Adapting landscapes to climate change: Examples of climate-proof ecosystem networks and priority adaptation zones

Journal of Applied Ecology

Volumn 45, Issue 6, 2008, Pages 1722-1731

  Vos, Claire C ^a   Berry, Pam ^b   Opdam, Paul ^a   Baveco, Hans ^a   Nijhof, Bianca ^a   O'Hanley, Jesse ^b,c   Bell, Claire ^b   Kuipers, H ^a  

^a WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY   (Netherlands)

^b UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD   (United Kingdom)

^c UNIVERSITY OF KENT   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Adaptation strategies; Bioclimate envelope modelling; Biodiversity conservation; Climate change; Climate corridor; Climate proof networks; Dispersal modelling; Ecosystem networks; Natura 2000

Indexed keywords

ADAPTATION; BIOCLIMATOLOGY; BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; COLONIZATION; ECOSYSTEM MANAGEMENT; HABITAT FRAGMENTATION; LANDSCAPE;

EURASIA; EUROPE;

EID: 54349112442     PISSN: 00218901     EISSN: 13652664     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01569.x     Document Type: Article

References (45)

1. Adger, W.N., Arnell, N.W. Tompkins, E.L. (2005) Successful adaptation to climate across scales. Global Environmental Change, 15, 75 76.
2. Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W. Pearson, R.G. (2006) Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography, 33, 1712 1728.
3. Berry, P.M., Dawson, T.P., Harrison, P.A, Pearson, R.G. Butt, N. (2003) The sensitivity and vulnerability of terrestrial habitats and species in Britain and Ireland to climate change. Journal for Nature Conservation, 11, 15 23.
4. Berry, P.M., Jones, A.P., Nicholls, R.J. Vos, C.C. (2007a) Assessment of the vulnerability of terrestrial and coastal habitats and species in Europe to climate change, Annex 2 of Planning for biodiversity in a changing climate - BRANCH project Final Report, Natural England, UK.
5. Berry, P.M., O'Hanley, J.R., Thomson, C.L., Harrison, P.A, Masters, G.J. Dawson, T.P. (2007b) Modelling Natural Resource Responses to Climate Change (MONARCH): MONARCH 3 Contract report. UKCIP Technical Report, Oxford, UK.
6. Berry, P.M., Rounsevell, M.D.A., Harrison, P.A. Audsley, E. (2006) Assessing the vulnerability of agricultural land use and species to climate change and the role of policy in facilitating adaptation. Environmental Science and Policy, 9, 189 204.
7. Chapin, F.S. 3rd, Walker, B.H., Hobbs, R.J., Hooper, D.U., Lawton, J.H., Sala, O.E. Tilman, D. (1997) Biotic control over the functioning of ecosystems. Science, 277, 500 504.
8. CORINE (2005) CORINE land cover 2000, CLC2000 100 m - version 8/2005. European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark.
9. Da Fonseca, G.A.B., Sechrest, W. Oglethorpe, J. (2005) Managing the matrix. Climate Change and Biodiversity (eds T.E. Lovejoy L. Hannah pp. 346 358. Yale University Press, New Haven, CT, USA.
10. Easterling, D.R., Meehl, G.A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S.A., Karl, T.R. Mearns, L.O. (2000) Climate extremes: observations, modelling and impacts. Science, 289, 2068 2074.
11. ESRI (2002) ESRI Data and Maps 2002. Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc, Redlands, CA, USA.
12. Green, K. Pickering, C.M. (2002) A potential scenario for mammal and bird diversity in the Snowy Mountains of Australia in relation to climate change. Mountain Biodiversity: A Global Assessment (eds C. Körner E.M. Spehn pp. 241 9. Parthenon Publishing, London.
13. Haas, A.H. (1998) Effects of prior nesting success on site fidelity and breeding dispersal: an experimental approach. Auk, 115, 929 936.
14. Hannah, L. Hansen, L. (2005) Designing landscapes and seascapes for change. Climate Change and Biodiversity (eds T.E. Lovejoy L. Hannah pp. 329 341. Yale University Press, New Haven, CT, USA.
15. Hanski, I. (1999) Metapopulation Ecology. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
16. Harrison, P.A., Berry, P.M., Butt, N. New, M. (2006) Modelling climate change impacts on species' distributions at the European scale: implications for conservation policy. Environmental Science and Policy, 9, 116 128.
17. Harrison, P.A., Van Hinsbergh, D.P., Fuller, R.J. Berry, P.M. (2003) Modelling climate change impacts on the distribution of breeding birds in Britain and Ireland. Journal for Nature Conservation, 11, 31 42.
18. Hill, J.K., Thomas, C.D. Huntley, B. (1999) Climate and habitat availability determine 20th century changes in a butterfly's range margin. Proceedings of the Royal Society, Series B, 266, 1197 1206.
19. Hill, J.K., Hughes, C.L., Dytham, C. Searle, J.B. (2006) Genetic diversity in butterflies: interactive effects of habitat fragmentation and climate-driven range expansion. Biology Letters, 2, 152 154.
20. Hulme, P.E. (2005) Adapting to climate change: is there scope for ecological management in the face of global threat? Journal of Applied Ecology, 42, 784 794.
21. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2001) Climate Change 2001: Impacts Adaptation and Vulnerability. Summary for Policymakers. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
22. Jelinski, D.E. Wu, J. (1996) The modifiable areal unit problem and implications for landscape ecology. Landscape Ecology, 11, 129 140.
23. Jongman, R.H. Pungetti, G. (2004) Ecological Networks and Greenways: Concept, Design, Implementation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
24. Julliard, R., Jiguet, F. Couvet, D. (2004) Common birds facing global changes: what makes a species at risk? Global Change Biology, 10, 148 154.
25. Lesica, P. McCune, B. (2004) Decline of arctic-alpine plants at the southern margin of their range following a decade of climatic warming. Journal of Vegetation Science, 15, 679 690.
26. Lovejoy, T.E. (2005) Conservation with a changing climate. Climate Change and Biodiversity (eds T.E. Lovejoy L. Hannah pp. 325 328. Yale University Press, New Haven, CT, USA.
27. Lurz, P.W.W., Garson, P.J. Wauters, L.A. (1997) Effects of temporal and spatial variation in habitat quality on red squirrel dispersal behaviour. Animal Behaviour, 54, 427 435.
28. Opdam, P. Wascher, D. (2004) Climate change meets habitat fragmentation: linking landscape and biogeographical scale level in research and conservation. Biological Conservation, 117, 285 297.
29. Opdam, P., Pouwels, R., Van Rooij, S., Steingröver, E. Vos, C.C. (2008) Setting biodiversity targets in participatory regional planning: introducing ecoprofiles. Ecology and Society, 13, 20. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol13/iss1/art20/
30. Opdam, P., Steingröver, E. Van Rooij, S. (2006) Ecological networks: a spatial concept for multi-factor planning of sustainable landscapes. Landscape and Urban Planning, 75, 322 332.
31. Opdam, P., Verboom, J. Pouwels, R. (2003) Landscape cohesion: an index for the conservation potential of landscapes for biodiversity. Landscape Ecology, 18, 113 126.
32. Parmesan, C. Yohe, G. (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421, 37 42.
33. Pearson, R.G., Dawson, T.P., Berry, P.M. Harrison, P.A. (2002) SPECIES: a spatial valuation of climate impact on the envelope of species. Ecological Modelling, 154, 289 300.
34. Root, T.L., Price, J.T., Hall, K.R., Schneider, S.H., Rosenzweig, C. Pounds, J.A. (2003) Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature, 421, 57 60.
35. Rounsevell, M.D.A., Berry, P.M. Harrison, P.A. (2006) Future environmental change impacts on rural land use and biodiversity: a synthesis of the ACCELERATES project. Environmental Science and Policy, 9, 93 100.
36. Sala, O.E., Chapin, F.S. 3rd, Armesto, J.J., Berlow, E., Bloomfield, J., Dirzo, R., Huber-Sanwald, E., Huenneke, L.F., Jackson, R.B., Kinzig, A., Leemans, R., Lodge, D.M., Mooney, H.A., Poff, N.L., Sykes, M.T., Walker, B.H., Walker, M. Wall, D.H. (2000) Global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100. Science, 287, 1770 1774.
37. Schippers, P., Verboom J., Knaapen, J.P. Van Apeldoorn, R.C. (1996) Dispersal and habitat connectivity in complex heterogeneous landscapes an analysis with a GIS-based random walk model. Ecography, 19, 97 106.
38. Segurado, P. Araújo, M.B. (2004) An evaluation of methods for modelling species distributions. Journal of Biogeography, 31, 1555 1568.
39. Tamis, W., Van't Zelfde, M., Meijden, R. Haes, H. (2005) Changes in vascular plant biodiversity in the Netherlands in the 20th century explained by their climatic and other environmental characteristics. Climatic Change, 72, 37 56.
40. Verboom, J. Pouwels, R. (2004) Ecological functioning of ecological networks: a species perspective. Ecological Networks and Greenways; Concepts, Design, Implementation (eds R. Jongman G. Pungetti pp. 56 72. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
41. Verboom, J., Schotman, A., Opdam, P. Metz, J.A.J. (1991) European nuthatch metapopulations in a fragmented agricultural landscape. Oikos, 61, 149 156.
42. Vos, C.C., Verboom, J., Opdam, P.F.M. Ter Braak, C.J.F. (2001) Towards ecologically scaled landscape indices. The American Naturalist, 157, 24 51.
43. Wallisdevries, M.F. Van Swaay, C.A.M. (2006) Global warming and excess nitrogen may induce butterfly decline by microclimatic cooling. Global Change Biology, 12, 1620 1626.
44. Warren, M.S., Hill, J.K., Thomas, J.A., Asher, J., Fox, R., Huntley, B., Roy, D.B., Telfer, M.G., Jeffcoate, S., Harding, P., Jeffcoate, G., Willis, S.G., Greatorex-Davies, J.N., Moss, D. Thomas, C.D. (2001) Rapid responses of British butterflies to opposing forces of climate and habitat change. Nature, 414, 65 69.
45. White, T.A., Campbell, B.D., Kemp, P.D. Hunt, C.L. (2001) Impacts of extreme climatic events on competition during grassland invasions. Global Change Biology, 7, 1 13.