Forecasting the 2008 presidential election: A challenge for the fiscal model

PS - Political Science and Politics

Volumn 41, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 717-722

  Cuzn, Alfred G ^a   Bundrick, Charles M ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF WEST FLORIDA   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 53349110067     PISSN: 10490965     EISSN: 15375935     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1017/S1049096508081171     Document Type: Article

References (9)

1. Abramowitz, Alan I. 2008. "It's About Time: Forecasting the 2008 Presidential Election with the Time-for-Change Model." International Journal of Forecasting 24 (2): 209-17.
2. Alesina, Alberto, and Howard Rosenthal. 1995. Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
3. Cuzán, Alfred G., and Charles M. Bundrick. 2005. "Deconstructing the 2004 Presidential Election Forecasts: The Fiscal Model and the Campbell Collection Compared." PS: Political Science and Politics 38 (April): 255-62.
4. _. 2006. "Fiscal Policy: An Implicit Factor in the Trial-Heat and Time-for-Change Models?" Presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April.
5. _. 2004. "Fiscal Effects on Presidential Elections: A Forecast for 2004." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, September.
6. Cuzán, Alfred G., Richard J. Heggen, and Charles M. Bundrick. 2006. "Simulating the Fiscal Model of Presidential Elections." Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association.
7. _. 2003. Voters and Presidents. A Fiscal Model. Philadelphia: Xlibris. Available at http://uwf.edu/govt/facultyforums/15731-CUZA-layout- low%5b1%5d.pdf.
8. Erikson, Robert S., Michael B. MacKuen, and James A. Stimson. 2002. The Macro Polity. New York: Cambridge University Press.
9. Fair, Ray. 2006. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 2004 Update." http://fairmodel.econ.yale.edu/RAYFAIR/PDF/ 2006CHTM.HTM.