Extremes from scarce data: The role of Bayesian and scaling techniques in reducing uncertainty

Journal of Hydraulic Research

Volumn 46, Issue SUPPL. 2, 2008, Pages 224-234

  Sánchez Arcilla, Agustin ^a   Gomez Aguar, Jesus ^a   Egozcue, Juan Jose ^a   Ortego, Ma Isabel ^a   Galiatsatou, Panagiota ^b   Prinos, Panagiotis ^b  

^a UNIVERSITAT POLITÈCNICA DE CATALUNYA   (Spain)

^b ARISTOTLE UNIVERSITY OF THESSALONIKI   (Greece)

Author keywords

Extremes; Scaling; Selection; Threshold; Wave

Indexed keywords

BAYESIAN NETWORKS; OCEAN CURRENTS; RISKS; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; WATER WAVES; WAVES;

BAYESIAN APPROACHES; CONFIDENCE INTERVAL; DISTRIBUTION FEATURES; EXTREME WAVE HEIGHTS; EXTREMES; SCALING; SELECTION; THRESHOLD;

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS;

ASSESSMENT METHOD; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; COASTAL ZONE; DATA PROCESSING; EROSION CONTROL; FLOOD CONTROL; RISK ASSESSMENT; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; WAVE HEIGHT;

BENELUX; EURASIA; EUROPE; MEDITERRANEAN COAST [SPAIN]; NETHERLANDS; NORTH SEA COAST [NETHERLANDS]; SOUTHERN EUROPE; SPAIN; WESTERN EUROPE;

EID: 49249114939     PISSN: 00221686     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1080/00221686.2008.9521956     Document Type: Article

References (21)

1. Bolaños, R., Sánchez-Arcilla, A., Gomez, J., Cateura, J., Sairouni, A. (2004). "Limits of Operational Wave Prediction in the North-Western Mediterranean". Proc. 29th Int. Conf. Coastal Engineering, Lisbon 1, 818-829. ASCE, Reston, VA.
2. Bolaños, R., Sánchez-Arcilla, A. (2006). "A Note on Nearshore Wave Features: Implications for Wave Generation". Progress in Oceanography 70(2-4), 168-180.
3. Caires, S., Sterl, A. (2005). "100-Year Return Value Estimates for Ocean Wind Speed and Significant Wave Height from the ERA-40 Data". Journal of Climate 18(7), 1032-1048.
4. Coles, S.G. (2001). An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values. Springer, London.
5. Davison, A.C., Smith, R.L. (1990). "Models for Exceedances Over High Thresholds". J. Royal Stat. Soc. B 52, 393-442.
6. Egozcue, J.J., Ramis, C. (2001). "Bayesian Hazard Analysis of Heavy Precipitation in Eastern Spain". Int. J. Climatol. 21, 1263-1279.
7. Egozcue, J.J., Pawlowsky-Glahn, V., Ortego, M.I. (2005). "Wave-Height Hazard Analysis in Eastern Coast of Spain: Bayesian Approach Using Generalized Pareto Distribution". Advances in Geosciences 2, 25-30.
8. Egozcue, J.J., Pawlowsky-Glahn, V., Ortego, M.I., Tolosana-Delgado, R. (2006). "The Effect of Scale in Daily Precipitation Hazard Assessment". Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 6, 459-470.
9. Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., Mikosch, T. (1997). "Modelling Extremal Values". Springer, Berlin.
10. Galiatsatou, P., Prinos, P., Sánchez-Arcilla, A. (2008). "Estimation of Extremes: Conventional Versus Bayesian Techniques". J. Hydraul. Res. 46(Extra Issue 2), 211-223.
11. Gómez Aguar, J., Sánchez-Arcilla, A., Solano, M., Vela, J. (2005). "Extreme Wave Conditions in a Torrential Climate: The Catalan Case". Proc. 5th Int. Symp. Waves 2005, CD-ROM, 1-10, Billy Edge, José C. Santás (eds) CEDEX, Madrid.
12. Katz, R.W., Parlange, M.B., Naveon, (2002). "Statistics of Extremes in Hydrology". Adv. Water Res. 25, 1287-1304.
13. s Using a Time-Dependent POT Model". J. Geophysical Res. 111, C07024.
14. Morton, I.D., Bowers, J., Mould, G. (1997). "Estimating Return Period Wave Heights and Wind Speeds Using a Seasonal Point Process Model". Coastal Engineering 31, 305-326.
15. Pawlowsky-Glahn, V., Egozcue, J.J. (2001). "Geometric Approach to Statistical Analysis on the Simplex". Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 15, 384-398.
16. Pickands, J. (1975). "Statistical Inference Using Extreme Order Statistics". Annals of Statistics 3, 119-131.
17. Puertos del Estado (1994). Maritime Works Recommendations. ROM 0.3-91 Waves Annex 1: Wave Climate on the Spanish Coast. Anejo I, p. 76. Ministerio de Obras Públicas y Transporte, Centro de Publicaciones de Secretaría General Técnica, Madrid.
18. Ruggiero, P., Kaminsky, G.M., Komar, P.D., McDougal, W.G. (1997). "Extreme Waves and Coastal Erosion in the Pacific Northwest. Ocean Wave Measurement and Analysis". Proc. 3rd Int. Symp. Waves'97. ASCE, Reston VA, pp. 947-961.
19. Sánchez-Arcilla, A., Jiménez, J.A., Valdemoreo, H.I. (1998). "The Ebro Delta: Morphodynamics and Vulnerability". J. Coastal Res 14(3), 754-772.
20. Sánchez-Arcilla, A., Jimenez, J.A., Sierra J.P. (2005). "Zones Costaneres: Dinàmica Sedimentaria". In: A.J.E. Llebot, (ed), Informe sobre el canvi climàtic a Catalunya, Institut d'Estudis Catalans, Barcelona, pp. 609-641.
21. Sánchez-Arcilla, A., Jiménez, J.A., Valdemoreo, H.I. (2006). "A Note on the Vulnerability of Deltaic Coasts: Application to the Ebro Delta". In: L. McFadden, R. Nicholls, E. Penning Rowsell, (eds.), Managing Coastal Vulnerability, Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 79-94.