Assessing impacts of SARS and Avian Flu on international tourism demand to Asia

Tourism Management

Volumn 29, Issue 5, 2008, Pages 917-928

  Kuo, Hsiao I ^a   Chen, Chi Chung ^a   Tseng, Wei Chun ^a   Ju, Lan Fen ^a   Huang, Bing Wen ^a  

^a NATIONAL CHUNG HSING UNIVERSITY   (Taiwan)

Author keywords

ARMAX; Avian Flu; Dynamic panel model; International travel; SARS

Indexed keywords

AVIAN INFLUENZA; DATA SET; EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS; INFECTIOUS DISEASE; INTERNATIONAL TOURISM; PANEL DATA; SEVERE ACUTE RESPIRATORY SYNDROME; TOURISM ECONOMICS; VECTOR AUTOREGRESSION;

ASIA; EURASIA;

AVES;

EID: 48649107174     PISSN: None     EISSN: 02615177     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2007.10.006     Document Type: Article

References (33)

1. Akal M. Forecasting Turkey's tourism revenues by ARMAX model. Tourism Management 25 5 (2004) 565-580
2. Arellano M., and Bond S. Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies 58 (1991) 277-297
3. Beirman D. Restoring tourism destinations in crisis: A strategic marketing approach (2003), Cabi Publishing, Wallingford
4. Bierens H.J. ARMAX model specification testing with an application to unemployment in the Netherlands. Journal of Econometrics 35 (1987) 161-190
5. Brahmbhatt, M. (2005). Asian influenza: Economic and social impact. 〈http://www.worldbank.org〉; accessed 23.09.05.
6. Buhalis D. Marketing the competitive destination of the future-growth strategies for accommodation establishments in alpine regions. Tourism Management 21 1 (2000) 97-116
7. Cheng M.H. Cash boost for avian influenza exceeds expectations. The Lancet 367 9507 (2006) 289
8. Enders W., Sandler T., and Parise G.F. An econometric analysis of the impact of terrorism on tourism. KYKLOS 45 4 (1992) 531-554
9. Faulkner B. Towards a framework for tourism disaster management. Tourism Management 22 2 (2001) 135-147
10. Franses P.H. Primary demand for beer in the Netherlands: An application of ARMAX model specification. Journal of Marketing Research 28 (1991) 240-245
11. Garín-Muñoz T. Inbound international tourism to Canary Islands: A dynamic panel data model. Tourism Management 27 2 (2006) 281-291
12. Garín-Muñoz T. German demand for tourism in Spain. Tourism Management 28 1 (2007) 12-22
13. Garín-Muñoz T., and Pérez-Amaral T. An econometric model for international tourism flows to Spain. Applied Economics Letters 7 (2000) 525-529
14. Glaeßer D. Crisis management in the tourism industry. 2nd ed (2005), Butterworth Heinemann, Oxford
15. Greene W.H. Econometric analysis. 4th ed (2000), Prentice-Hall, Inc, New Jersey
16. Harvey A.C. The econometric analysis of time series (1990), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
17. Henderson J.C. Corporate social responsibility and tourism: hotel companies in Phuket, Thailand, after the Indian Ocean tsunami. Hospitality Management 26 (2007) 228-239
18. Hsiao C. Analysis of panel data. 2nd ed. (2003), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
19. Ledesma-Rodríguez F.J., Navarro-Ibáñez M., and Pérez-Rodríguez J.V. Panel data and tourism: A case study of Tenerife. Tourism Economics 7 1 (2001) 75-88
20. Lim C., and McAleer M. Monthly seasonal variations in Asian tourism to Australia. Annals of Tourism Research 28 1 (2001) 68-82
21. Liu J.-T., Hammitt J.K., Wang J.-D., and Tsou M.-W. Valuation of the risk of SARS in Taiwan. Health Economics 14 (2005) 83-91
22. Mackinnon J.G. Critical values for cointegration test. In: Engle R.F., and Granger C.W.J. (Eds). Long-run economic relationships (1991), Oxford University Press 267-276
23. Mohsin A. Tourist attitudes and destination marketing-the case of Australia's Northern Territory and Malaysia. Tourism Management 26 5 (2005) 723-732
24. Page S., Yeoman I., Munro C., Connell J., and Walker L. A case study of best practice-visit Scotland's prepared response to an influenza pandemic. Tourism Management 27 3 (2006) 361-393
25. Richter L.K. International tourism and its global public health consequences. Journal of Travel Research 41 4 (2003) 340-347
26. Ritchie B.W. Chaos, crises and disasters: a strategic approach to crisis management in the tourism industry. Tourism Management 25 6 (2004) 669-683
27. Sloboda B.W. Assessing the effects of terrorism on tourism by use of time series methods. Tourism Economics 9 2 (2003) 179-190
28. Song H., and Witt S.F. Tourism demand modeling and forecasting-model econometric approaches (2000), Elsevier, Amsterdam, New York
29. Taylor W.E. Small sample considerations in estimation from panel data. Journal of Econometrics 13 2 (1980) 203-223
30. WHO. (2004). Summary of probable SARS cases with onset of illness from 1 November 2002 to 31 July 2003. World Health Organization. 〈http://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/table2004_04_21/en/〉; accessed 8.06.06.
31. WHO. (2006). Cumulative number of confirmed human cases of avian influenza A/(H5N1) reported to WHO. 〈http://www.who.int/csr/disease/avian_influenza/country/cases_table_2006_06_06/en/index.html〉; accessed 8.06.06.
32. Wilder-Smith A. The severe acute respiratory syndrome: impact on travel and tourism. Travel Medicine and Infectious Diseases 4 (2006) 53-60
33. WTTC. (2003). Special SARS analysis: Impact of travel and tourism (Hong Kong, China, Singapore and Vietnam reports). London: World Travel and Tourism Council.