-
1
-
-
0002006114
-
Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods-empirical comparisons
-
Armstrong J.S., and Collopy F. Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods-empirical comparisons. International Journal of Forecasting 8 (1992) 69-80
-
(1992)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 69-80
-
-
Armstrong, J.S.1
Collopy, F.2
-
2
-
-
0002735854
-
On the selection of error measures for comparisons among forecasting methods
-
Armstrong J.S., and Fildes R. On the selection of error measures for comparisons among forecasting methods. Journal of Forecasting 14 (1995) 67-71
-
(1995)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.14
, pp. 67-71
-
-
Armstrong, J.S.1
Fildes, R.2
-
3
-
-
33644918912
-
The effectiveness of simple decision heuristics: Forecasting commercial success for early-stage ventures
-
Astebro T., and Elhedhli S. The effectiveness of simple decision heuristics: Forecasting commercial success for early-stage ventures. Management Science 52 (2006) 395-409
-
(2006)
Management Science
, vol.52
, pp. 395-409
-
-
Astebro, T.1
Elhedhli, S.2
-
4
-
-
0035494018
-
The effect of collaborative forecasting on supply chain performance
-
Aviv Y. The effect of collaborative forecasting on supply chain performance. Management Science 47 (2001) 1326-1343
-
(2001)
Management Science
, vol.47
, pp. 1326-1343
-
-
Aviv, Y.1
-
5
-
-
0030094806
-
Remarks on the application of the analytic hierarchy process to judgmental forecasting
-
Belton V., and Goodwin P. Remarks on the application of the analytic hierarchy process to judgmental forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 12 (1996) 155-161
-
(1996)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.12
, pp. 155-161
-
-
Belton, V.1
Goodwin, P.2
-
6
-
-
0001166456
-
Database models and managerial intuition-50-percent model + 50-percent manager
-
Blattberg R.C., and Hoch S.J. Database models and managerial intuition-50-percent model + 50-percent manager. Management Science 36 (1990) 887-899
-
(1990)
Management Science
, vol.36
, pp. 887-899
-
-
Blattberg, R.C.1
Hoch, S.J.2
-
7
-
-
33751251974
-
Advice taking and decision making: An integrative literature review, and implications for the organizational sciences
-
Bonaccio S., and Dalal R.S. Advice taking and decision making: An integrative literature review, and implications for the organizational sciences. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 101 (2006) 127-151
-
(2006)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.101
, pp. 127-151
-
-
Bonaccio, S.1
Dalal, R.S.2
-
8
-
-
0346343563
-
Planning, personality, and prediction: The role of future focus in optimistic time predictions
-
Buehler R., and Griffin D. Planning, personality, and prediction: The role of future focus in optimistic time predictions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 92 (2003) 80-90
-
(2003)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.92
, pp. 80-90
-
-
Buehler, R.1
Griffin, D.2
-
9
-
-
58949096738
-
On the selection of error measures for comparisons among forecasting methods - reply
-
Clements M.P., and Hendry D.F. On the selection of error measures for comparisons among forecasting methods - reply. Journal of Forecasting 14 (1995) 73-75
-
(1995)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.14
, pp. 73-75
-
-
Clements, M.P.1
Hendry, D.F.2
-
10
-
-
0024981793
-
Clinical versus actuarial judgment
-
Dawes R.M., Faust D., and Meehl P.E. Clinical versus actuarial judgment. Science 243 (1989) 1668-1673
-
(1989)
Science
, vol.243
, pp. 1668-1673
-
-
Dawes, R.M.1
Faust, D.2
Meehl, P.E.3
-
11
-
-
13844319406
-
The impact of institutional change on forecast accuracy: A case study of budget forecasting in Washington state
-
Deschamps E. The impact of institutional change on forecast accuracy: A case study of budget forecasting in Washington state. International Journal of Forecasting 20 (2004) 647-657
-
(2004)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.20
, pp. 647-657
-
-
Deschamps, E.1
-
12
-
-
84986791340
-
Factors affecting the nature and effectiveness of subjective revision in sales forecasting: An empirical study
-
Diamantopoulos A., and Mathews B.P. Factors affecting the nature and effectiveness of subjective revision in sales forecasting: An empirical study. Managerial and Decision Economics 10 (1989) 51-59
-
(1989)
Managerial and Decision Economics
, vol.10
, pp. 51-59
-
-
Diamantopoulos, A.1
Mathews, B.P.2
-
13
-
-
0002475376
-
Evaluating the role judgment plays in forecast accuracy
-
Donihue M.R. Evaluating the role judgment plays in forecast accuracy. Journal of Forecasting 12 (1993) 81-92
-
(1993)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.12
, pp. 81-92
-
-
Donihue, M.R.1
-
14
-
-
84979447479
-
Efficient use of information in the formation of subjective industry forecasts
-
Fildes R. Efficient use of information in the formation of subjective industry forecasts. Journal of Forecasting 10 (1991) 597-617
-
(1991)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.10
, pp. 597-617
-
-
Fildes, R.1
-
16
-
-
0037253284
-
Researching sales forecasting practice-commentaries and authors' response on "Conducting a sales forecasting audit" by M.A. Moon, J.T. Mentzer & C.D. Smith
-
Fildes R., Bretschneider S., Collopy F., Lawrence M., Stewart D., Winklhofer H., et al. Researching sales forecasting practice-commentaries and authors' response on "Conducting a sales forecasting audit" by M.A. Moon, J.T. Mentzer & C.D. Smith. International Journal of Forecasting 19 (2003) 27-42
-
(2003)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.19
, pp. 27-42
-
-
Fildes, R.1
Bretschneider, S.2
Collopy, F.3
Lawrence, M.4
Stewart, D.5
Winklhofer, H.6
-
17
-
-
38849209996
-
Against your better judgement? How organizations can improve their use of management judgement in forecasting
-
Fildes R., and Goodwin P. Against your better judgement? How organizations can improve their use of management judgement in forecasting. Interfaces 37 (2007) 570-576
-
(2007)
Interfaces
, vol.37
, pp. 570-576
-
-
Fildes, R.1
Goodwin, P.2
-
18
-
-
33747799938
-
The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness
-
Fildes R., Goodwin P., and Lawrence M. The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness. Decision Support Systems 42 (2006) 351-361
-
(2006)
Decision Support Systems
, vol.42
, pp. 351-361
-
-
Fildes, R.1
Goodwin, P.2
Lawrence, M.3
-
20
-
-
17444380158
-
-
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
-
Flybjerg B., Bruzelius N., and Rothengatter W. Megaprojects and risk: An anatomy of ambition (2003), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
-
(2003)
Megaprojects and risk: An anatomy of ambition
-
-
Flybjerg, B.1
Bruzelius, N.2
Rothengatter, W.3
-
22
-
-
33749523557
-
Exponential smoothing: The state of the art-Part II
-
Gardner E.S. Exponential smoothing: The state of the art-Part II. International Journal of Forecasting 22 (2006) 637-666
-
(2006)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.22
, pp. 637-666
-
-
Gardner, E.S.1
-
24
-
-
0002947546
-
Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment
-
Goodwin P. Improving the voluntary integration of statistical forecasts and judgment. International Journal of Forecasting 16 (2000) 85-99
-
(2000)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.16
, pp. 85-99
-
-
Goodwin, P.1
-
25
-
-
22444452644
-
Judgmental forecasts of time series affected by special events: Does providing a statistical forecast improve accuracy?
-
Goodwin P., and Fildes R. Judgmental forecasts of time series affected by special events: Does providing a statistical forecast improve accuracy?. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 12 (1999) 37-53
-
(1999)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.12
, pp. 37-53
-
-
Goodwin, P.1
Fildes, R.2
-
27
-
-
58949087621
-
-
Goodwin, P., Lee, W. Y., Fildes, R., Nikolopoulos, K., & Lawrence, M. (2007). Understanding the use of forecasting systems: An interpretive study in a supply-chain company. Bath University Management School working paper
-
Goodwin, P., Lee, W. Y., Fildes, R., Nikolopoulos, K., & Lawrence, M. (2007). Understanding the use of forecasting systems: An interpretive study in a supply-chain company. Bath University Management School working paper
-
-
-
-
28
-
-
0000270005
-
Why are judgments less consistent in less predictable task situations?
-
Harvey N. Why are judgments less consistent in less predictable task situations?. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 63 (1995) 247-263
-
(1995)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.63
, pp. 247-263
-
-
Harvey, N.1
-
29
-
-
1642437922
-
On the nature and rationality of analysts' forecasts under earnings conservatism
-
Helbok G., and Walker M. On the nature and rationality of analysts' forecasts under earnings conservatism. The British Accounting Review 36 (2004) 45-77
-
(2004)
The British Accounting Review
, vol.36
, pp. 45-77
-
-
Helbok, G.1
Walker, M.2
-
30
-
-
84986077041
-
Supply chain forecasting - collaborative forecasting supports supply chain management
-
Helms M.M., Ettkin L.P., and Chapman S. Supply chain forecasting - collaborative forecasting supports supply chain management. Business Process Management Journal 6 (2000) 392-407
-
(2000)
Business Process Management Journal
, vol.6
, pp. 392-407
-
-
Helms, M.M.1
Ettkin, L.P.2
Chapman, S.3
-
31
-
-
38149143604
-
Computer-assisted decision making: Performance, beliefs, and the illusion of control
-
Kottemann J.E., Davis F.D., and Remus W.E. Computer-assisted decision making: Performance, beliefs, and the illusion of control. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 57 (1994) 26-37
-
(1994)
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes
, vol.57
, pp. 26-37
-
-
Kottemann, J.E.1
Davis, F.D.2
Remus, W.E.3
-
36
-
-
34548166563
-
Providing support for the use of analogies in demand forecasting tasks
-
Lee W.Y., Goodwin P., Fildes R., Nikolopoulos K., and Lawrence M. Providing support for the use of analogies in demand forecasting tasks. International Journal of Forecasting 23 (2007) 377-390
-
(2007)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.23
, pp. 377-390
-
-
Lee, W.Y.1
Goodwin, P.2
Fildes, R.3
Nikolopoulos, K.4
Lawrence, M.5
-
37
-
-
84980157353
-
Judgmental adjustment of initial forecasts - its effectiveness and biases
-
Lim J.S., and O'Connor M. Judgmental adjustment of initial forecasts - its effectiveness and biases. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 8 (1995) 149-168
-
(1995)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.8
, pp. 149-168
-
-
Lim, J.S.1
O'Connor, M.2
-
38
-
-
0030098316
-
Judgmental forecasting with time series and causal information
-
Lim J.S., and O'Connor M. Judgmental forecasting with time series and causal information. International Journal of Forecasting 12 (1996) 139-153
-
(1996)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.12
, pp. 139-153
-
-
Lim, J.S.1
O'Connor, M.2
-
39
-
-
0001774486
-
Decomposition for judgemental forecasting and estimation
-
Armstrong J.S. (Ed), Kluwer, Norwell, MA
-
MacGregor D. Decomposition for judgemental forecasting and estimation. In: Armstrong J.S. (Ed). Principles of forecasting (2001), Kluwer, Norwell, MA 107-123
-
(2001)
Principles of forecasting
, pp. 107-123
-
-
MacGregor, D.1
-
40
-
-
34250017368
-
Managerial intervention in forecasting: An empirical investigation of forecast manipulation
-
Mathews B.P., and Diamantopoulos A. Managerial intervention in forecasting: An empirical investigation of forecast manipulation. International Journal of Research in Marketing 3 (1986) 3-10
-
(1986)
International Journal of Research in Marketing
, vol.3
, pp. 3-10
-
-
Mathews, B.P.1
Diamantopoulos, A.2
-
42
-
-
84984499068
-
Judgemental revision of sales forecasts - a longitudinal extension
-
Mathews B.P., and Diamantopoulos A. Judgemental revision of sales forecasts - a longitudinal extension. Journal of Forecasting 8 (1989) 129-140
-
(1989)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.8
, pp. 129-140
-
-
Mathews, B.P.1
Diamantopoulos, A.2
-
43
-
-
84979343969
-
Judgmental revision of sales forecasts - effectiveness of forecast selection
-
Mathews B.P., and Diamantopoulos A. Judgmental revision of sales forecasts - effectiveness of forecast selection. Journal of Forecasting 9 (1990) 407-415
-
(1990)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.9
, pp. 407-415
-
-
Mathews, B.P.1
Diamantopoulos, A.2
-
44
-
-
84979347099
-
Judgmental revision of sales forecasts - the relative performance of judgementally revised versus non revised forecasts
-
Mathews B.P., and Diamantopoulos A. Judgmental revision of sales forecasts - the relative performance of judgementally revised versus non revised forecasts. Journal of Forecasting 11 (1992) 569-576
-
(1992)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.11
, pp. 569-576
-
-
Mathews, B.P.1
Diamantopoulos, A.2
-
45
-
-
84979368127
-
Towards a taxonomy of forecast error measures - a factor-comparative investigation of forecast error dimensions
-
Mathews B.P., and Diamantopoulos A. Towards a taxonomy of forecast error measures - a factor-comparative investigation of forecast error dimensions. Journal of Forecasting 13 (1994) 409-416
-
(1994)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.13
, pp. 409-416
-
-
Mathews, B.P.1
Diamantopoulos, A.2
-
46
-
-
0000663579
-
The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting accuracy
-
McNees S.K. The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting accuracy. International Journal of Forecasting 6 (1990) 287-299
-
(1990)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.6
, pp. 287-299
-
-
McNees, S.K.1
-
49
-
-
58949090575
-
-
Önkal, D., Gönül, M.S., & Lawrence, M. (2007). Judgmental adjustments: Effects of prior adjustments and explanations. Paper presented at the 27th International Symposium on Forecasting
-
Önkal, D., Gönül, M.S., & Lawrence, M. (2007). Judgmental adjustments: Effects of prior adjustments and explanations. Paper presented at the 27th International Symposium on Forecasting
-
-
-
-
50
-
-
77952187694
-
Forecasting practices in United States corporations - survey results
-
Sanders N.R., and Manrodt K.B. Forecasting practices in United States corporations - survey results. Interfaces 24 (1994) 92-100
-
(1994)
Interfaces
, vol.24
, pp. 92-100
-
-
Sanders, N.R.1
Manrodt, K.B.2
-
51
-
-
84980167503
-
The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting
-
Sanders N.R., and Ritzman L.P. The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 5 (1992) 39-52
-
(1992)
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
, vol.5
, pp. 39-52
-
-
Sanders, N.R.1
Ritzman, L.P.2
-
52
-
-
84984482050
-
The implementation of forecasting models
-
Schultz R.L. The implementation of forecasting models. Journal of Forecasting 3 (1984) 43-55
-
(1984)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.3
, pp. 43-55
-
-
Schultz, R.L.1
-
53
-
-
33947239262
-
Forecasting collaboration in the European grocery sector: Observations from a case study
-
Smaros J. Forecasting collaboration in the European grocery sector: Observations from a case study. Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 702-716
-
(2007)
Journal of Operations Management
, vol.25
, pp. 702-716
-
-
Smaros, J.1
-
54
-
-
0342642164
-
Knee-deep in the big muddy: A study of escalating commitment to a chosen course of action
-
Staw B.M. Knee-deep in the big muddy: A study of escalating commitment to a chosen course of action. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance 16 (1976) 27-44
-
(1976)
Organizational Behavior and Human Performance
, vol.16
, pp. 27-44
-
-
Staw, B.M.1
-
55
-
-
61449256538
-
-
Syntetos, A. A., Nikolopoulos, K., Boylan, J. E., Fildes, R., & Goodwin, P. (2008). The effects of integrating management judgement on intermittent demand forecasts. International Journal of Production Economics, in press (doi:10.1016/j.ijpe.2008.08.011)
-
Syntetos, A. A., Nikolopoulos, K., Boylan, J. E., Fildes, R., & Goodwin, P. (2008). The effects of integrating management judgement on intermittent demand forecasts. International Journal of Production Economics, in press (doi:10.1016/j.ijpe.2008.08.011)
-
-
-
-
56
-
-
0141742022
-
Diffusion of forecasting principles through software
-
Armstrong J.S. (Ed), Kluwer, Norwell, MA
-
Tashman L.J., and Hoover J. Diffusion of forecasting principles through software. In: Armstrong J.S. (Ed). Principles of forecasting: A handbook for researchers and practitioners (2001), Kluwer, Norwell, MA 651-676
-
(2001)
Principles of forecasting: A handbook for researchers and practitioners
, pp. 651-676
-
-
Tashman, L.J.1
Hoover, J.2
-
58
-
-
84979381952
-
The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting
-
Turner D.S. The role of judgment in macroeconomic forecasting. Journal of Forecasting 9 (1990) 315-345
-
(1990)
Journal of Forecasting
, vol.9
, pp. 315-345
-
-
Turner, D.S.1
-
59
-
-
0016264378
-
Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases
-
Tversky A., and Kahneman D. Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science 85 (1974) 1124-1131
-
(1974)
Science
, vol.85
, pp. 1124-1131
-
-
Tversky, A.1
Kahneman, D.2
-
60
-
-
0037997872
-
People's perception of human and computer advice
-
Waern Y., and Ramberg R. People's perception of human and computer advice. Computers in Human Behavior 12 (1996) 17-27
-
(1996)
Computers in Human Behavior
, vol.12
, pp. 17-27
-
-
Waern, Y.1
Ramberg, R.2
-
61
-
-
0000271395
-
The effect of graphical adjustment on forecast accuracy
-
Willemain T.R. The effect of graphical adjustment on forecast accuracy. International Journal of Forecasting 7 (1991) 151-154
-
(1991)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.7
, pp. 151-154
-
-
Willemain, T.R.1
-
63
-
-
33749512946
-
Stable seasonal pattern models for forecast revision: A comparative study
-
Yelland P.M. Stable seasonal pattern models for forecast revision: A comparative study. International Journal of Forecasting 22 (2006) 799-818
-
(2006)
International Journal of Forecasting
, vol.22
, pp. 799-818
-
-
Yelland, P.M.1
|