Global climate patterns explain range-wide synchronicity in survival of a migratory seabird

Global Change Biology

Volumn 15, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 268-279

  Jenouvrier, Stephanie ^a,i   Thibault, Jean Claude ^b   Viallefont, Anne ^c   Vidal, Patrick ^d   Ristow, Dietrich ^e   Mougin, Jean Louis ^f   Brichetti, Pierandrea ^g   Borg, John J ^h   Bretagnolle, Vincent ^a  

^a CNRS   (France)

^b MUSÉUM NATIONAL D'HISTOIRE NATURELLE   (France)

^c UNIVERSITÉ LYON 1   (France)

^d CEEP   (France)

^e Laboratoire de Zoologie ^*  (Germany)

^f Lab des Mammiferes et Oiseaux   (France)

^g Centro Italiano Studi Ornitologici   (Italy)

^h National Museum of Natural History   (Malta)

ⁱ WOODS HOLE OCEANOGRAPHIC INSTITUTION   (United States)

Author keywords

Adult survival; Capture recapture models; Climate; Cory's shearwater; Southern Oscillation; Synchrony

Indexed keywords

CAPTURE METHOD; CLIMATE CHANGE; CLIMATE CONDITIONS; CLIMATE EFFECT; GLOBAL CHANGE; METAPOPULATION; SEABIRD; SOUTHERN OSCILLATION; SYNCHRONY;

CALONECTRIS DIOMEDEA;

EID: 58149489643     PISSN: 13541013     EISSN: 13652486     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01715.x     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. Altwegg R, Roulin A, Kestenholz M, Jenni L (2006) Demographic effects of extreme winter weather in the barn owl. Oecologia, 149, 44-51.
2. Anderson DR, Burnham KP (1999) General strategies for the analysis of ringing data. Bird Study, 46, S261-S270.
3. Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2003) Climate and density shape population dynamics of a marine top predator. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences, 270, 2111-2116.
4. Belda EJ, Sánchez A (2001) Seabird mortality in the Western Mediterranean: Factors affecting bycatch and proposed mitigating measures. Biological Conservation, 98, 357-363.
5. Borg JJ, Cachia-Zammit R (1998) Monitoring Cory's shearwater Calonectris diomedea populations in a hostile environment. In: Ecologie des oiseaux marins et gestion intégrée du littoral en Méditerranée (eds Walmsley J, Goutner V, El Hili A, Sultana J) IV Symposium Méditerranée des Oiseaux Marins, Hammamet, Tunisia.
6. Bretagnolle V, Lequette B (1990) Structural variation in the call of the Cory's shearwater. Ethology, 85, 313-323.
7. Brichetti P, Foschi UF, Boano G (2000) Does El Niño affect survival rate of Mediterranean populations of Cory's shearwater? Waterbirds, 23, 147-154.
8. Caddy JF, Refk R, Do-Chi T (1995) Productivity estimates for the Mediterranean: Evidence of accelerating ecological change. Ocean & Coastal Management, 26, 1-18.
9. Camphuysen CJ, Van Der Meer J (2001) Pelagic distribution, moult and (sub-) specific status of Cory's shearwaters Calonectris (d.) diomedea/ borealis wintering off southern Africa. Marine Ornithology, 29, 89-96.
10. Choquet R, Reboulet AM, Pradel R, Gimenez O, Lebreton JD (2004) M-SURGE: new software specifically designed for multistate capture-recapture models. Animal Biodiversity and Conservation, 27, 207-215.
11. Choquet R, Reboulet AM, Pradel R, Gimenez O, Lebreton JD (2005) U-Care User's Guide, Version 22. Montpellier (ftp://ftpcefecnrsfr/biom/Soft-CR/ U-CARE). CEFE, Montpellier, France.
12. Cooper J, Baccetti N, Belda EJ, Borg JJ, Oro D, Papaconstantinou C, Sanchez A (2003) Seabird mortality from longline fishing in the Mediterranean Sea and Macaronesian waters: A review and a way forward. Scientia Marina, 67, 57-64.
13. Crespin L, Harris MP, Lebreton JL, Wanless S (2006) Increased adult mortality and reduced breeding success with age in a population of common guillemot Uria aalge using marked birds of unknown age. Journal of Avian Biology, 37, 273-282.
14. Duffy DC (1990) Seabirds and the 1982-83 El Niño Southern Oscillation. In: Global Ecological Consequences of the 1982-1983 El Niño Southern Oscillation (ed. Glynn PW), pp. 395-415. Elsevier Oceanographic Series 52, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
15. Frederiksen M, Harris MP, Wanless S (2005) Inter-population variation in demographic parameters: A neglected subject? Oikos, 111, 209-214.
16. Frederiksen M, Wanless S, Harris MP, Rothery P, Wilson L (2004) The role of industrial fisheries and oceanographic change in the decline of North Sea black-legged kittiwakes. Journal of Applied Ecology, 41, 1129-1139.
17. Freudenthal T, Meggers H, Henderiks J et al. Upwelling intensity and filament activity of Morocco during the last 250,000 years. Deep-Sea Research Part II-Topical Studies in Oceanography, 49, 3655-3674.
18. Gaillard JM, Boutin JM, Delorme D, Van Laere G, Duncan P, Lebreton JD (1997) Early survival in roe deer: Causes and consequences of cohort variation in two contrasted populations. Oecologia, 112, 502-513.
19. Gaillard JM, Yoccoz NG (2003) Temporal variation in survival of mammals: a case of environmental canalization? Ecology, 84, 3294-3306.
20. Gimenez O, Choquet R, Lebreton JD (2003) Parameter redundancy in multistate capture-recapture models. Biometrical Journal, 45, 704-722.
21. Gould WR, Nichols JD (1998) Estimation of temporal variability of survival in animal populations. Ecology, 79, 2531-2538.
22. Hallett TB, Coulson T, Pilkington JG, Clutton-Brock TH, Pemberton M, Grenfell BT (2004) Why large-scale climate indices seem to predict ecological processes better than local weather. Nature, 430, 71-75.
23. Harris MP, Anker-Nilssen T, McCleery RH, Erikstad KE, Shaw DN, Grosbois V (2005) Effect of wintering area and climate on the survival of adult Atlantic puffins Fratercula arctica in the eastern Atlantic. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 297, 283-296.
24. Hudson PJ (1985) Population parameters for the Atlantic alcidae. In: The Atlantic Alcidae (eds Nettleship DN, Birdhead TR), pp. 233-261. Academic Press, London.
25. Jenouvrier S, Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2003) Effects of climate variability on the temporal population dynamics of southern fulmars. Journal of Animal Ecology, 72, 576-587.
26. Jenouvrier S, Barbraud C, Weimerskirch H (2005) Long-term contrasted responses to climate of two Antarctic seabirds species. Ecology, 86, 2889-2903.
27. Jenouvrier S, Tavecchia G, Thibault J-C, Choquet R, Bretagnolle V (2008) Recruitment processes in long-lived species with delayed maturity: estimating key demographic parameters. Oikos, 117, 620-628.
28. Lebreton JD, Burnham KP, Clobert J, Anderson DR (1992) Modeling survival and testing biological hypotheses using marked animals: A unified approach with case studies. Ecological Monographs, 62, 67-118.
29. Lebreton JD, Clobert J (1990) Bird population dynamics, management and conservation: The role of mathematical modelling. In: Bird Population Studies: Their Relevance to Conservation and Management (eds Perrins CM, Lebreton JD, Hirons GJM), pp. 105-125. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
30. Loison A, Sæther BE, Jerstad K, Røstad OW (2002) Disentangling the sources of variation in the survival of the European dipper. Journal of Applied Statistics, 29, 289-304.
31. Margalef R (1985) Environmental control of the mesoscale distribution of primary producers and its bearing to primary production in the western Mediterranean. In: Mediterranean Marine Ecosystems (eds Moraitou-Apostopoulou M, Kiortsi V), pp. 213-229. Plenum Press, New York.
32. Morris WF, Doak DF (2004) Buffering of life histories against environmental stochasticity: Accounting for a spurious correlation between the variabilities of vital rates and their contributions to fitness. American Naturalist, 163, 579-590.
33. Mougin JL, Jouanin C, Roux R (2000) Démographie du Puffin cendréCalonectris diomedea de Selvagem Grande (30°09′N, 15°52′W). Revue d'Écologie, 55, 275-290.
34. Ottersen G, Planque B, Belgrano A, Post E, Stenseth NC (2001) Ecological effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation. Oecologia, 128, 1-14.
35. Pradel R (1993) Flexibility in survival analysis from recapture data: handling trap-dependence. In: Marked Individuals in the Study of Bird Populations (eds Lebreton JD, North PM), pp. 29-37. Birkhäuser Verlag, Basel, Switzerland.
36. Rabouam C, Bretagnolle V, Thibault J-C (1998) Geographic variation in the breeding biology of the Cory's shearwater: An effect of body size or environment? In: Ecologie des oiseaux marins et gestion intégrée du littoral en Méditerranée. 4ème Symposium Méditerranéen des Oiseaux Marins, Hammamet, Tunisia.
37. Ristow D, Berthold P, Hashmi D, Querner U (2000) Satellite tracking of Cory's shearwater migration. Condor, 102, 696-699.
38. Ristow D, Wink M (1980) Sexual dimorphism of Cory's shearwater. Il-Merill, 21, 9-12.
39. Rolland V, Barbraud C, Weimerskirch W (2008) Combined effects of fisheries and climate on a migratory long-lived marine predator. Journal of Applied Ecology, 45, 4-13.
40. Royama T (1992) Analytical Population Dynamics. Chapman & Hall, London.
41. Saether BE, Bakke O (2000) Avian life history variation and contribution of demographic trait to the population growth rate. Ecology, 81, 642-653.
42. Sandvik H, Erikstad K, Barrett R, Yoccoz G (2005) The effect of climate on adult survival in five species of North Atlantic seabirds. Journal of Animal Ecology, 74, 817-831.
43. Sarà M (1993) Feeding habits of Cory's shearwater (Calonectris diomedea) in the Central Mediterranean Sea. In: Status and Conservation of Seabirds (eds Aguilar JS, Monbailliu X, Paterson AM), pp. 213-220. Proceedings of the 2nd Mediterranean Seabird Symposium MEDMARAVIS/SEO, Madrid, Spain.
44. Schaub M, Wojciech K, Koppens U (2005) Variation of primary production during winter induces synchrony in survival rates in migratory white storks Ciconia ciconia. Journal of Animal Ecology, 74, 656-667.
45. Stearns SC (1992) The Evolution of Life Histories. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
46. Stenseth NC, Ottersen G, Hurrel JW et al. (2003) Studying climate effects on ecology through the use of climate indices: The North Atlantic Oscillation, El Niño Southern Oscillation and beyond. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B, 270, 2087-2096.
47. Stenseth NC, Ottersen G, Hurrel JW, Belgrano A (2004) Marine Ecosystems and Climate Variation: The North Atlantic: A Comparative Perspective. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
48. Tavecchia G, Pradel R, Boy V, Johnson A, Cézilly F (2001) Sex- and age-related variation in survival probability and the cost of the first reproduction in breeding greater flamingos. Ecology, 82, 165-174.
49. Thibault JC, Rabouam C, Bretagnolle V (1997) Calonectris diomedea Cory's shearwater. Birds of the Western Palearctic, Update 1, 75-98.
50. Walther GR, Post E, Convey P et al. (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature, 416, 389-395.
51. White GC, Burnham KP (1999) Program MARK: Survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study, 46 (Suppl.), 120-138.