Sensitivity of WRF forecasts for South Florida to initial conditions

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 23, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 725-740

  Etherton, Brian ^a   Santos, Pablo ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA AT CHARLOTTE   (United States)

^b NOAA National Weather Service Jacksonville   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 54649084769     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2007WAF2006115.1     Document Type: Article

References (30)

1. Albers, S., 1995: The LAPS wind analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 10, 342-352.
2. Albers, S., J. McGinley, D. Birkenheuer, and J. Smart, 1996: The Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS): Analyses of clouds, precipitation, and temperature. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 273-287.
3. Betts, A. K., and M. J. Miller, 1986: A new convective adjustment scheme. Part II: Single column tests using GATE wave, BOMEX, and arctic air-mass data sets. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 112, 693-709.
4. Birkenheuer, D., 1999: The effect of using digital satellite imagery in the LAPS moisture analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 782-788.
5. Black, T. L., 1994: The New NMC mesoscale Eta Model: Description and forecast examples. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 265-278.
6. Bogenschutz, P., and Coauthors, 2004: Summer season verification of the first NWS operational WRF Model forecasts from the NOAA Coastal Storms Initiative Project in northeast Florida. Preprints, 17th Conf. on Probability and Statistics/20th Conf. on Weather and Forecasting/16th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J12.1. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/ 70493.pdf.]
7. Breidenbach, J. P., D.-J. Seo, and R. Fulton, 1998: Stage II and III post processing of NEXRAD precipitation estimates in the modernized Weather Service. Preprints, 14th Int. Conf. on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 263-266.
8. De Pondeca, M. S. F. V., and Coauthors, 2007: The development of the real time mesoscale analysis system at NCEP. Preprints, 23rd Int. Conf. on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.10. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/ 87ANNUAL/techprogram/paper_118813.htm.]
9. Dudhia, J., 1989: Numerical study of convection observed during the Winter Monsoon Experiment using a mesoscale two-dimensional model. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 3077-3107.
10. Efron, B., 1982: The Jackknife, the Bootstrap, and other Resampling Plans. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 92 pp.
11. Ek, M. B., K. E. Mitchell, Y. Lin, E. Rogers, P. Grunmann, V. Koren, G. Gayno, and J. D. Tarpley, 2003: Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta Model. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 8851, doi:10.1029/2002JD003296.
12. Etherton, B., and P. Santos, 2006: The effects of using AWIPS LAPS to locally initialize the Workstation Eta. Natl. Wea. Assoc. Dig., 30, 49-60.
13. Hiemstra, C. A., G. E. Liston, R. A. Pielke, D. L. Birkenheuer, and S. C. Albers, 2006: Comparing Local Analysis and Prediction System (LAPS) assimilations with independent observations. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 1024-1040.
14. Hong, S.-Y., and H.-L. Pan, 1996: Nonlocal boundary layer vertical diffusion in a medium-range forecast model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2322-2339.
15. Hong, Y.-S., J. Y. Noh, and J. Dudhia, 2006: A new vertical diffusion package with an explicit treatment of entrainment process. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 2318-2341.
16. Janjić, Z. I., 1994: The step-mountain eta coordinate model: Further developments of the convection, viscous sublayer, and turbulence closure schemes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 927-945.
17. Janjić, Z. I., 1996: The Mellor-Yamada level 2.5 scheme in the NCEP Eta Model. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 333-334.
18. Jankov, I., W. A. Gallus Jr., M. Segal, B. Shaw, and S. E. Koch, 2005: The impact of different WRF Model physical parameterizations and their interactions on warm season MCS rainfall. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 1048-1060.
19. Jankov, I., W. A. Gallus Jr., M. Segal, and S. E. Koch, 2007: Influence of initial conditions on the WRF-ARW Model QPF response to physical parameterization changes. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 501-519.
20. Kain, J. S., 2004: The Kain-Fritsch convective parameterization: An update. J. Appl. Meteor., 43, 170-181.
21. Kain, J. S., and J. M. Frisch, 1993: Convective parameterization for mesoscale models: The Kain-Fritsch scheme. The Representation of Cumulus Convection in Numerical Models, Meteor. Monogr., No. 46, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 165-170.
22. Lin, Y.-L., R. D. Farley, and H. D. Orville, 1983: Bulk parameterization of the snow field in a cloud model. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 22, 1065-1092.
23. McDonald, B. E., and T. M. Graziano, 2001: The National Precipitation Verification Unit (NPVU): Operational implementation. Preprints, Conf. on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses, Albuquerque, NM, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.32. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/annual2001/techprogram/paper_17535.htm.]
24. McGinley, J. A., 2001: Toward a surface data continuum: Use of the Kalman filter to create a continuous, quality controlled surface data set. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P2.18. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/23059.pdf.]
25. Mlawer, E. J., S. J. Taubman, P. D. Brown, M. J. Iacono, and S. A. Clough, 1997: Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave. J. Geophys. Res., 102D, 16 663-16 682.
26. Schultz, P., and S. Albers, 2001: The use of three-dimensional analyses of cloud attributes for diabatic initialization of mesoscale models. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/14th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction/9th Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., JP2.5a. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/WAF-NWP-MESO/techprogram/paper_23324.htm.]
27. Shaw, B. L., J. A. McGinley, and P. Schultz, 2001: Explicit initialization of clouds and precipitation in mesoscale forecast models. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J2.6a. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/23438.pdf.]
28. Skamarock, W. C., J. B. Klemp, J. Dudhia, D. O. Gill, D. M. Barker, W. Wang, and J. G. Powers, 2005: A description of the Advance Research WRF version 2. NCAR Tech Note NCAR/TN-648+STR, 88 pp. [Available from UCAR Communications, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307; also available online at http://box.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/docs/arw_v2.pdf.]
29. Szoke, E. J., J. M. Brown, and B. Shaw, 2004: Examination of the performance of several mesoscale models for convective forecasting during IHOP. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction/17th Conf. on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J13.6. [Available online at http://ams.confex.com/ ams/pdfpapers/68930.pdf.]
30. Wilks, D., 1995: Statistical Methods in Atmospheric Sciences. 2nd ed. Elsevier Press, 648 pp.