Probabilistic engine performance scatter and deterioration modeling

Journal of Engineering for Gas Turbines and Power

Volumn 130, Issue 4, 2008, Pages

  Spieler, Stefan ^a   Staudacher, Stephan ^a   Fiola, Roland ^b   Sahm, Peter ^b   Weißschuh, Matthias ^b  

^a UNIVERSITY OF STUTTGART   (Germany)

^b ROLLS ROYCE DEUTSCHLAND LTD AND CO KG   (Germany)

Author keywords

Monte Carlo Simulation; Performance deterioration; Probabilistic modeling; Production scatter

Indexed keywords

AIRCRAFT ENGINES; DETERIORATION; FORECASTING; INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS; MACHINE DESIGN; MAINTENANCE; MONTE CARLO METHODS; OPERATING COSTS; PARAMETER ESTIMATION; PROBABILITY; PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION; RISK ASSESSMENT; TEST FACILITIES;

MONTE CARLO SIMULATION; PERFORMANCE DETERIORATION; PROBABILISTIC MODELING; PRODUCTION SCATTER;

ENGINES;

EID: 53649098605     PISSN: 07424795     EISSN: 15288919     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1115/1.2800351     Document Type: Article

References (20)

1. Spieler, S., Staudacher, S., Fiola, R., and Sahm, P., 2006, "Merkmalsbasierte Modellierung von Produktionsschwankungen bei Flugzeugtriebwerken," Proceedings of DGLR, Braunschweig, Germany.
2. Wassell, A. B., 1968, "Reynolds Number Effects in Axial Compressors," ASME J. Eng. Power, to be published.
3. Schlichting, H., and Gersten, K., 2000, Boundary Layer Theory, 8th ed., Springer, Berlin.
4. Craney, T. A., 2003, "Probabilistic Engineering Design," Reliability Review, The R&M Engineering Journal, 23(2), pp. 1-6.
5. Norton, I., 2002, "BR700-710 C4-11 Basic Design Data for GV-SP," Rolls-Royee Deutschland Technical Report No. E-TR476/02 ISS03.
6. Fiola, R., 1993, "Berechnung des Instationären Betriebsverhaltens von Gasturbinen Unter Besonderer Berücksichtigung von Sekundäreffekten," Ph.D. thesis, Technical University Munich, Germany.
7. Chrysler Corporation, Ford Motor Company, General Motors Corporation, 2005, Statistical Process Control (SPC) Reference Manual, 2nd ed., Detroit.
8. Franke, B., Spieler, S., Staudacher, S., and Gebser, D., 2005, "Factory and Process Simulation in Aero-Engine Component Manufacturing," ASME Paper No. GT2005-68309, Reno, NV.
9. Sembacuttiarachy, S., 2004, "Anwendbarkeit voo Prozessfähigkeitskennwerten bei Kleinen Serien," Diploma thesis, Stuttgart University, Germany.
10. Bronstein, I. N., Semendjajew, K. A., Musiol, G., and Mühlig, H., 2000, Taschenbuch der Mathematik, 5th ed., Harri Deutsch, Frankfurt, Germany.
11. Kurz, R., and Brun, K., 2001, "Degradation in Gas Turbine Systems," ASME J. Eng. Gas Turbines Power, 123, pp. 70-77.
12. Tarabrin, A. P., Bodrov, A. L., Schurovsky, V. A., and Stalder, J. P., 1996, "An Analysis of Axial Compressor Fouling and a Cleaning Method of Their Blading," ASME Paper No. GT1996-363.
13. Rossmann, A., 2000, Die Sicherheit von Flugtriebwerken, 1st ed., Turbo Consult, Karlsfeld, Germany.
14. Zaita, A. V., Buley, G., and Karlsons, G., 1998, "Performance Deterioration Modeling in Aircraft Gas Turbine Engines," ASME J. Eng. Gas Turbines Power, 120, pp. 344-349.
15. Eichler, Ch., 1990, Instandhaltungstechnik, 5th ed., Technik GmbH, Berlin, Germany.
16. Burkett, M. A., 2006, "DM-Trade - A Rolls-Royce Tool to Model the impact of Design Changes and Maintenance Strategies on Lifetime Reliability and Maintenance Cost," ASME Paper No. GT2006-90023, Barcelona, Spain.
17. Spieler, S., Staudacher, S., Kappmeyer, G., and Lou, W., 2006, "Reparaturverfahren und ihre Bedeutung für die Bewertung voo Blisks über den Lebenszyklus voo Flugtriebwerken," Proceedings of DGLR, Braunschweig, Germany.
18. Lauer, A., Hendricks, J., Ackermann, I., Schell, B., Hass, H., and Metzger, S., 2005, "Simulating Aerosol Microphysics with the ECHAM /MADE GCM Part I: Model Description and Comparison With Observations," Atmos. Chem. Phys., 5, pp. 3251-3276.
19. Sage, W., and Tilly, G. P., 1970, "The Interaction of Particle and Material Behavior in Erosion Processes," Wear, 16, pp. 447-465.
20. Espenschade, P. W., and Wood, C. D., 1965, "Mechanisms of dust erosion," SAE Trans., 73, pp. 515-523.