BYDV PREDICTOR: A simulation model to predict aphid arrival, epidemics of Barley yellow dwarf virus and yield losses in wheat crops in a Mediterranean-type environment

Plant Pathology

Volumn 58, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 186-202

  Thackray, D J ^a   Diggle, A J ^a,b   Jones, R A C ^a,b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA   (Australia)

^b Bentley Delivery Centre   (Australia)

Author keywords

BYDV PAV; Decision support system; Rhopalosiphum padi; Triticum aestivum; Virus aphid vector pathosystem

Indexed keywords

APHID; DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM; EPIDEMIC; MEDITERRANEAN ENVIRONMENT; MODELING; PEST OUTBREAK; PREDICTION; VIRAL DISEASE; VIRUS; WHEAT; YIELD RESPONSE;

AUSTRALASIA; AUSTRALIA;

APHIDIDAE; BARLEY YELLOW DWARF VIRUS; LUTEOVIRUS; RHOPALOSIPHUM PADI; TRITICUM AESTIVUM;

EID: 58249105097     PISSN: 00320862     EISSN: 13653059     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-3059.2008.01950.x     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Ajayi O, Dewar AM, 1983. The effect of barley yellow dwarf virus on field populations of the cereal aphids, Sitobion avenae and Metopolophium dirhodum. Annals of Applied Biology 103, 1 11.
2. Bailey SM, Irwin ME, Kampmeier GE, Eastman CE, Hewings AD, 1995. Physical and biological perturbations: their effect on the movement of apterous Rhopalosiphum padi (Homoptera: Aphididae) and localised spread of barley yellow dwarf virus. Environmental Entomology 24, 24 33.
3. Berlandier FA, Cartwright LM, 1998. Survival of aphids over summer in Western Australia. In : Zalucki MP, Drew RAI, White GC, eds. Pest Management - Future Challenges, Vol. 2, Proceedings of the Sixth Australasian Applied Entomological Research Conference, 1998. Brisbane, Australia : University of Queensland Press, 299.
4. Dixon AFG, 1985. Aphid Ecology. Glasgow, UK : Blackie.
5. Fabre F, Pierre JS, Dedryver CA, Plantegenest M, 2006. Barley yellow dwarf disease risk assessment based on Bayesian modelling of aphid population dynamics. Ecological Modelling 193, 457 66.
6. Gillet H, Dedryver CA, Robert Y, Gamon A, Pierre JS, 1990. Assessing the risk of primary infection of cereals by barley yellow dwarf virus in fall in the Rennes basin of France. Annals of Applied Biology 117, 237 51.
7. Griffiths E, Wratten SD, 1979. Intra- and inter-specific differences in cereal aphid low-temperature tolerance. Entomologia Experimentalis et Applicata 26, 161 7.
8. Harrington R, Mann JA, Burgess AJ et al., 1999. Development and Validation of Decision Support Methodology for Control of Barley Yellow Dwarf Virus. London, UK : Home Grown Cereals Authority. Project Report no. 205.
9. Hawkes JR, Jones RAC, 2005. Incidence and distribution of Barley yellow dwarf virus and Cereal yellow dwarf virus in over-summering grasses in a Mediterranean-type environment. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 56, 257 70.
10. Holland JM, Thomas SR, 1997. Quantifying the impact of polyphagous invertebrate predators in controlling cereal aphids and in preventing wheat yield and quality reductions. Annals of Applied Biology 131, 375 97.
11. Irwin ME, Ruesink WG, 1986. Vector intensity: a product of propensity and activity. In : McLean GD, Garrett RG, Ruesink WG, eds. Plant Virus Epidemics: Monitoring, Modelling and Predicting Outbreaks. New York, USA : Academic Press, 13 33.
12. Jeffrey SJ, Carter JO, Moodie KM, Beswick AR, 2001. Using spatial interpolation to construct a comprehensive archive of Australian climate data. Environmental Modelling Software 16, 309 30.
13. Johnstone GR, 1995. Epidemiology of barley yellow dwarf in Australia. In : D'Arcy CJ, Burnett PA, eds. Barley Yellow Dwarf - 40 Years of Progress. St. Paul, MN, USA : APS Press, 129 39.
14. Jones RAC, 2004. Using epidemiological information to develop effective integrated virus disease management strategies. Virus Research 100, 5 30.
15. Jones RAC, McKirdy SJ, Shivas RG, 1990. Occurrence of barley yellow dwarf viruses in over-summering grasses and cereal crops in Western Australia. Australasian Plant Pathology 19, 90 6.
16. Kendall DA, Chinn NE, 1990. A comparison of vector population indices for forecasting barley yellow dwarf virus in autumn sown cereal crops. Annals of Applied Biology 116, 87 102.
17. Kendall DA, Brain P, Chinn NE, 1992. A simulation model of the epidemiology of barley yellow dwarf virus in winter sown cereals and its application to forecasting. Journal of Applied Ecology 29, 414 26.
18. Knights JD, Thackray DJ, 2007. Decision support systems. In : van-Emden HF, Harrington R, eds. Aphids as Crop Pests. Wallingford, UK : CAB International, 677 88.
19. Leather SR, Dixon AFG, 1981. The effect of cereal growth stage and feeding site on the reproductive activity of the bird cherry aphid Rhopalosiphum padi. Annals of Applied Biology 97, 135 41.
20. Maling T, Diggle A, Thackray D, Siddique K, Jones R, 2006. Modelling the Bean yellow mosaic virus-lupin pathosystem to provide a disease forecasting and decision support system for the West Australian grainbelt. In : Jones MJK, Jones RAC, eds. Proceedings of the 7th Australasian Plant Virology Workshop 2006. Australia : Rottnest Island, 25.
21. Mann JA, Tatchell GM, Dupuch MJ, Harrington R, Clark SJ, McCartney HA, 1995. Movement of apterous Sitobion avenae (Homoptera: Aphididae) in response to leaf disturbances caused by wind and rain. Annals of Applied Biology 126, 417 27.
22. McKirdy SJ, Jones RAC, 1996. Use of imidacloprid and newer generation synthetic pyrethroids to control the spread of barley yellow dwarf luteovirus in cereals. Plant Disease 80, 895 901.
23. McKirdy SJ, Jones RAC, 1997. Effect of sowing time on barley yellow dwarf virus infection in wheat: virus incidence and grain yield losses. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 48, 199 206.
24. McKirdy SJ, Jones RAC, Nutter FW Jr, 2002. Quantification of yield losses caused by Barley yellow dwarf virus in wheat and oats. Plant Disease 86, 769 73.
25. Michael P, 2002. Cereal aphids and direct feeding damage to cereals. In : Jettner R, ed. 2002 Cereals Update. Perth, Australia : Department of Agriculture, Western Australia, 55 6.
26. Miller WA, Rasochova L, 1997. Barley yellow dwarf viruses. Annual Review of Phytopathology 35, 167 90.
27. Morgan D, 2000. Population dynamics of the bird-cherry oat aphid, Rhopalosiphum padi (L.), during the fall and winter: a modelling approach. Agricultural and Forest Entomology 2, 297 304.
28. Plumb RT, 1981. Chemicals in the control of cereal virus diseases. In : Jenkyn JF, Plumb RT, eds. Strategies for the Control of Cereal Disease. Oxford, UK : Blackwell Scientific Publications, 135 45.
29. Plumb RT, 1983. Barley yellow dwarf virus - a global problem. In : Plumb RT, Thresh JM, eds. Plant Virus Epidemiology. Oxford, UK : Blackwell Scientific Publications, 185 98.
30. Plumb RT, 1986. A rational approach to the control of barley yellow dwarf virus. Journal of the Royal Agricultural Society of England 147, 162 71.
31. Smith PR, Plumb RT, 1981. Barley yellow dwarf virus infectivity of cereal aphids trapped at two sites in Victoria. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 32, 249 55.
32. Smith PR, Sward RJ, 1982. Crop loss assessment studies on the effects of barley yellow dwarf virus in wheat in Victoria. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 33, 179 85.
33. Smyrnioudis IN, Harrington R, Hall M, Katis N, Clark SJ, 2001. The effect of temperature on variation in transmission of a BYDV PAV-like isolate by clones of Rhopalosiphum padi and Sitobion avenae. European Journal of Plant Pathology 107, 167 73.
34. Stella, 2001. Stella v 7.0.2. for Windows. Lebanon, NH, USA : High Performance Systems, Inc.
35. Stephens DJ, Walker GK, Lyons TJ, 1994. Forecasting Australian wheat yields with a weighted rainfall index. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 71, 247 63.
36. Teulon DAJ, Fletcher JD, Cromey MG, 2001. Localised severe incidence of barley yellow dwarf virus in winter wheat. New Zealand Plant Protection 54, 253.
37. Teulon DAJ, Stufkens MAW, Fletcher JD, 2004. Crop infestation by aphids is related to flight activity detected with 7.5 metre high suction traps. New Zealand Plant Protection 57, 227 32.
38. Thackray DJ, Jones RAC, 1999. Forecasting barley yellow dwarf virus risk in cereals. In : Zaicou-Kunesch C, Kerr N, eds. 1999 Cereals Update. Perth, Australia : Agriculture Western Australia, 40 2.
39. Thackray DJ, Ward LT, Jones RAC, 1998. Aphid arrival and build up in relation to BYDV levels and yield loss. In : Anderson W, Blake J, eds. 1998 Cereals Update. Perth, Australia : Agriculture Western Australia, 60 1.
40. Thackray DJ, Hawkes JR, Jones RAC, 2000. Forecasting aphid and virus risk in cereals. In : Zaicou-Kunesch C, Kerr N, eds. 2000 Cereals Update. Perth, Australia : Agriculture Western Australia, 57 9.
41. Thackray DJ, Hawkes JR, Jones RAC, 2001. Further developments in forecasting aphid and virus risk in cereals. In : Jettner R, Johns J, eds. 2001 Cereals Update. Perth, Australia : Agriculture Western Australia, 67 9.
42. Thackray DJ, Hawkes JR, Jones RAC, 2002. A decision support system for control of aphids and BYDV in cereal crops. In : Jettner R, ed. 2002 Cereals Update. Perth, Australia : Agriculture Western Australia, 57 8.
43. Thackray DJ, Prince R, Jones RAC, 2004. Validating aphid and virus risk forecasts for cereals. In : Horne R, ed. 2004 Cereals Update. Perth, Australia : Agriculture Western Australia, 63 4.
44. Thackray DJ, Ward LT, Thomas-Caroll ML, Jones RAC, 2005. Role of winter-active aphids spreading Barley yellow dwarf virus in decreasing wheat yields in a Mediterranean-type environment. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research 56, 1089 99.
45. Thirakhupt V, Araya JE, 1992. Survival and life table statistics of Rhopalosiphum padi (L.) and Sitobion avenae (F.) (Hom., Aphididae) in single or mixed colonies in laboratory wheat cultures. Journal of Applied Entomology 113, 368 75.
46. Valenzuela I, Hoffmann AA, Malipatil M, Ridland P, Weeks AR, 2005. Low clonal diversity and no evidence of sex in southern Australian populations of the bird cherry-oat aphid, Rhopalosiphum padi (L.). In : Edwards O, ed. 7th International Symposium on Aphids. Australia : Fremantle, 23.
47. Werker AR, Dewar AM, Harrington R, 1998. Modelling the incidence of virus yellows in sugar beet in the UK in relation to numbers of migrating Myzus persicae. Journal of Applied Ecology 35, 811 8.
48. Wiktelius S, 1981. Diurnal flight periodicities and temperature thresholds for flight for different migrant forms of Rhopalosiphum padi (L.) (Hemiptera: Aphididae). Bulletin of Entomological Research 72, 157 63.
49. Wiktelius S, Pettersson J, 1985. Simulation of bird cherry-oat aphid population dynamics: a tool for developing strategies for breeding aphid-resistant plants. Agricultural Ecosystems and Environment 14, 159 70.
50. Zadoks JC, Chang TT, Konzak CF, 1974. A decimal code for the growth stages of cereals. Weed Research 14, 415 21.