Impact of public health interventions in controlling the spread of SARS: Modelling of intervention scenarios

International Journal of Hygiene and Environmental Health

Volumn 212, Issue 1, 2009, Pages 67-75

  Krumkamp, Ralf ^a   Duerr, Hans Peter ^b   Reintjes, Ralf ^a,c   Ahmad, Amena ^a   Kassen, Annette ^a   Eichner, Martin ^b  

^a HAMBURG UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES   (Germany)

^b UNIVERSITY OF TÜBINGEN   (Germany)

^c UNIVERSITY OF TAMPERE   (Finland)

Author keywords

Global outbreak containment; Intervention measures; Mathematical modelling; Policy advice; SARS

Indexed keywords

ARTICLE; DISEASE TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIC; HOSPITAL; HUMAN; INFECTION CONTROL; METHODOLOGY; PUBLIC HEALTH; SEVERE ACUTE RESPIRATORY SYNDROME; THEORETICAL MODEL; VACCINATION;

COMMUNICABLE DISEASE CONTROL; DISEASE OUTBREAKS; HOSPITALS; HUMANS; MODELS, THEORETICAL; PUBLIC HEALTH; QUARANTINE; SEVERE ACUTE RESPIRATORY SYNDROME; VACCINATION;

EID: 57649092023     PISSN: 14384639     EISSN: 1618131X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2008.01.004     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Abdullah A.S., Tomlinson B., Cockram C.S., and Thomas G.N. Lessons from the severe acute respiratory syndrome outbreak in Hong Kong. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 9 9 (2003) 1042-1045
2. Balasegaram M., and Schnur A. China: from denial to mass mobilization. In: WHO (World Health Organization) (Ed). SARS - How A Global Epidemic Was Stopped (2006), WHO, Geneva 73-85
3. Balicer R.D., Huerta M., Davidovitch N., and Grotto I. Cost-benefit of stockpiling drugs for influenza pandemic. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 11 8 (2005) 1280-1282
4. Bansal S., Pourbohloul B., and Meyers L.A. A comparative analysis of influenza vaccination programs. PLoS. Med. 3 10 (2006) e387
5. Becker N.G., Glass K., Li Z., and Aldis G.K. Controlling emerging infectious diseases like SARS. Math Biosci. 193 2 (2005) 205-221
6. Bell D.M., and World Health Organization Working Group on International and Community Transmission of SARS. Public health interventions and SARS spread, 2003. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 11 (2004) 190-196
7. Chen Y.C., Huang L.M., Chan C.C., et al. SARS in hospital emergency room. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 5 (2004) 782-788
8. Chowell G., Castillo-Chavez C., Fenimore P.W., Kribs-Zaleta C.M., Arriola L., and Hyman J.M. Model parameters and outbreak control for SARS. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 7 (2004) 1258-1263
9. Day T., Park A., Madras N., Gumel A., and Wu J. When is quarantine a useful control strategy for emerging infectious diseases?. Am. J. Epidemiol. 163 5 (2006) 479-485
10. Dietz K. The estimation of the basic reproduction number for infectious diseases. Stat. Methods Med. Res. 2 1 (1993) 23-41
11. Duerr H.P., Brockmann S.O., Piechotowski I., Schwehm M., and Eichner M. Influenza pandemic intervention planning using InfluSim: pharmaceutical and non- pharmaceutical interventions. BMC Infect. Dis. 7 (2007) 76
12. Eichner M. Case isolation and contact tracing can prevent the spread of smallpox. Am. J. Epidemiol. 158 2 (2003) 118-128
13. Eichner M., Schwehm M., Duerr H.P., and Brockmann S.O. The influenza pandemic preparedness planning tool InfluSim. BMC Infect. Dis. 7 (2007) 17
14. Gillim-Ross L., and Subbarao K. Emerging respiratory viruses: challenges and vaccine strategies. Clin. Microbiol. Rev. 19 4 (2006) 614-636
15. Gopalakrishna G., Choo P., Leo Y.S., et al. SARS transmission and hospital containment. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 3 (2004) 395-400
16. Hawryluck L., Gold W.L., Robinson S., Pogorski S., Galea S., and Styra R. SARS control and psychological effects of quarantine, Toronto, Canada. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 (2004) 1206-1212
17. Heymann D.L., Rodier G.R., and WHO Operational Support Team to the Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network. Hot spots in a wired world: WHO surveillance of emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases. Lancet. Infect. Dis. 5 (2001) 345-353
18. Hsieh Y.H., King C.C., Chen C.W., et al. Quarantine for SARS, Taiwan. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 11 2 (2005) 278-282
19. Hsu L.Y., Lee C.C., Green J.A., Ang B., and Paton N.I. Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in Singapore: clinical features of index patient and initial contacts. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 9 6 (2003) 713-717
20. Klinkenberg D., Fraser C., and Heesterbeek H. The effectiveness of contact tracing in emerging epidemics. PLoS ONE 20 1 (2006) e12
21. Koh D., Lim M.K., Chia S.E., et al. Risk perception and impact of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) on work and personal lives of healthcare workers in Singapore: what can we learn?. Med. Care 43 7 (2005) 676-682
22. Lau J.T., Tsui H., Lau M., and Yang X. SARS transmission, risk factors, and prevention in Hong Kong. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 4 (2004) 587-592
23. Lau J.T., Fung K.S., Wong T.W., et al. SARS transmission among hospital workers in Hong Kong. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 2 (2004) 280-286
24. Lipsitch M., Cohen T., Cooper B., et al. Transmission dynamics and control of severe acute respiratory syndrome. Science 300 5627 (2003) 1966-1970
25. Lloyd-Smith J.O., Schreiber S.J., Kopp P.E., and Getz W.M. Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence. Nature 438 7066 (2005) 355-359
26. Loutfy M.R., Wallington T., Rutledge T., Mederski B., Rose K., Kwolek S., McRitchie D., et al. Hospital preparedness and SARS. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 5 (2004) 771-776
27. Maunder R., Hunter J., Vincent L., et al. The immediate psychological and occupational impact of the 2003 SARS outbreak in a teaching hospital. Can Med. Assoc. J. 168 (2003) 1245-1251
28. McDonald L.C., Simor A.E., Su I.J., et al. SARS in healthcare facilities, Toronto and Taiwan. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 5 (2004) 777-781
29. Morens D.M., Folkers G.K., and Fauci A.S. The challenge of emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases. Nature 430 (2004) 242-249
30. Pang X., Zhu Z., Xu F., et al. Evaluation of control measures implemented in the severe acute respiratory syndrome outbreak in Beijing, 2003. JAMA 290 (2003) 3215-3221
31. Person B., Sy F., Holton K., Govert B., Liang A., and National Center for Infectious Diseases/SARS Community Outreach Team. Fear and stigma: the epidemic within the SARS outbreak. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 2 (2004) 358-363
32. Riley S., Fraser C., and Donnelly C.A. Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions. Science 300 (2003) 1961-1966
33. Rutledge T., Penciner R., and Popovich K. SARS assessment clinic: a rapid response to an infectious outbreak. Can. J. Emergency Med. 7 3 (2005) 162-167
34. Seto W.H., Tsang D., Yung R.W., et al. Effectiveness of precautions against droplets and contact in prevention of nosocomial transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). Lancet 361 9368 (2003) 1519-1520
35. Shen Z., Ning F., Zhou W., et al. Superspreading SARS events, Beijing, 2003. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 10 2 (2004) 256-260
36. Svoboda T., Henry B., Shulman L., et al. Public health measures to control the spread of the severe acute respiratory syndrome during the outbreak in Toronto. N. Engl. J. Med. 350 23 (2004) 2352-2361
37. Tan C.C. Public health response: a view form Singapore. In: Peiris M., Anderson L.J., Osterhaus A.D.M.E., Stohr K., and Yuen K.Y. (Eds). Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (2005), Blackwell Publishing, Massachusetts 139-164
38. Timen A., van Doornum G.J., Schutten M., et al. Public health implications of using various case definitions in the Netherlands during the worldwide SARS outbreak. Clin. Microbiol. Infect. 12 12 (2006) 1214-1220
39. Tomlinson B., and Cockram C. SARS: experience at Prince of Wales hospital, Hong Kong. Lancet 361 (2003) 1486-1487
40. Varia M., Wilson S., Sarwal S., et al. Investigation of a nosocomial outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in Toronto, Canada. Can. Med. Assoc. J. 169 (2003) 285-292
41. WHO (World Health Organization), 2003a. SARS: lessons from a new disease. In: The World Health Report 2003. WHO, Geneva, pp. 71-82.
42. WHO (World Health Organization), 2003b. Consensus document on the epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). WHO 〈http://www.who.int/csr/sars/en/WHOconsensus.pdf〉 (accessed March 15th 2007).
43. WHO (World Health Organization), 2003c. Case definitions for surveillance of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). WHO/Epidemic and Pandemic Alert and Response (EPR). Available: 〈www.who.int/csr/sars/casedefinition/en/〉 (accessed March 15th 2007).
44. WHO (World Health Organization), 2004. Summary of probable SARS cases with onset of illness from 1 November 2002 to 31 July 2003. Available: 〈http://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/table2004_04_21/en〉 (accessed March 15th 2007).