메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 17, Issue 2, 2008, Pages 256-264

Rejoinder on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords


EID: 48349092983     PISSN: 11330686     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s11749-008-0122-x     Document Type: Note
Times cited : (4)

References (38)
  • 1
    • 34248349570 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Combining spatial statistical and ensemble information in probabilistic weather forecasts
    • Berrocal VJ, Raftery AE, Gneiting T (2007) Combining spatial statistical and ensemble information in probabilistic weather forecasts. Mon Weather Rev 135:1386-1402
    • (2007) Mon Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 1386-1402
    • Berrocal, V.J.1    Raftery, A.E.2    Gneiting, T.3
  • 3
    • 0001135785 scopus 로고
    • Sampling and Bayes' inference in scientific modelling and robustness
    • Box GEP (1980) Sampling and Bayes' inference in scientific modelling and robustness. J R Stat Soc Ser A 143:383-425
    • (1980) J R Stat Soc ser A , vol.143 , pp. 383-425
    • Box, G.E.P.1
  • 4
    • 0000881285 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Wavelets and field forecast verification
    • Briggs WM, Levine RA (1997) Wavelets and field forecast verification. Mon Weather Rev 125:1329- 1341
    • (1997) Mon Weather Rev , vol.125 , pp. 1329-1341
    • Briggs, W.M.1    Levine, R.A.2
  • 5
    • 27744503233 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Assessing the skill of yes/no predictions
    • Briggs WM, Ruppert D (2005) Assessing the skill of yes/no predictions. Biometrics 61:799-807
    • (2005) Biometrics , vol.61 , pp. 799-807
    • Briggs, W.M.1    Ruppert, D.2
  • 6
    • 34249087709 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scoring probabilistic forecasts: The importance of being proper
    • Bröcker J, Smith LA (2007) Scoring probabilistic forecasts: the importance of being proper. Weather Forecast 22:382-388
    • (2007) Weather Forecast , vol.22 , pp. 382-388
    • Bröcker, J.1    Smith, L.A.2
  • 7
    • 34848881613 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A new spatial-scale decomposition of the Brier score: Application to the verification of lightning probability forecasts
    • Casati B, Wilson LJ (2007) A new spatial-scale decomposition of the Brier score: application to the verification of lightning probability forecasts. Mon Weather Rev 135:3052-3069
    • (2007) Mon Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 3052-3069
    • Casati, B.1    Wilson, L.J.2
  • 8
    • 34547225982 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Theme issue 'Ensembles and probabilities: A new era in the prediction of climate change'
    • Collins M, Knight S (2007) Theme issue 'Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change'. Philos Trans R Soc Ser A 365:1957-2191
    • (2007) Philos Trans R Soc ser A , vol.365 , pp. 1957-2191
    • Collins, M.1    Knight, S.2
  • 9
    • 48349116281 scopus 로고
    • Discussion of 'Sampling and Bayes' inference in scientific modelling and robustness
    • Cox DR (1980) Discussion of 'Sampling and Bayes' inference in scientific modelling and robustness. J R Stat Soc Ser A 143:410
    • (1980) J R Stat Soc ser A , vol.143 , pp. 410
    • Cox, D.R.1
  • 10
    • 0000582742 scopus 로고
    • Statistical theory. the prequential approach (with discussion)
    • Dawid AP (1984) Statistical theory. The prequential approach (with discussion). J R Stat Soc Ser A 147:278-292
    • (1984) J R Stat Soc ser A , vol.147 , pp. 278-292
    • Dawid, A.P.1
  • 12
    • 48349145416 scopus 로고
    • Discussion of 'Sampling and Bayes' inference in scientific modelling and robustness
    • de Finetti B (1980) Discussion of 'Sampling and Bayes' inference in scientific modelling and robustness. J R Stat Soc Ser A 143:414-415
    • (1980) J R Stat Soc ser A , vol.143 , pp. 414-415
    • De Finetti, B.1
  • 13
    • 35448995744 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Predictability: Recent insights from information theory
    • DelSole T, Tippett MK (2007) Predictability: recent insights from information theory. Rev Geophys 45:RG4002
    • (2007) Rev Geophys , vol.45 , pp. 4002
    • Delsole, T.1    Tippett, M.K.2
  • 14
    • 34848920881 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • On some aspects of the definition of initial conditions for ensemble prediction
    • Descamps L, Talagrand O (2007) On some aspects of the definition of initial conditions for ensemble prediction. Mon Weather Rev 135:3260-3272
    • (2007) Mon Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 3260-3272
    • Descamps, L.1    Talagrand, O.2
  • 15
    • 48349135810 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A statistical framework to combine multivariate spatial data and physical models for hurricane surface wind prediction
    • Foley M, Fuentes M (2008) A statistical framework to combine multivariate spatial data and physical models for hurricane surface wind prediction. J Agr Biol Environ Stat 13:37-59
    • (2008) J Agr Biol Environ Stat , vol.13 , pp. 37-59
    • Foley, M.1    Fuentes, M.2
  • 16
    • 4944237404 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Calibrated probabilistic mesoscale weather field forecasting: The geostatistical output perturbation (GOP) method
    • Gel Y, Raftery AE, Gneiting T (2004) Calibrated probabilistic mesoscale weather field forecasting: the geostatistical output perturbation (GOP) method. J Am Stat Assoc 99:575-587
    • (2004) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.99 , pp. 575-587
    • Gel, Y.1    Raftery, A.E.2    Gneiting, T.3
  • 17
    • 33947274775 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation
    • Gneiting T, Raftery AE (2007) Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. J Am Stat Assoc 102:359-378
    • (2007) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.102 , pp. 359-378
    • Gneiting, T.1    Raftery, A.E.2
  • 19
    • 34248340555 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Theory and applications of the minimum spanning tree rank histogram
    • Gombos D, Hansen JA, Du J, McQueen J (2007) Theory and applications of the minimum spanning tree rank histogram. Mon Weather Rev 135:490-1505
    • (2007) Mon Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 490-1505
    • Gombos, D.1    Hansen, J.A.2    Du, J.3    McQueen, J.4
  • 20
    • 6344274901 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Game theory, maximum entropy, minimum discrepancy, and robust Bayesian decision theory
    • Grünwald PD, Dawid AP (2004) Game theory, maximum entropy, minimum discrepancy, and robust Bayesian decision theory. Ann Stat 32:1367-1433
    • (2004) Ann Stat , vol.32 , pp. 1367-1433
    • Grünwald, P.D.1    Dawid, A.P.2
  • 21
    • 0035270069 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Interpretation of rank histograms for verifying ensemble forecasts
    • Hamill TM (2001) Interpretation of rank histograms for verifying ensemble forecasts. Mon Weather Rev 129:550-560
    • (2001) Mon Weather Rev , vol.129 , pp. 550-560
    • Hamill, T.M.1
  • 23
    • 44849099852 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic forecasts from the national digital forecast database
    • Krzysztofowicz R, Evans WB (2008) Probabilistic forecasts from the national digital forecast database. Weather Forecast 23:270-289
    • (2008) Weather Forecast , vol.23 , pp. 270-289
    • Krzysztofowicz, R.1    Evans, W.B.2
  • 24
    • 0032172943 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Scalar measures of performance in rare-event situations
    • Marzban C (1998) Scalar measures of performance in rare-event situations. Weather Forecast 13:753- 763
    • (1998) Weather Forecast , vol.13 , pp. 753-763
    • Marzban, C.1
  • 26
    • 0000358005 scopus 로고
    • Probabilities, odds, and forecasts of rare events
    • Murphy AH (1991) Probabilities, odds, and forecasts of rare events. Weather Forecast 6:302-307
    • (1991) Weather Forecast , vol.6 , pp. 302-307
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 27
    • 0031926705 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The early history of probability forecasts: Some extensions and clarifications
    • Murphy AH (1998) The early history of probability forecasts: some extensions and clarifications. Weather Forecast 13:5-15
    • (1998) Weather Forecast , vol.13 , pp. 5-15
    • Murphy, A.H.1
  • 28
    • 0001408506 scopus 로고
    • Probability forecasting in meteorology
    • Murphy AH, Winkler RL (1984) Probability forecasting in meteorology. J Am Stat Assoc 79:489-500
    • (1984) J Am Stat Assoc , vol.79 , pp. 489-500
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 29
    • 0023486961 scopus 로고
    • A general framework for forecast verification
    • Murphy AH, Winkler RL (1987) A general framework for forecast verification. Mon Weather Rev 115:1330-1338
    • (1987) Mon Weather Rev , vol.115 , pp. 1330-1338
    • Murphy, A.H.1    Winkler, R.L.2
  • 30
    • 44449086846 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Toward seamless prediction: Calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts
    • Palmer TN, Doblas-Reyes FJ, Weisheimer A, Rodwell MJ (2008) Toward seamless prediction: calibration of climate change projections using seasonal forecasts. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 89:459-470
    • (2008) Bull Am Meteorol Soc , vol.89 , pp. 459-470
    • Palmer, T.N.1    Doblas-Reyes, F.J.2    Weisheimer, A.3    Rodwell, M.J.4
  • 32
    • 34247194587 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Doing something about the weather
    • Regnier E (2008) Doing something about the weather. Omega 36:22-32
    • (2008) Omega , vol.36 , pp. 22-32
    • Regnier, E.1
  • 33
    • 48349083226 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A multivariate semiparametric Bayesian spatial modeling framework for hurricane surface wind fields
    • Reich B, Fuentes M (2007) A multivariate semiparametric Bayesian spatial modeling framework for hurricane surface wind fields. Ann Appl Stat 1:249-264
    • (2007) Ann Appl Stat , vol.1 , pp. 249-264
    • Reich, B.1    Fuentes, M.2
  • 34
    • 0036612028 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory
    • Roulston MS, Smith LA (2002) Evaluating probabilistic forecasts using information theory. Mon Weather Rev 130:1653-1660
    • (2002) Mon Weather Rev , vol.130 , pp. 1653-1660
    • Roulston, M.S.1    Smith, L.A.2
  • 36
    • 34248354794 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Bayesian model averaging
    • Sloughter JM, Raftery AE, Gneiting T, Fraley C (2007) Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting using Bayesian model averaging. Mon Weather Rev 135:3209-3220
    • (2007) Mon Weather Rev , vol.135 , pp. 3209-3220
    • Sloughter, J.M.1    Raftery, A.E.2    Gneiting, T.3    Fraley, C.4
  • 37
    • 42549146416 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The extreme dependency score: A non-vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events
    • Stephenson DB, Casati B, Ferro CAT, Wilson CA (2008) The extreme dependency score: a non-vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events. Meteorol Appl 15:41-50
    • (2008) Meteorol Appl , vol.15 , pp. 41-50
    • Stephenson, D.B.1    Casati, B.2    Ferro, C.A.T.3    Wilson, C.A.4
  • 38
    • 48349141309 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Technical report no 2003-16, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Bowling Green State University
    • Székely GJ (2003) ε-Statistics: the energy of statistical samples. Technical report no 2003-16, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Bowling Green State University
    • (2003) ε-Statistics: The Energy of Statistical Samples
    • Székely, G.J.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.