In preparation for future and extreme situations: Orientations for affirmed conjectural research on social and ecological systems

Comptes Rendus - Geoscience

Volumn 340, Issue 9-10, 2008, Pages 689-699

  Mermet, Laurent ^a  

^a AGROPARISTECH   (France)

Author keywords

Ecosystems; Futures studies; Integrated assessment; Modelling; Scenarios

Indexed keywords

ECOSYSTEM SERVICE; FUTURE PROSPECT; GLOBAL CHANGE; INTEGRATED APPROACH; POLICY MAKING;

EID: 52949124812     PISSN: 16310713     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.crte.2008.04.004     Document Type: Article

References (32)

1. J. Alcamo, Scenarios as tools for international environmental assessment, European Environmental Agency, 2001.
2. Alcamo J., Kreileman E., et al. Global Models meet global policy - How can global and regional modellers connect with environnemental policy makers? What has hindered them? What has helped them? Global Environ. Change 6 4 (1996) 255-259
3. Bennett E.M., Carpenter S.R., et al. Why global scenarios need ecology. Front. Ecol. Environ. 1 6 (2003) 322-329
4. Brewer G.D. Methods for synthesis: policy exercises. In: Clark W.C., and Munn R.E. (Eds). Sustainable development of the biosphere (1986), Cambridge University Press 455-473
5. Carpenter S.R. Ecological futures: building an ecology of the long now. Ecology 83 8 (2002) 2069-2083
6. Carpenter S.R., Pingali P.L., Bennett E.M., and Zured M.B. Millenium ecosystem assessment - Ecosystems and human well-being: scenarios, vol.2 (2005), Island Press, Washington
7. Clark W.C. Sustainable development of the biosphere: themes for a research program. In: Clark W.C., and Munn R.E. (Eds). Sustainable development of the biosphere (1986), Cambridge University Press 5-48
8. In: Clark W.C., and Munn R.E. (Eds). Sustainable development of the biosphere (1986), Cambridge University Press
9. A. Coreau, L. Mermet, Ecological Futures Research: a state of the art and a plea for deeper work on ecological scenarios (in prep.).
10. de Jouvenel B. L'art de la conjecture (1964), Éditions du Rocher, Monaco
11. Funtowicz S.O., and Ravetz J.R. Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy (1990), Kluwer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands
12. Gallopin G., Hammond A., et al. Branch Points: Global Scenarios and Human Choice (1997), Stockholm Environmental Institute, Stockholm p. 47
13. J.C. Glenn, J.T. Gordon, 1998 State Of The Future. Issues and Opportunities, American Council for The United Nations University, Washington, The Millenium Project, 1998.
14. Godet M. Crise de la prevision, essor de la prospective - exemples et méthodes (1977), PUF, Paris
15. Hardin B. Filters against folly (1986), Penguin
16. IPCC Climate Change 2007 - Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Working Group II contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2007.
17. Kieken H. Genèses et limites des « modèles d'évaluation intégrée ». Ann. Ponts Chaussees 107-108 (2003) 84-91
18. Latour B. Politiques de la nature - comment faire entrer les sciences en démocratie (1999), La Découverte, Paris
19. R. Leemans, I. Team, History, current activities and future direction of the IMAGE-2 project, RIVM, 1999, p. 108.
20. Meadows D.H., Meadows D.L., et al. The Limits to growth (1972), Universe Books, New York
21. Mermet L. Prospective : un objet d'étude pour les sciences de l'information et de la communication. Hermes 38 (2004) 207-214
22. L. Mermet, Un cadre théorique ouvert pour l'extension des recherches prospectives, in: L.Mermet (ed.) Étudier des écologies futures, PIE-Peter Lang, Bruxelles, 2005, pp. 69-116.
23. L. Mermet, La prospective générale - des ressources à mobiliser pour les recherches environnementales. Étudier des ecologies futures : un chantier ouvert pour les recherches prospectives environnementales, in: L.Mermet (ed.) PIE-Peter Lang, Bruxelles, 2005, pp. 129-149.
24. In: Mermet L. (Ed). Étudier des écologies futures : un chantier ouvert pour les recherches prospectives environnementales, Ecopolis (2005), PIE-Peter Lang, Bruxelles
25. L. Mermet, Extending the perimeter of reflexive debate on Futures research: an open framework, Futures (in press).
26. Mermet L., and Poux X. Pour une recherche prospective en environnement. Repères théoriques et méthodologiques. Nat. Sci. Soc. 10 3 (2002) 7-15
27. Narcy J.-B. Pour une gestion spatiale de l'eau - comment sortir du tuyau ? (2004), PIE-Peter Lang, Bruxelles
28. X. Poux, L. Mermet, et al., Méthodologie de prospective des zones humides à l'échelle micro-régionale - problématique de mise en œuvre et d'agrégation des résultats, AscA/PNRZH, 2001.
29. Ricoeur P. Temps et Récit (1983), Le Seuil, Paris
30. Rotmans J. Methods for IA: The challlenges and opportunities ahead. Environ. Model. Assess. 3 (1998) 155-179
31. Thompson M., Ellis R., et al. Cultural theory (1990), Westview Press, Boulder, CO, USA
32. Toth F. Policy Exercises. Simulations and Games 19 3 (1988) 235-276