainties - a Bayesian credit portfolio approach
    • Gössl C. Predictions based on certain uncertainties - a Bayesian credit portfolio approach. Working Paper, Hypo Vereinsbank AG, London (2005)
    • (2005) Working Paper, Hypo Vereinsbank AG, London
    • Gössl, C.1
  • 26
    • 33745999771 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Confidence intervals for probabilities of default
    • Hanson S., and Schuermann T. Confidence intervals for probabilities of default. Journal of Banking and Finance 30 (2006) 2281-2301
    • (2006) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.30 , pp. 2281-2301
    • Hanson, S.1    Schuermann, T.2
  • 29
    • 4644279736 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Measurement, estimation and comparison of credit migration matrices
    • Jafry Y., and Schuermann T. Measurement, estimation and comparison of credit migration matrices. Journal of Banking and Finance 28 (2004) 2603-2639
    • (2004) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.28 , pp. 2603-2639
    • Jafry, Y.1    Schuermann, T.2
  • 30
    • 59249106396 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for issuer heterogeneity in credit ratings migration
    • Kadam A., and Lenk P. Bayesian inference for issuer heterogeneity in credit ratings migration. Cass Business School Working Paper (2007)
    • (2007) Cass Business School Working Paper
    • Kadam, A.1    Lenk, P.2
  • 31
    • 54849407128 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The probability approach to default estimation
    • July
    • Kiefer N. The probability approach to default estimation. Risk (2007) 146-150 July
    • (2007) Risk , pp. 146-150
    • Kiefer, N.1
  • 32
    • 0036153072 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Analyzing rating transitions and rating drift with continuous observations
    • Lando D., and Skødeberg T. Analyzing rating transitions and rating drift with continuous observations. Journal of Banking and Finance 26 (2002) 423-444
    • (2002) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.26 , pp. 423-444
    • Lando, D.1    Skødeberg, T.2
  • 33
    • 18544410789 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An anatomy of rating through the cycle
    • Löffler G. An anatomy of rating through the cycle. Journal of Banking and Finance 28 (2004) 695-720
    • (2004) Journal of Banking and Finance , vol.28 , pp. 695-720
    • Löffler, G.1
  • 36
    • 33847255363 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian inference for generalized linear mixed models of portfolio credit risk
    • McNeil A., and Wendin J. Bayesian inference for generalized linear mixed models of portfolio credit risk. Journal of Empirical Finance 14 (2007) 131-149
    • (2007) Journal of Empirical Finance , vol.14 , pp. 131-149
    • McNeil, A.1    Wendin, J.2
  • 38
    • 36448980556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A density dependent model for credit ratings migration dynamics
    • Parnes D. A density dependent model for credit ratings migration dynamics. Journal of Fixed Income 17 (2007) 26-37
    • (2007) Journal of Fixed Income , vol.17 , pp. 26-37
    • Parnes, D.1
  • 39
    • 33745985328 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Thinking positively
    • August
    • Pluto K., and Tasche D. Thinking positively. Risk (2005) 72-78 August
    • (2005) Risk , pp. 72-78
    • Pluto, K.1    Tasche, D.2
  • 41
    • 0008104389 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecasting bankruptcy more accurately: a simple hazard model
    • Shumway T. Forecasting bankruptcy more accurately: a simple hazard model. Journal of Business 74 (2001) 101-124
    • (2001) Journal of Business , vol.74 , pp. 101-124
    • Shumway, T.1
  • 46
    • 46149121183 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Credit portfolio risk and probability of default confidence sets through the business cycle
    • Trück S., and Rachev S.T. Credit portfolio risk and probability of default confidence sets through the business cycle. Journal of Credit Risk 1 (2005) 61-88
    • (2005) Journal of Credit Risk , vol.1 , pp. 61-88
    • Trück, S.1    Rachev, S.T.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.