The 2005/06 winter in Europe and the United Kingdom: Part 1 –How the Met Office forecast was produced and communicated

Weather

Volumn 61, Issue 12, 2006, Pages 327-336

  Graham, R J ^a   Gordon, C ^a   Huddleston, M R ^a   Davey, M ^a   Norton, W ^b   Colman, A ^a   Scaife, A A ^a   Brookshaw, A ^a   Ingleby, B ^a   McLean, P ^a   Cusack, S ^a   McCallum, E ^a   Elliott, W ^a   Groves, K ^a   Cotgrove, D ^a   Robinson, D ^a  

^a Exeter Medical School   (United Kingdom)

^b UNIVERSITY OF READING   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 57349104242     PISSN: 00431656     EISSN: 14778696     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1256/wea.181.06     Document Type: Article

References (11)

1. Folland, C. K., Parker, D. E., Scaife, A. A., Kennedy, J., Colman, A., Brookshaw, A., Cusack. S. and Huddleston, M. R. (2006) The 2005/06 winter in Europe and the United Kingdom: Part 2: Prediction techniques and their assessment against observations. Weather, 61, pp. 337–346
2. Graham, R. J., Gordon, M., McLean, P. J., Ineson, S., Huddleston, M. R., Davey, M. K., Brookshaw, A. and Barnes, R. T. H. (2005) A performance comparison of coupled and uncoupled versions of the Met Office seasonal prediction General Circulation Model. Tellus, 57A, pp. 320–339
3. Hagedorn, R., Doblas-Reyes, F. J. and Palmer, T. N. (2005) The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting –I. Basic concept. Tellus, 57A, pp. 219–233
4. Ingleby, B. and Huddleston, M. R. (2006) Quality control of ocean temperature and salinity profiles –historical and real-time data. J. Marine Systems, Accepted
5. Iwi, A. M., Sutton, R. T. and Norton, W. A. (2006) Influence of May Atlantic Ocean initial conditions on subsequent North Atlantic winter climate. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 132, (In Press)
6. Osborn, T. J. (2006) Recent variations in the winter North Atlantic Oscillation. Weather, 61, pp. 353–355
7. Rodwell, M. J., Drevillion, M., Frankignoul, C., Hurrell, J. W., Pohlmann, H., Stendel, M. and Sutton, R. H. (2004) North Atlantic forcing of climate and its uncertainty from a multi-model experiment. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 134, pp. 2013–2032
8. Rodwell, M. J. and Folland, C. K. (2002) Atlantic air-sea interaction and seasonal predictability. Q. J. R Meteorol. Soc., 128, pp. 1413–1443
9. Saunders, M. A. and Lea A. S. (2006) The 2005–06 UK and European winter: the UCL forecast and its assessment against observations. Weather, 61, pp. 347–352
10. Timlin, M. S., Alexander, M. A. and Deser, C. (2002) On the re-emergence of North Atlantic SST anomalies. J. Clim., 15, pp. 2707–2712
11. Ward, M. N. and Folland, C. K. (1991) Prediction of seasonal rainfall in the north Nordeste of Brazil using eigenvectors of sea-surface temperature. Int. J. Climatol., 11, pp. 711–743