Projecting fine resolution land-cover dynamics for a rapidly changing terrestrial-aquatic transition in Terrebonne Basin, Louisiana, U.S.A.

Journal of Coastal Research

Volumn 24, Issue 6, 2008, Pages 1545-1554

  Shirley, Laura J ^a   Battaglia, Loretta L ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE   (Australia)

^b SOUTHERN ILLINOIS UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Climate change; Coastal wetlands; GIS; Gulf Intracoastal Waterway; Louisiana; Sea level rise; Spatial modeling; Subsidence

Indexed keywords

ACCURACY ASSESSMENT; AERIAL PHOTOGRAPHY; CELLULAR AUTOMATON; CLIMATE CHANGE; COASTAL WETLAND; GIS; LAND COVER; MARKOV CHAIN; MODEL VALIDATION; SCRUB; SEA LEVEL CHANGE; SHRUB; SPATIAL ANALYSIS; SUBSIDENCE;

LOUISIANA; NORTH AMERICA; TERREBONNE BASIN; UNITED STATES;

EID: 57849160231     PISSN: 07490208     EISSN: 15515036     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.2112/07-0903.1     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. BAKER, W.L., 1989. A review of models of landscape change. Landscape Ecology, 2, 111-133.
2. BATTAGLIA, L.L.; DENSLOW, J.S, and HARGIS, T.G., 2007. Does woody species establishment alter herbaceous community composition of freshwater floating marshes? Journal of Coastal Research, 23, 1580-1587.
3. BATTAGLIA, L.L; KEOUGH, J.R., and PRITCHETT, D.W., 1995. Early secondary succession in a southeastern U.S. alluvial floodplain. Journal of Vegetation Science, 6, 769-776.
4. BATTAGLIA, L.L. and SHARITZ, R.R., 2006. Response of floodplain forest species to spatially condensed gradients: a test of the flood-shade tolerance tradeoff hypothesis. Oecologia, 147, 108-118.
5. BAUMANN, R.H.; DAY, J.W., JR., and MILLER, C.A., 1984. Mississippi Deltaic wetland survival: sedimentation versus coastal submergence. Science, 224, 1093-1096.
6. BOWMAN, D.M.J.S.; WALSH, A., and MILNE, D.J., 2001. Forest expansion and grassland contraction within a Eucalyptus savanna matrix between 1941 and 1994 at Litchfield National Park in the Australian monsoon tropics. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 10, 535-548.
7. BOURNE, J., 2000. Louisiana's vanishing wetlands: going, going? Science, 289, 1860-1863.
8. BRINSON, M.M.; CHRISTIAN, R.R., and BLUM, L.K., 1995. Multiple states in the sea-level induced transition from terrestrial forest to estuary. Estuaries, 18, 648-659.
9. CONNER, W.H. and BRODY, M., 1989. Rising water levels and the future of southeastern Louisiana swamp forests. Estuaries, 12, 318-323.
10. CONNER, W.H. and DAY, J.W., JR., 1998. Rising water levels in coastal Louisiana - implications for two forested wetland areas in Louisiana. Journal of Coastal Research, 4, 589-596.
11. COSTANZA, R.; SKLAR, F.H., and WHITE, M.L., 1990. Modeling coastal landscape dynamics. BioScience, 40, 91-107.
12. DAY, J.W., JR.; PONT, D.; HENSEL, P.F., and IBANEZ, C., 1995. Impacts of sea-level rise in deltas in the Gulf of Mexico and the Mediterranean: the importance of pulsing events to sustainability. Estuaries, 18, 636-647.
13. DAY, J.W.; SHAFFER, G.P.; BRITSCH, L.D.; REED, D.J.; HAWES, S.R., and CAHOON, D.R., 2000. Pattern and process of land loss in the Mississippi Delta: a spatial and temporal analysis of wetland habitat change. Estuaries, 23, 425-438.
14. DELAUNE, R.D.; WHITCOMB, J.H.; PATRICK, W.H., JR.; PARDUE, J.H., and PEZESHKI, S.R., 1989. Accretion and canal impacts in a rapidly subsiding wetland. 1. 137Cs and 210Pb techniques. Estuaries, 12, 247-259.
15. DENSLOW, J.S. and BATTAGLIA, L.L., 2002. Stand composition and structure across a changing hydrologic gradient: Jean Lafitte National Park. Wetlands, 22, 738-752.
16. EASTMAN, J.R. 2006. IDRISI Andes Guide to GIS and Image Processing. Worcester, Massachusetts: Clarke Labs for Cartographic Technology and Geographic Analysis, Clark University.
17. HODGES, J.D., 1997. Development and ecology of bottomland hardwood sites. Forest Ecology and Management, 90, 117-125.
18. HOLM, G.O. and SASSER, C.E., 2001. Differential salinity response between two Mississippi River subdeltas: implications for changes in plant composition. Estuaries, 24, 78-89.
19. HOUET, T. and HUBERT-MOY, L., 2006. Modelling and projecting land-use and land-cover changes with a cellular automaton in considering landscape trajectories: an improvement for simulation of plausible future states. EARSeL eProceedings, 5, 63-76.
20. INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE (IPCC), 2001. Summary for Policymakers: A Report of Working Group I of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 398 p.
21. JONES, R.H.; SHARITZ, R.R.; DIXON, P.M.; SEGAL, D.S., and SCHNEIDER, R.L., 1994. Woody plant regeneration in four floodplain forests. Ecological Monographs, 64, 345-367.
22. KADMON, R. and HARARI-KREMER, R., 1999. Studying long-term vegetation dynamics using digital processing of historical aerial photographs - Israel and Jordan. Remote Sensing of Environment, 68, 164-176.
23. KEDDY, P.A., 2000. Wetland Ecology: Principles and Conservation. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 614p.
24. KENNISH, M.J., 2001. Coastal salt marsh systems in the U.S.: a review of anthropogenic impacts. Journal of Coastal Research, 7, 839-852.
25. KENNISH, M J., 2002. Environmental threats and environmental future of estuaries. Environmental Conservation, 29, 78-107.
26. MARTIN, J.F.; REYES, E.; KEMP, G.P.; MASHRIQUI, H., and DAY, J.W., JR., 2002. Landscape modeling of the Mississippi Delta. Bioscience, 52, 357-365.
27. MAST, J.N.; VEBLEN, T.T., and HODGSON, M.E., 1997. Tree invasion within the pine/grassland ecotone: an approach with historic aerial photography and GIS modeling. Forest Ecology and Management, 93, 187-194.
28. MICHENER, W.K.; BLOOD, E.R.; BILDSTEIN, K.L; BRINSON, M.M., and GARDNER, L.R., 1997. Climate change, hurricanes and tropical storms, and rising sea level in coastal wetlands. Ecological Applications, 7, 770-801.
29. PAEGELOW, M. and CAMACHO OLMEDO, M.T., 2005. Possibilities and limits of prospective GIS land cover modelling - a compared case study: Garrotxes (France) and Alta Alpujarra Granadina (Spain). International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 19, 697-722.
30. PARK, R.A.; LEE, J.K.; MAUSEL, P.W., and HOWE, R.C., 1991. Using remote sensing for modeling the impacts of sea level rise. World Resource Review, 3: 184-205.
31. PENLAND, S. and RAMSEY, K.E., 1990. Relative sea-level rise in Louisiana and the Gulf of Mexico; 1908-1988. Journal of Coastal Research, 6, 323-342.
32. PONTIUS, R.G., JR., 2000. Quantification error versus location error in comparison of categorical maps. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 66, 1011-1016.
33. PONTIUS, R.G., JR., 2002. Statistical methods to partition effects of quantity and location during comparison of categorical maps at multiple resolutions. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, 68, 1041-1049.
34. PONTIUS, R.G., JR., and MALANSON, J., 2005. Comparison of the structure and accuracy of two land change models. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 19, 243-265.
35. PONTIUS, R.G., JR.; BOERSMA, W.; CASTELLA, J.; CLARKE, K.; DE NIJS, T.; DIETZEL, C.; ZENGQIANG, D.; FOTSING, E.; GOLDSTEIN, N.; KOK, K.; KOOMEN, E.; LIPPITT, C.D.; MCCONNELL, W.; PIJANOWSKI, B.; PITHADIA, S.; MOHD SOOD, A.; SWEENEY, S.; TRUNG, T.N.; VELDKAMP, A.T., and VERBURG, P.H., 2007. Comparing the input, output, and validation maps for several models of land change. Annals of Regional Science, 10.1007/s00168-007-0138-2.
36. PONTIUS, R.G., JR.; HUFFAKER, D., and DENMAN, D., 2004. Useful techniques of validation for spatially explicit land-change models. Ecological Modelling, 179, 445-461.
37. REYES, E.; WHITE, M.L.; MARTIN, J.F.; KEMP, G.P.; DAY, J.W., and ARAVAMUTHAN., V. 2000. Landscape modeling of coastal habitat change in the Mississippi Delta. Ecology, 81, 2331-2349.
38. RUSSELL, R.J., 1942. Flotant. Geographical Review, 32, 74-98.
39. SASSER, C.E.; DOZIER, M.D.; GOSSELINK J.G., and HILL, J.M., 1986. Spatial and temporal changes in Louisiana's Barataria basin marshes, 1945-1980. Environmental Management, 10, 671-680.
40. SASSER, C.E.; GOSSELINK, J.G.; SWENSON, E.M.; SWARZENSKI, C.M., and LEIBOWITZ, N.C., 1996. Vegetation, substrate and hydrology in floating marshes in the Mississippi river delta plain wetlands, USA. Vegetatio, 122, 129-142.
41. SCAVIA, D.; FIELD, J.C.; BOESCH, D.F.; BUDDEMEIER, R.W.; BURKETT, V.; CAYAN, D.R.; FOGARTY, M.; HARWELL, M.A.; HOWARTH, R.W.; MASON, C.; REED, D.J.; ROYER, T.C.; SALLENGER, A.H., and TITUS, J.G., 2002. Climate change impacts on US coastal and marine ecosystems. Estuaries, 25, 149-164.
42. SHAFFER, G.P.; SASSER, C.E.; GOSSELINK, J.G., and REJMANEK, M., 1992. Vegetation dynamics in the emerging Atchafalaya Delta, Louisiana, USA. Journal of Ecology, 80, 677-687.
43. SHARITZ, R.R. and PENNINGS, S.C., 2006. Development of wetland plant communities. In: BATZER, D.P. and SHARITZ, R.R. (eds.) Ecology of Freshwater and Estuarine Wetlands. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press, pp. 177-241.
44. SHIRLEY, L.J. and BATTAGLIA, L.L., 2006. Assessing vegetation change in coastal marsh-forest transitions along the northern Gulf of Mexico using National Wetlands Inventory data. Wetlands, 26, 1057-1070.
45. SMALL, C. and NICHOLLS, R.J., 2003. A global analysis of human settlement in coastal zones. Journal of Coastal Research, 19, 584-599.
46. SWARZENSKI, C.M.; SWENSON, E.M.; SASSER, C.E., and GOSSELINK, J.G., 1991. Marsh mat flotation in the Louisiana Delta Plain. Journal of Ecology, 79, 999-1011.
47. TITUS, J.G.; PARK, R.A.; LEATHERMAN, S.P.; WEGGEL, J.R.; GREENE, M.S.; MAUSEL, P.W.; BROWN, S.; GAUNT C.; TREHAN, M., and YOHE, G., 1991. Greenhouse effect and sea level rise: the cost of holding back the sea. Coastal Management, 19, 171-204.
48. TURNER, M.G., 1989. Landscape ecology: the effect of pattern on process. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 20, 171-197.
49. U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (USFWS), 2003. Monitoring Plan, Mandalay Bank Protection (DEMO). Project no. TE-41.
50. VELDKAMP, A. and LAMBIN, E.F., 2001. Predicting land-use change. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 85, 1-6.
51. VISSER, J.M.; SASSER, C.E.; CHABRECK, R.H., and LINSCOMBE, R.G., 1998. Marsh vegetation types of the Mississippi River Deltaic Plain. Estuaries, 21, 818-828.
52. VISSER, J.M.; SASSER, C.E.; CHABRECK, R.H., and LINSCOMBE, R.G., 1999. Long-term vegetation changes in Louisiana tidal marshes. Wetlands, 19, 168-175.
53. WEAVER, K. and PERERA, A.H., 2004. Modelling land cover transitions: a solution to the problem of spatial dependence in data. Landscape Ecology, 19, 273-289.
54. WILLIAMS, K.; EWEL, K.C.; STUMPF, R.P.; PUTZ, F.E., and WORKMAN, T.W., 1999a. Sea-level rise and coastal forest retreat on the west coast of Florida, USA. Ecology, 80, 2045-2063.
55. WILLIAMS, K.; PINZON, A.S.; STUMPF, R.P., and RAABE, E.A., 1999b. Sea Level Rise and Coastal Forest on the Gulf of Mexico. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 99-441.
56. WILLIAMSON, G.B.; BARKER, N.G., and LONGSTRETH, D.J., 1984. Death of Wax Myrtle along Coastal Louisiana Marshes. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Louisiana State University, Final Report.