메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 23, Issue 3, 2008, Pages 927-937

A hybrid system-econometric model for electricity spot prices: Considering spike sensitivity to forced outage distributions

Author keywords

Deregulated electricity markets; Electricity pricing; Energy pricing; Forward prices; Option pricing; Power markets; Power pricing; Spot price model

Indexed keywords

DEREGULATION; ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS; FINANCE; HISTORY; IMAGE SEGMENTATION; INSURANCE; MARKETING; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; POWER GENERATION; RISK ANALYSIS; RISK MANAGEMENT; RISK PERCEPTION;

EID: 49249121762     PISSN: 08858950     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2008.922625     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (34)

References (34)
  • 1
    • 0031703445 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Electricity sectors in transition
    • P. J. Joskow, "Electricity sectors in transition," Energy J., vol. 19, pp. 25-52, 1998.
    • (1998) Energy J , vol.19 , pp. 25-52
    • Joskow, P.J.1
  • 2
    • 49249104074 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • C. Pirrong and M. Jermakyan, Valuing power and weather derivatives on a mesh using finite difference methods, in Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty. London, U.K.: Risk, 1999.
    • C. Pirrong and M. Jermakyan, "Valuing power and weather derivatives on a mesh using finite difference methods," in Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty. London, U.K.: Risk, 1999.
  • 3
    • 0041848471 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pricing power derivatives
    • A. Eydeland and H. Geman, "Pricing power derivatives," Risk, pp. 71-74, 1999.
    • (1999) Risk , pp. 71-74
    • Eydeland, A.1    Geman, H.2
  • 4
    • 0041353049 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equilibrium pricing and optimal hedging in electricity forward markets
    • H. Bessembinder and M. Lemmon, "Equilibrium pricing and optimal hedging in electricity forward markets," J. Fin., vol. 57, pp. 1347-1382, 2002.
    • (2002) J. Fin , vol.57 , pp. 1347-1382
    • Bessembinder, H.1    Lemmon, M.2
  • 5
    • 0035147848 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exotic electricity options and valuation of electricity generation and transmission
    • S. Deng, B. Johnson, and A. Sogomonian, "Exotic electricity options and valuation of electricity generation and transmission," Decision Support Syst., vol. 30, pp. 383-392, 2001.
    • (2001) Decision Support Syst , vol.30 , pp. 383-392
    • Deng, S.1    Johnson, B.2    Sogomonian, A.3
  • 6
    • 4344591747 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Electricity forward prices: A high-frequency empirical analysis
    • F. Longstaff and A. Wang, "Electricity forward prices: A high-frequency empirical analysis," J. Fin., vol. 59, pp. 1877-1900, 2004.
    • (2004) J. Fin , vol.59 , pp. 1877-1900
    • Longstaff, F.1    Wang, A.2
  • 8
    • 0009695648 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Financial methods in competitive Electricity markets,
    • Ph.D. dissertation, Univ. California, Berkeley
    • S. Deng, "Financial methods in competitive Electricity markets," Ph.D. dissertation, Univ. California, Berkeley, 1999.
    • (1999)
    • Deng, S.1
  • 9
    • 4243877985 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Competitive electricity markets, prices and generator entry and exit,
    • Ph.D. dissertation, Cornell Univ, Ithaca, NY
    • R. G. Ethier, "Competitive electricity markets, prices and generator entry and exit," Ph.D. dissertation, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY, 1999.
    • (1999)
    • Ethier, R.G.1
  • 12
    • 49249109466 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical examination of deregulated electricity prices
    • submitted for publication
    • C. Knittel and M. Roberts, "Empirical examination of deregulated electricity prices," Energy Econ., submitted for publication.
    • Energy Econ
    • Knittel, C.1    Roberts, M.2
  • 14
    • 0036759147 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Exotic options for interruptible electricity supply contracts
    • R. Kamat and S. Oren, "Exotic options for interruptible electricity supply contracts," Oper. Res., vol. 50, pp. 835-850, 2002.
    • (2002) Oper. Res , vol.50 , pp. 835-850
    • Kamat, R.1    Oren, S.2
  • 15
    • 4544313969 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Valuation and optimal control of electrical power plants in deregulated markets
    • M. Thompson, M. Davison, and H. Rasmussen, "Valuation and optimal control of electrical power plants in deregulated markets," Oper. Res., vol. 52, pp. 546-562, 2004.
    • (2004) Oper. Res , vol.52 , pp. 546-562
    • Thompson, M.1    Davison, M.2    Rasmussen, H.3
  • 16
    • 3943105087 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A mixed complementarity model of hydrothermal electricity competition in the western united states
    • J. B. Bushnell, "A mixed complementarity model of hydrothermal electricity competition in the western united states," Oper. Res. vol. 51, pp. 80-93, 2003.
    • (2003) Oper. Res , vol.51 , pp. 80-93
    • Bushnell, J.B.1
  • 17
    • 0035340577 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Discovering price-load relationships in California's electricity market
    • Feb
    • S. Vucetic, K. Tomsovic, and Z. Obradovic, "Discovering price-load relationships in California's electricity market," IEEE Trans. Power Syst, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 280-286, Feb. 2001.
    • (2001) IEEE Trans. Power Syst , vol.16 , Issue.1 , pp. 280-286
    • Vucetic, S.1    Tomsovic, K.2    Obradovic, Z.3
  • 18
    • 49249122069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Empirical electricity price modelling
    • Jul
    • H. Chen, "Empirical electricity price modelling," Energy Risk, pp. 74-79, Jul. 2006.
    • (2006) Energy Risk , pp. 74-79
    • Chen, H.1
  • 19
    • 14544276407 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A threshold autoregressive model for wholesale electricity prices
    • R. Rambharat, A. Brockwell, and D. Seppi, "A threshold autoregressive model for wholesale electricity prices," J. R. Statist. Soc., Series C, vol. 54, pp. 287-299, 2005.
    • (2005) J. R. Statist. Soc., Series C , vol.54 , pp. 287-299
    • Rambharat, R.1    Brockwell, A.2    Seppi, D.3
  • 20
    • 30344455035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predicting price spikes in electricity markets using a regime-switching model with time-varying parameters
    • T. D. Mount, Y. Ning, and X. Cai, "Predicting price spikes in electricity markets using a regime-switching model with time-varying parameters," Energy Econ., vol. 28, pp. 62-80, 2006.
    • (2006) Energy Econ , vol.28 , pp. 62-80
    • Mount, T.D.1    Ning, Y.2    Cai, X.3
  • 21
    • 0035339759 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Demand, generation, and price in the Norwegian market for electric power
    • T. Johnsen, "Demand, generation, and price in the Norwegian market for electric power," Energy Econ., vol. 23, pp. 227-251, 2001.
    • (2001) Energy Econ , vol.23 , pp. 227-251
    • Johnsen, T.1
  • 22
    • 49249134241 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A. Eydeland and H. Geman, Fundamentals of electricity derivatives, in Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty. London, U.K.: Risk, 1999.
    • A. Eydeland and H. Geman, "Fundamentals of electricity derivatives," in Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty. London, U.K.: Risk, 1999.
  • 23
    • 49249114858 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • B. Johnson and G. Barz, Selecting stochastic processes for modelling electricity prices, in Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty. London, U.K.: Risk, 1999.
    • B. Johnson and G. Barz, "Selecting stochastic processes for modelling electricity prices," in Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty. London, U.K.: Risk, 1999.
  • 24
    • 49249096280 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • P. L. Skantze and M. D. Ilic, Short-term variations and long-term dynamics in commodity prices, in Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty. London, U.K.: Risk, 1999.
    • P. L. Skantze and M. D. Ilic, "Short-term variations and long-term dynamics in commodity prices," in Energy Modelling and the Management of Uncertainty. London, U.K.: Risk, 1999.
  • 25
    • 0036577237 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Development of a hybrid model for electricity spot prices
    • May
    • M. Davison, L. Anderson, B. Marcus, and K. Anderson, "Development of a hybrid model for electricity spot prices," IEEE Trans. Power Syst. vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 257-264, May 2002.
    • (2002) IEEE Trans. Power Syst , vol.17 , Issue.2 , pp. 257-264
    • Davison, M.1    Anderson, L.2    Marcus, B.3    Anderson, K.4
  • 26
    • 43849096542 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A hybrid model for electricity spot prices,
    • Ph.D. dissertation, Univ. Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada
    • C. L. Anderson, "A hybrid model for electricity spot prices," Ph.D. dissertation, Univ. Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada, 2004.
    • (2004)
    • Anderson, C.L.1
  • 28
    • 28244455847 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An aggregate Weibull approach for modeling short-term system generating capacity
    • Nov
    • L. Anderson and M. Davison, "An aggregate Weibull approach for modeling short-term system generating capacity," IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 20, no. 4, pp. 1783-1789, Nov. 2005.
    • (2005) IEEE Trans. Power Syst , vol.20 , Issue.4 , pp. 1783-1789
    • Anderson, L.1    Davison, M.2
  • 29
    • 49249132696 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • PJM Interconnection LLC, Online, Available:, 2000
    • PJM Interconnection LLC. [Online]. Available: http://www.pjm.com, 2000.
  • 30
    • 0018544097 scopus 로고
    • IEEE Reliability Test System
    • IEEE Reliability Test System Task Force of the Application of Probability Methods Subcommittee, Nov./Dec
    • IEEE Reliability Test System Task Force of the Application of Probability Methods Subcommittee, "IEEE Reliability Test System," IEEE Trans. Power App. Syst., vol. PAS-98, no. 6, pp. 2047-2055, Nov./Dec. 1979.
    • (1979) IEEE Trans. Power App. Syst , vol.PAS-98 , Issue.6 , pp. 2047-2055
  • 31
    • 84941871856 scopus 로고
    • The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for goodness of fit
    • Jr, Mar
    • F. J. Massey. Jr., "The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for goodness of fit," J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., vol. 46, no. 253, pp. 68-78, Mar. 1951.
    • (1951) J. Amer. Statist. Assoc , vol.46 , Issue.253 , pp. 68-78
    • Massey, F.J.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.