Probabilistic planning of transmission systems: Why, how and an actual example

IEEE Power and Energy Society 2008 General Meeting: Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century, PES

Volumn , Issue , 2008, Pages

  Li, Wenyuan ^a,b   Choudhury, Paul ^a,b  

^a IEEE

^b British Columbia Transmission Corporation   (Canada)

Author keywords

Economic analysis; Planning criteria; Probabilistic planning; Reliability evaluation

Indexed keywords

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING; ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS; ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION; ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION NETWORKS; ENERGY CONVERSION; INVESTMENTS; POTENTIAL ENERGY; POTENTIAL ENERGY SURFACES; POWER TRANSMISSION; PROBABILITY; PROCESS ENGINEERING; RELIABILITY; RELIABILITY ANALYSIS;

21ST CENTURY; BASIC CONCEPTS; ELECTRICAL ENERGY; LOAD FORECASTING; PLANNING CRITERIA; PLANNING PROCESS; POWER SYSTEM PLANNING; PROBABILISTIC CHARACTERISTICS; PROBABILISTIC PLANNING; PROBABILISTIC RELIABILITY EVALUATION; RANDOM FAILURES; RELIABILITY EVALUATION; SYSTEM RELIABILITY; TRANSMISSION PLANNING; TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS;

FINANCE;

EID: 52349095878     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1109/PES.2008.4596093     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (13)

1. W. Li, Risk Assessment of Power Systems: Models, Methods, and Applications, IEEE Press and Wiley & Sons, 2005
2. R. Billinton and W. Li, Reliability Assessment of Electric Power Systems Using Monte Carlo Methods, Plenum Press, New York and London, 1994
3. R. Billinton and R. N. Allan, Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems, Plenum Press, New York and London, 1996
4. W. Li, "Application of Reliability Evaluation in Transmission Planning", Chapter 7 of the IEEE Tutorial Course on Electric Delivery System Reliability Evaluation, 05TP175, June 2005
5. W. Li, Y. Mansour, J. K. Korczynski and B. J. Mills, "Application of Transmission Reliability Assessment in Probabilistic Planning of BC Hydro Vancouver South Metro Systems", IEEE Trans. on Power Systems, Vol. 19, No. 2, pp964-970, 1995
6. W. Wangdee, W. Li, W. Shum and P. Choudhury, "Applying Probabilistic Methods in Determining the Number of Spare Transformers and Their Timing Requirements", Proceedings of the IEEE CCECE conference, Vancouver, April 2007
7. Technical reports on probabilistic transmission planning at British Columbia Transmission Corporation, available at the website: http://www.bctc.com/the_transmission_system/reliability_assessment/
8. U.S.-Canada Power System Outage Task Force, "Final Report on the August 14, 2003 Blackout in the United States and Canada: Causes and Recommendations", April 5, 2004, available at http://www.nerc.com/~filez/ blackout.html
9. UCTE press release, "Further facts about the system disturbance on 4.11.06", 6 November 2006, available at http://www.ucte.org
10. C. S. Park, Contemporary Engineering Economics, Addison-Wesley, Reading, Massachusetts, 1993
11. D. Young, Modern Engineering Economy, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 1993
12. NERC/WECC Planning Standards, available at the website: http://www.wecc.biz/library/procedures/planning/WECC-NER_planning%20Standards_4- 10-03.pdf
13. Wenyuan Li, "Reliability Assessment and Probabilistic Planning of North Metro System Alternatives", BC Hydro technical report, STS-R008, File:940-R5, January 26, 1996