메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn , Issue 323, 2008, Pages 139-147

Measurements, models, management and uncertainty: The future of hydrological science

Author keywords

Hydrology; Management and uncertainty; Measurements; Models

Indexed keywords

CATCHMENTS; EARTH SCIENCES; MANAGEMENT; MEASUREMENTS; PROBLEM SOLVING; REMOTE SENSING; RIVERS; RUNOFF; SPACE OPTICS; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; WATER; WATER CONTENT; WATER MANAGEMENT; WATER QUALITY; WATER SUPPLY; WATERSHEDS;

EID: 55849095132     PISSN: 01447815     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: None     Document Type: Conference Paper
Times cited : (2)

References (39)
  • 2
    • 0024471068 scopus 로고
    • Changing ideas in hydrology: The case of physically based models
    • Beven, K. J. (1989) Changing ideas in hydrology: the case of physically based models. J. Hydrol. 105, 157-172.
    • (1989) J. Hydrol , vol.105 , pp. 157-172
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 3
    • 0034896615 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • How far can we go in distributed hydrological modelling?
    • Beven, K. J. (2001) How far can we go in distributed hydrological modelling? Hydrol. Earth System Sci. 5, 1-12.
    • (2001) Hydrol. Earth System Sci , vol.5 , pp. 1-12
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 4
    • 67049137556 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards a coherent philosophy for environmental modelling
    • Beven, K. J. (2002) Towards a coherent philosophy for environmental modelling, Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. A 458, 2465-2484.
    • (2002) Proc. Roy. Soc. Lond. A , vol.458 , pp. 2465-2484
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 5
    • 2542527726 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Surface runoff at the Horton Hydrologie Laboratory (or not?)
    • Beven, K. J. (2004a) Surface runoff at the Horton Hydrologie Laboratory (or not?) J. Hydrol. 293, 219-234.
    • (2004) J. Hydrol , vol.293 , pp. 219-234
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 6
    • 2542581537 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robert Horton's perceptual model of infiltration
    • Beven, K. J. (2004b) Robert Horton's perceptual model of infiltration. Hydrol. Processes 18, 3447-3460.
    • (2004) Hydrol. Processes , vol.18 , pp. 3447-3460
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 7
    • 2542607527 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Robert Horton and abrupt rises of groundwater
    • Beven, K. J. (2004c) Robert Horton and abrupt rises of groundwater. Hydrol. Processes 18, 3687-3696.
    • (2004) Hydrol. Processes , vol.18 , pp. 3687-3696
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 8
    • 33748792555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On undermining the science?
    • Beven, K. J. (2006a) On undermining the science? Hydrol. Processes (HPToday) 20, 3141-3146.
    • (2006) Hydrol. Processes (HPToday) , vol.20 , pp. 3141-3146
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 9
    • 33644526990 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A manifesto for the equifinality thesis
    • Beven, K. J. (2006b) A manifesto for the equifinality thesis. J. Hydrol. 320, 18-36.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol , vol.320 , pp. 18-36
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 12
    • 33846366974 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Working towards integrated environmental models of everywhere: Uncertainty, data, and modelling as a learning process
    • Beven, K. J. (2007) Working towards integrated environmental models of everywhere: uncertainty, data, and modelling as a learning process. Hydrol. Earth System Sci. 11(1), 460-467.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Earth System Sci , vol.11 , Issue.1 , pp. 460-467
    • Beven, K.J.1
  • 14
    • 0027009437 scopus 로고
    • The future of distributed models: Model calibration and uncertainty prediction
    • Beven, K. J. & Binley, A. M. (1992) The future of distributed models: model calibration and uncertainty prediction. Hydrol. Processes 6, 279-298.
    • (1992) Hydrol. Processes , vol.6 , pp. 279-298
    • Beven, K.J.1    Binley, A.M.2
  • 15
    • 43449131518 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • So just why would a modeller choose to be incoherent?
    • in press
    • Beven, K. J., Smith, P. J. & Freer, J. (2008) So just why would a modeller choose to be incoherent? J. Hydrol. (in press).
    • (2008) J. Hydrol
    • Beven, K.J.1    Smith, P.J.2    Freer, J.3
  • 16
    • 0033838147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equifinality and uncertainty in physically-based soil erosion models: Application of the GLUE methodology to WEPP, the Water Erosion Prediction Project - for sites in the UK and USA
    • Brazier, R. E., Beven, K. J., Freer, J. & Rowan, J. S. (2000) Equifinality and uncertainty in physically-based soil erosion models: application of the GLUE methodology to WEPP, the Water Erosion Prediction Project - for sites in the UK and USA. Earth Surf. Process. Landf. 25, 825-845.
    • (2000) Earth Surf. Process. Landf , vol.25 , pp. 825-845
    • Brazier, R.E.1    Beven, K.J.2    Freer, J.3    Rowan, J.S.4
  • 17
    • 33845866658 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Multi-period and multi-criteria model conditioning to reduce prediction uncertainty in distributed rainfall-runoff modelling within GLUE framework
    • Choi, H. -T. & Beven, K. J. (2007) Multi-period and multi-criteria model conditioning to reduce prediction uncertainty in distributed rainfall-runoff modelling within GLUE framework. J. Hydrol. 332, 216-336.
    • (2007) J. Hydrol , vol.332 , pp. 216-336
    • Choi, H.-T.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 18
    • 33845700101 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Feyen, L., Vrugt, J. A., O Nuallain, B., van der Knijff, J. & De Roo, A. (2007) Parameter optimisation and uncertainty assessment for large-scale streamflow simulation with the LISFLOOD model. J. Hydrol. (submitted).
    • Feyen, L., Vrugt, J. A., O Nuallain, B., van der Knijff, J. & De Roo, A. (2007) Parameter optimisation and uncertainty assessment for large-scale streamflow simulation with the LISFLOOD model. J. Hydrol. (submitted).
  • 19
    • 0026896547 scopus 로고
    • Hydrogeological decision analysis: 4. The concept of data worth and its use in the development of site investigation strategies
    • Freeze, R. A., James, B., Massmann, J., Sperling, T. & Smith, L. (1992) Hydrogeological decision analysis: 4. The concept of data worth and its use in the development of site investigation strategies. Ground Water 30, 574-588.
    • (1992) Ground Water , vol.30 , pp. 574-588
    • Freeze, R.A.1    James, B.2    Massmann, J.3    Sperling, T.4    Smith, L.5
  • 20
    • 55849130145 scopus 로고
    • The influence of data length, information content, and noise characteristics on model calibration
    • ed. by H. W. Shen et al, Colorado State University Press, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA
    • Gupta, V. K. & Sorooshian, S. (1986) The influence of data length, information content, and noise characteristics on model calibration. In: Multivariate Analysis of Hydrologic Processes (ed. by H. W. Shen et al.) 434-449. Colorado State University Press, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA.
    • (1986) Multivariate Analysis of Hydrologic Processes , pp. 434-449
    • Gupta, V.K.1    Sorooshian, S.2
  • 21
    • 0031922634 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards improved calibration of hydrologic models: Multiple and incommensurable measures of information
    • Gupta, H. V., Sorooshian, S. & Yapo, P. O. (1998) Towards improved calibration of hydrologic models: multiple and incommensurable measures of information. Water Resour. Res. 34, 751-763.
    • (1998) Water Resour. Res , vol.34 , pp. 751-763
    • Gupta, H.V.1    Sorooshian, S.2    Yapo, P.O.3
  • 22
    • 55849143836 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On not undermining the science: Discussion of invited commentary by Keith Beven
    • Hall, J., O'Connell, E. & Ewen, J. (2007) On not undermining the science: Discussion of invited commentary by Keith Beven, Hydrol. Processes 20, 3141-3146 (2006).
    • (2006) Hydrol. Processes , vol.20 , pp. 3141-3146
    • Hall, J.1    O'Connell, E.2    Ewen, J.3
  • 23
    • 55849084099 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrol. Processes 21(7), 985-988.
    • Hydrol. Processes 21(7), 985-988.
  • 24
    • 0141676376 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Methodology for construction, calibration and validation of a national hydrological model for Denmark
    • Henriksen, H. J., Troldborg, L., Nyegaard, P., Sonnenborg, T. O., Refsgaard, J. C. & Madsen, B. (2003) Methodology for construction, calibration and validation of a national hydrological model for Denmark. J. Hydrol. 280, 52-71.
    • (2003) J. Hydrol , vol.280 , pp. 52-71
    • Henriksen, H.J.1    Troldborg, L.2    Nyegaard, P.3    Sonnenborg, T.O.4    Refsgaard, J.C.5    Madsen, B.6
  • 25
    • 33646495330 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian analysis of input uncertainty in hydrological modeling: 2. Application
    • doi: 10.1029/2005WR004376
    • Kavetski, D., Kuczera, G. & Franks, S. W. (2005) Bayesian analysis of input uncertainty in hydrological modeling: 2. Application. Water Resour. Res. 42, W03408, doi: 10.1029/2005WR004376.
    • (2005) Water Resour. Res , vol.42
    • Kavetski, D.1    Kuczera, G.2    Franks, S.W.3
  • 26
    • 0032214428 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: The Metropolis algorithm
    • Kuczera, G. & Parent, E. (1998) Monte Carlo assessment of parameter uncertainty in conceptual catchment models: the Metropolis algorithm. J. Hydrol. 211, 69-85.
    • (1998) J. Hydrol , vol.211 , pp. 69-85
    • Kuczera, G.1    Parent, E.2
  • 27
    • 33750474092 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Towards a Bayesian total error analysis of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: Characterising model error using storm-dependent parameters
    • Kuczera, G., Kasvetski, D., Franks, S. & Thyer, M. (2006) Towards a Bayesian total error analysis of conceptual rainfall-runoff models: characterising model error using storm-dependent parameters. J. Hydrol. 331, 161-177.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol , vol.331 , pp. 161-177
    • Kuczera, G.1    Kasvetski, D.2    Franks, S.3    Thyer, M.4
  • 28
    • 33748808177 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: Incoherence of the GLUE methodology
    • Mantovan, P. & Todini, E. (2006) Hydrological forecasting uncertainty assessment: incoherence of the GLUE methodology. J. Hydrol. 330, 368-381.
    • (2006) J. Hydrol , vol.330 , pp. 368-381
    • Mantovan, P.1    Todini, E.2
  • 29
    • 0000673676 scopus 로고
    • Mathematical models: Questions of trustworthiness
    • Morton, A. (1993) Mathematical models: questions of trustworthiness. Brit. J. Phil. Sci. 44, 659-674.
    • (1993) Brit. J. Phil. Sci , vol.44 , pp. 659-674
    • Morton, A.1
  • 31
    • 0037277145 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Investigating the uncertainty in predicting responses to atmospheric deposition using the Model of Acidification of Groundwater in Catchments (MAGIC) within a Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework
    • Page, T., Beven, K. J., Freer, J. & Jenkins, A. (2003) Investigating the uncertainty in predicting responses to atmospheric deposition using the Model of Acidification of Groundwater in Catchments (MAGIC) within a Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) framework. Water, Air, Soil Pollution 142, 71-94.
    • (2003) Water, Air, Soil Pollution , vol.142 , pp. 71-94
    • Page, T.1    Beven, K.J.2    Freer, J.3    Jenkins, A.4
  • 32
    • 33745445005 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Ignorance is bliss: 7 reasons not to use uncertainty analysis
    • doi:10.1029/2005WR004820
    • Pappenberger, F. & Beven, K. J. (2006) Ignorance is bliss: 7 reasons not to use uncertainty analysis. Water Resour. Res. 42, W05302, doi:10.1029/2005WR004820.
    • (2006) Water Resour. Res , vol.42
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Beven, K.J.2
  • 33
    • 33846144757 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Grasping the unavoidable subjectivity in calibration of flood inundation models: A vulnerability weighted approach
    • Pappenberger, F., Beven, K. J., Frodsham, K., Romanovicz, R. & Matgen, P. (2007) Grasping the unavoidable subjectivity in calibration of flood inundation models: a vulnerability weighted approach. J. Hydrol. 333, 275-287.
    • (2007) J. Hydrol , vol.333 , pp. 275-287
    • Pappenberger, F.1    Beven, K.J.2    Frodsham, K.3    Romanovicz, R.4    Matgen, P.5
  • 34
    • 0002304708 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluation of predictive uncertainty in non-linear hydrological models using a Bayesian approach
    • ed. by V. Barnett & K. F. Turkman, Wiley, Chichester, UK
    • Romanowicz, R., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. (1998) Evaluation of predictive uncertainty in non-linear hydrological models using a Bayesian approach. In: Statistics for the Environment II. Water Related Issues (ed. by V. Barnett & K. F. Turkman), 297-317. Wiley, Chichester, UK.
    • (1998) Statistics for the Environment II. Water Related Issues , pp. 297-317
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Beven, K.J.2    Tawn, J.3
  • 35
    • 0001942155 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian calibration of flood inundation models
    • ed. by M. G. Anderson, D. E. Walling & P. D. Bates, Wiley, Chichester, UK
    • Romanowicz, R., Beven, K. J. & Tawn, J. (1996) Bayesian calibration of flood inundation models. In: Floodplain Processes (ed. by M. G. Anderson, D. E. Walling & P. D. Bates), 333-360. Wiley, Chichester, UK.
    • (1996) Floodplain Processes , pp. 333-360
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Beven, K.J.2    Tawn, J.3
  • 36
    • 33746624237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Data assimilation and adaptive forecasting of water levels in the River Severn catchment, UK
    • doi:10.1029/2005WR004373
    • Romanowicz, R., Young, P. C. & Beven, K.J. (2006) Data assimilation and adaptive forecasting of water levels in the River Severn catchment, UK. Water Resour. Res. 42, W06407, doi:10.1029/2005WR004373.
    • (2006) Water Resour. Res , vol.42
    • Romanowicz, R.1    Young, P.C.2    Beven, K.J.3
  • 37
    • 46849086011 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Informal performance measures in model assessment: Theoretic Development and Investigation
    • submitted
    • Smith, P., Beven, K. & Tawn, J. (2008) Informal performance measures in model assessment: Theoretic Development and Investigation. Adv. Water Resour. (submitted).
    • (2008) Adv. Water Resour
    • Smith, P.1    Beven, K.2    Tawn, J.3
  • 38
    • 0034794967 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Bayesian recursive parameter estimation for hydrologic models
    • Thiemann, M., Trosset, M., Gupta, H. & Sorooshian, S. (2001) Bayesian recursive parameter estimation for hydrologic models, Water Resour. Res. 37(10), 2521-2535.
    • (2001) Water Resour. Res , vol.37 , Issue.10 , pp. 2521-2535
    • Thiemann, M.1    Trosset, M.2    Gupta, H.3    Sorooshian, S.4
  • 39
    • 34250371695 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Comment on: "On undermining the science?" by Keith Beven
    • Todini, E. & Mantovan, P. (2007) Comment on: "On undermining the science?" by Keith Beven. Hydrol. Processes 21(12), 1633-1638.
    • (2007) Hydrol. Processes , vol.21 , Issue.12 , pp. 1633-1638
    • Todini, E.1    Mantovan, P.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.