Strategies for containing an influenza pandemic: The case of Italy

2006 1st Bio-Inspired Models of Network, Information and Computing Systems, BIONETICS

Volumn , Issue , 2006, Pages

  Merler, Stefano ^a   Jurman, Giuseppe ^a   Furlanello, Cesare ^a   Rizzo, Caterina ^c   Bella, Antonino ^b   Massari, Marco ^b   Degli Atti, Marta Luisa Ciofi ^b  

^a ITC IRST   (Italy)

^b ISTITUTO SUPERIORE DI SANITÀ   (Italy)

^c UNIVERSITY OF BARI   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

COMPUTER SYSTEMS;

ANTIVIRAL PROPHYLAXIS; BIO-INSPIRED; COMPUTING SYSTEMS; CONTROL MEASURES; INDIVIDUAL BASED MODEL; INFLUENZA PANDEMICS; SOCIAL DISTANCES; WORST CASE;

RISK ASSESSMENT;

EID: 50249119579     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1109/BIMNICS.2006.361797     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (19)

1. W. P. Glezen, "Emerging infections: pandemic influenza," Epidemiol Rev, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 64-76, 1996.
2. K. S. Li, Y. Guan, J. Wang, G. J. Smith, K. M. Xu, L. Duan, A. P. Rahardjo, P. Puthavathana, C. Buranathai, T. D. Nguyen, A. Estoepangestie, A. Chaisingh, P. Auewarakul, H. T. Long, N. T. Hanh, R. J. Webby, L. L. Poon, H. Chen, K. F. Shortridge, K. Y. Yuen, R. G. Webster, and J. S. Peiris, "Genesis of a highly pathogenic and potentially pandemic H5N1 influenza virus in eastern Asia," Nature, vol. 430, no. 6996, pp. 209-13, July 2004.
3. World Health Organization, "Epidemiology of WHO-confirmed human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) infection," Wkly Epidemiol Rec, vol. 81, no. 26, pp. 249-57, June 2006.
4. _, "WHO global influenza preparedness plan: the role of WHO and recommendations for national measures before and during pandemics," WHO/CDS/CSR/GIP/2005.5, 2005.
5. Ministero della Salute, "Piano Nazionale di preparazione e risposta ad una pandemia influenzale," Gazzetta Ufficiale, vol. 77, 2006, English version available at http:// www.ministerosalute.it/imgs/C_17. pubblicazioni_511_allegato.pdf.
6. M. L. degli Atti, C. Rizzo, M. G. Pompa, S. Salmaso, and D. Greco, "How prepared is Europe for pandemic influenza?" Lancet, vol. 368, no. 9529, p. 25, July 2006.
7. E. Hak, M. J. Meijboom, and E. Buskens, "Modelling the health-economic impact of the next influenza pandemic in The Netherlands," Vaccine, 2006, [Epub ahead of print 2006 Jun 9].
8. B. C. Chun, "Modelling the impact of pandemic influenza," J Prev Med Pub Health, vol. 38, no. 4, pp. 379-85, November 2005, (Korean).
9. M. I. Meltzer, N. J. Cox, and K. Fukuda, "The economic impact of pandemic influenza in the united states: priorities for intervention," Emerg Infect Dis, vol. 5, no. 5, pp. 659-71, September-October 1999.
10. R. Fock, H. Bergmann, H. Bussmann, G. Fell, E. J. Finke, U. Koch, M. Niedrig, M. Peters, K. Riedmann, D. Scholz, and A. Wirtz, "Influenza pandemic: preparedness planning in Germany," Euro Surveill, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 1-5, January 2002.
11. A. Doyle, I. Bonmarin, D. Levy-Bruhl, Y. L. Strat, and J. C. Desenclos, "Influenza pandemic preparedness in France: modelling the impact of interventions," J Epidemiol Community Health, vol. 60, no. 5, pp. 399-404, May 2006.
12. K. F. Gensheimer, M. I. Meltzer, A. S. Postema, and R. Strikas, "Influenza pandemic preparedness," Emerg Infect Dis, vol. 9, no. 12, pp. 1645-8, December 2003.
13. M. L. van Genugten, M. L. Heijnen, and J. C. Jager, "Pandemic influenza and healthcare demand in the Netherlands: scenario analysis," Emerg Infect Dis, vol. 9, no. 5, pp. 531-8, May 2003.
14. L. Jennings, "New Zealand's preparedness for the next influenza pandemic," N Z Med J, vol. 118, no. 1211, p. U1343, March 2005.
15. N. M. Ferguson, D. A. Cummings, C. Fraser, J. C. Cajka, P. C. Cooley, and D. S. Burke, "Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic," Nature, 2006, [Epub ahead of print 2005 Apr 26].
16. N. M. Ferguson, D. A. Cummings, S. Cauchemez, C. Fraser, S. Riley, A. Meeyai, S. Iamsirithaworn, and D. S. Burke, "Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia," Nature, vol. 437, pp. 209-214, 2005, [Epub ahead of print 2005 Aug 3].
17. T. C. Germann, K. Kadau, I. M. J. Longini, and C. A. Macken, "Mitigation strategies for pandemic influenza in the United States," Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, vol. 103, no. 15, pp. 5935-4, April 2006, [Epub ahead of print 2005 Apr 3].
18. I. M. J. Longini, A. Nizam, S. Xu, K. Ungchusak, W. Hanshaoworakul, D. A. Cummings, and M. E. Halloran, "Containing pandemic influenza at the source," Science, vol. 309, no. 5737, pp. 1083-7, August 2005, [Epub ahead of print 2005 Aug 3].
19. R. Daems, G. Del Giudice, and R. Rappuoli, "Anticipating crisis: towards a pandemic flu vaccination strategy through alignment of public health and industrial policy," Vaccine, vol. 23, no. 50, pp. 5732-42, December 2005.