Comments on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds

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Volumn 17, Issue 2, 2008, Pages 251-255

  Winkler, Robert L ^a   Jose, Victor Richmond R ^a  

^a DUKE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

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[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 48349098498     PISSN: 11330686     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11749-008-0121-y     Document Type: Note

References (7)

1. Brier GW (1950) Verification of forecasts expressed in terms of probability. Mon Weather Rev 78:1-3
2. Epstein ES (1969) A scoring system for probability forecasts of ranked categories. J Appl Meteorol 8:985-987
3. Jose VRR, Nau RF, Winkler RL (2008a) Scoring rules, generalized entropy, and utility maximization. Oper Res 56 (in press)
4. Jose VRR, Nau RF, Winkler RL (2008b) Sensitivity to distance and baseline distributions in forecast evaluation. Working paper, Duke University
5. Murphy AH (1971) A note on the ranked probability score. J Appl Meteorol 10:155-156
6. Murphy AH, Winkler RL (1984) Probability forecasting in meteorology. J Am Stat Assoc 79:489-500
7. Winkler RL (1994) Evaluating probabilities: asymmetric scoring rules. Management Sci 40:1395-1405