An observational study of environmental dynamical control of tropical cyclone intensity in the Atlantic

Monthly Weather Review

Volumn 136, Issue 9, 2008, Pages 3307-3322

  Zeng, Zhihua ^a,b   Chen, Lianshou ^b   Wang, Yuqing ^c  

^a NANJING UNIVERSITY OF INFORMATION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY   (China)

^b NATIONAL CLIMATE CENTER   (China)

^c UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATLANTIC; DYNAMICAL CONTROL; NORTH ATLANTIC; OBSERVATIONAL STUDIES; TROPICAL CYCLONE; TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY; VERTICAL SHEAR; WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC;

ESTIMATION METHOD; OBSERVATIONAL METHOD; SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE; THERMODYNAMICS; TROPICAL CYCLONE; WIND VELOCITY;

ATLANTIC OCEAN; ATLANTIC OCEAN (NORTH); PACIFIC OCEAN; PACIFIC OCEAN (NORTH);

EID: 53649108027     PISSN: 00270644     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2008MWR2388.1     Document Type: Article

References (39)

1. Bender, M. A., 1997: The effect of relative flow on the asymmetric structure in the interior of hurricanes. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 703-724.
2. Bister, M., and K. A. Emanuel, 1998: Dissipative heating and hurricane intensity. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 50, 233-240.
3. Chen, S. S., J. A. Knaff, and F. D. Marks Jr., 2006: Effects of vertical wind shear and storm motion on tropical cyclone rainfall asymmetries deduced from TRMM. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3190-3208.
4. Corbosiero, K. L., and J. Molinari 2002: The effects of vertical wind shear on the distribution of convection in tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2110-2123.
5. Corbosiero, K. L., and J. Molinari 2003: The relationship between storm motion, vertical wind shear, and convective asymmetries in tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 366-460.
6. DeMaria, M., 1996: The effect of vertical shear on tropical cyclone intensity change. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 2076-2087.
7. DeMaria, M., and J. Kaplan, 1994a: Sea surface temperature and the maximum intensity of Atlantic tropical cyclones. J. Climate, 7, 1325-1334.
8. DeMaria, M., and J. Kaplan, 1994b: A statistical hurricane intensity prediction scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic basin. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 209-220.
9. DeMaria, M., and J. Kaplan, 1999: An updated statistical hurricane intensity prediction scheme (SHIPS) for the Atlantic and North Pacific basins. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 326-337.
10. DeMaria, M., M. Mainelli, L. K. Shay, J. A. Knaff, and J. Kaplan, 2005: Further improvements to the statistical hurricane intensity prediction scheme. (SHIPS). Wea. Forecasting, 20, 531-543.,
11. Elsberry, R. L., and R. Jeffries, 1996: Vertical wind shear influences on tropical cyclone formation and intensification during TCM-92 and TCM-93. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 1374-1387.
12. Emanuel, K. A., 1988: The maximum intensity of hurricanes. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 1143-1155.
13. Emanuel, K. A., 1995: Sensitivity of tropical cyclones to surface exchange coefficients and a revised teady-state model incorporating eye dynamics. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 3969-3976.
14. Emanuel, K. A., 2000: A statistical analysis of hurricane intensity. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 1139-1152.
15. Evans, J. L., and K. McKinley, 1998: Relative timing of tropical storm lifetime maximum intensity and track recurvature. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 65, 241-245.
16. Frank, W. M., and E. A. Ritchie, 1999: Effects of environmental flow upon tropical cyclone structure. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2044-2061.
17. Frank, W. M., and E. A. Ritchie, 2001: Effects of vertical wind shear on the intensity and structure of numerically simulated hurricanes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2249-2269.
18. Gray, M. W., 1968: Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 96, 669-700.
19. Jones, S. C., 1995: The evolution of vortices in vertical shear. I. Initially barotropic vortices. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 121, 821-851.
20. Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437-471.
21. Knaff, J. A., and R. M. Zehr, 2007: Reexamination of tropical cyclone pressure wind relationships. Wea. Forecasting, 22,71-88.
22. Knaff, J. A., C. R. Sampson, and M. DeMaria, 2005: An operational statistical typhoon intensity prediction scheme for the western North Pacific. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 688-699.
23. Kossin, J. P., J. A. Knaff, H. I. Berger, D. C. Herndon, T. A. Cram, C. S. Velden, R. J. Murnane, and J. D. Hawkins, 2007: Estimating hurricane wind structure in the absence of aircraft reconnaissance. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 89-101.
24. Lonfat, M., F. D. Marks Jr., and S. S. Chen, 2004: Precipitation distribution in tropical cyclones using the tropical rainfall measuring mission (TRMM) microwave imager: A global perspective. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1645-1660.
25. Malkus, J. S., and H. Riehl, 1960: On the dynamics and energy transformation in steady-state hurricanes. Tellus, 12, 1-20.
26. Merrill, R. T., 1988: Environmental influences on hurricane intensification. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 1678-1687.
27. Miller, B. I., 1958: On the maximum intensity of hurricanes. J. Meteor., 15, 184-195.
28. NHC-TPC, cited 2006, Tropical cyclone best track data site. [Avaflable online at http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/index.html.]
29. Peng, M. S., B.-F. Jeng, and R. T. Williams, 1999. A numerical study on tropical cyclone intensification. Part I: Beta effect and mean flow effect. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 1404-1423.
30. Reasor, P. D., M. T. Montgomery, and L. D. Grasso, 2004: A new look at the problem of tropical cyclones in vertical shear flow: Vortex resiliency. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 3-22.
31. Reynolds, R. W., N. A. Rayner, T. M. Smith, D. C. Stokes, and W. Wang, 2002: An improved in situ and satellite SST analysis for climate. J. Climate, 15, 1609-1625.
32. Schade, L. R., 2000: Tropical cyclone intensity and sea surface temperature. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 3122-3130.
33. Schade, L. R., and K. A. Emanuel, 1999: The ocean's effect on the intensity of tropical cyclones: Results from a simple coupled atmosphere-ocean model. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 642-651.
34. Shapiro, L J., 1983: The asymmetric boundary layer flow under a translation hurricane. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 1984-1998.
35. Wang, Y., and G. J. Holland, 1996: Tropical cyclone motion and evolution in vertical shear. J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 3313-3332.
36. Wang, Y., and C. -C. Wu, 2004: Current understanding of tropical cyclone structure and intensity changes - A review. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 87, 257-278.
37. Wang, Y., M. T. Montgomery, and B. Wang, 2004: How much vertical shear can a tropical cyclone resist? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 661-662.
38. Whitney, L. D., and J. S. Hobgood, 1997: The relationship between sea surface temperatures and maximum intensities of tropical cyclones in the eastern North Pacific Ocean. J. Climate, 10, 2921-2930.
39. Zeng, Z., Y. Wang, and C.-C. Wu, 2007: Environmental dynamical control of tropical cyclone intensity - An observational study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 38-59.