A new look at the cross-impact matrix and its application in futures studies

Journal of Futures Studies

Volumn 12, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 45-52

  Chao, Kenneth ^a,b  

^a KAINAN UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

^b Kainan University ^*  (Taiwan)

Author keywords

Conditional probability; Cross impact matrix; Expected impact; Initial probability; Likely impact

Indexed keywords

EID: 52649120316     PISSN: 10276084     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: None     Document Type: Article

References (8)

1. Chen, Kuo-Hua. (1999). The prediction and research method for Futures Studies. Futures Studies in Sociology, pp. 119-157. Taipei, Taiwan: Hwatai.
2. Dalkey, Norman. (1972). An elementary cross impact model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 3 (3), 341-351.
3. Enzer, Selwyn. (1972). Cross-impact techniques in technology assessment. Futures, 4(1), 30-51. Torino, Italy: Elsevier.
4. Gordon, Theodore.(1994).Cross-impact method. Future Research Methodology. Washington DC: AC/UNV Millennium Project.
5. Gordon, Theodore, & H. Hayward (1968). Initial experiments with the cross impact Matrix Method of Forecasting. Futures, 1 (2), 100-116. Torino, Italy: Elsevier.
6. Helmer, Olaf. (1972). Cross-impact gaming. Futures, 4 (2), 149-167.
7. th September 2001. London: South Bank University.
8. Weerakkody, Niranjala & Wilfred Tremblay. (2003). Digital TV in Australia and the U.S.A.: A cross-impact analysis of the adoption and diffusion of digital TV in Australia and the United States. ANZCA03 Conference, Brisbane, July 2003.