'An enemy at the gates' or 'from victory to victory'? Russian foreign policy

International Affairs

Volumn 84, Issue 4, 2008, Pages

  Monaghan, Andrew ^a  

^a NATO Defense College   (Italy)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 47949123924     PISSN: 00205850     EISSN: 14682346     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2346.2008.00734.x     Document Type: Article

References (88)

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2. Speech by Dmitri Medvedev following his election, 3 March 2008, www.medvedev2008.ru/performance_2008_03_02.htm, accessed 16 June 2008; transcript of interview with Dmitri Medvedev, Financial Times, 24 March 2008.
3. For more on these, see e.g. Peter Ferdinand, 'Russia and China: converging responses to globalization', International Affairs 83: 4, July 2007, pp. 655-80,
4. and 'Sunset, sunrise: China and Russia construct a new relationship', International Affairs 83: 5, September 2007, pp. 841-68 ;
5. Bobo Lo, Axis of convenience: Moscow, Beijing and the new geopolitics (London: Blackwell, 2008);
6. Henry Plater-Zyberk, Who's afraid of the SCO?, CSRC paper 07/09 (Swindon : Defence Academy of the UK, 2007).
7. For examination of many of these issues, and for economic detail of Russia's emergence, the reader should consult the range of materials drawn together for the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Select Committee Report on Russia, available at www.publications.parliament.uk, accessed 16 June 2008. See also Roy Allison, Margo Light and Stephen White, Putin's Russia and the enlarged Europe (London : Blackwell/RIIA, 2006).
8. For detailed discussion, see Andrew Monaghan, Stakhanov to the rescue? Russian coal and the troubled emergence of a Russian energy strategy, ARAG paper 07/3 4 (Swindon : Defence Academy of the UK, 2007).
9. For the text of Putin's speech, see 'Realpolitik from Munich', International Affairs (Moscow), 53: 3, 2007.
10. Interview with Vladislav Surkov, Komsomolskaya Pravda, 29 Sept. 2004 ;
11. Aleksandr Artemyev, 'Rossiya obozrela vragov', Gazeta.ru, 18 March 2008, www.gazeta.ru/politics/2008/03/18_a_2671176.shtml, accessed 16 June 2008 ;
12. Yulia Latyuina, 'Building high fences around bad neighbours', Moscow Times, 12 March 2008.
13. Sergei Lavrov, 'The present and future of global polities', Russia in Global Affairs, no. 2, April-June 2007, pp. 000-00. All Russia in Global Affairs articles are available online at http://eng.globalaffairs.ru, accessed 16 June 2008.
14. Medvedev, speech, 3 March 2008.
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16. Surkov interview, 29 Sept. 2004.
17. Dov Lynch, '"The enemy is at the gate": Russia after Beslan', International Affairs 81: 1, Jan. 2005. pp. 141-4.
18. Dmitri Trenin, 'Russia leaves the West', Foreign Affairs 85:4, July-Aug. 2006, p. 87.
19. Sergei Oznobishchev, 'Moscow's moratorium on CFE Treaty', RIA Novosti, 3 Jan. 2008.
20. Dmitri Trenin, 'Russia's coercive diplomacy', Carnegie Moscow Briefing Paper 10: 1, Jan. 2008. p. 3.
21. Konstantin Kosachov, 'Russia and the West: where the differences lie', Russia in Global Affairs, no. 4, Oct.-Dec. 2007.
22. Medvedev interview, Financial Times ; Sergei Lavrov, New Year speech to representatives of international mass media, Moscow, 15 Jan. 2008, www.mid.ru.
23. Transcript of discussion with Dmitri Peskov, 20 Feb. 2008, Nixon Center, www.nixoncenter.org, accessed 25 Feb. 2008.
24. Andrei Vandenko, interview with Dmitri Medvedev, 'Prostye istiny', Itogi, 18 Feb. 2008.
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27. 'West need not fear resurgent Russia', Reuters, 10 Feb. 2008, http://uk.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUK Li030398720080210?pageNumber= i&virtualBrandChannel=o, accessed 16 June 2008.
28. Quoted in Mikhail Sergeev, 'Liberalno-pravitel'stvennyi opportuuizm', Nezavisimaya Gazeta, 31 Jan. 2008.
29. See e.g. Fred Kempke, 'Russia's Medvedev deserves handshake, nosehold', Bloomberg, 29 Feb. 2008.
30. Medvedev interview, Financial Times.
31. Sergei Ivanov, 'Where is Russia heading? New vision of pan-European security', Munich Security Conference, 10 Feb. 2008, www.securityconference.de, accessed 16June 2008.
32. Review by the MFA.
33. Lavrov, 'Present and future'.
34. Sergei Kortunov, in Sergei Karaganov, ed., The world around Russia: 2017. An outlook for the mid-term future (Moscow: SVOP, 2007). pp. 24-30.
35. Sergei Lavrov, 'Containing Russia: back to the future?', Russia in Global Affairs, no. 4, Oct.-Dec. 2007.
36. Lavrov, "Present and future'.
37. Review by the MFA.
38. Speech by Vladimir Putin to expanded meeting of the State Council on Russia's development strategy through to 2020, 8 Feb. 2008, www.kremlin.ru, accessed 16 June 2008.
39. Sergei Lavrov, Interfax, 29 Dec. 2007.
40. Vitaliy Ivanov, 'Myagshe i shirshe? Nu nyetl', Izvestiya, 24 March 2008.
41. Karaganov, World around Russia, pp. 5-6.
42. Boris Piadyshev, 'Realpolitik from Munich', International Affairs (Moscow) 53: 3, p. 64.
43. Viktor Kuvaldin, 'The quest for Russia's foreign policy', International Affairs (Moscow) 53: 4, 2007, p. 64.
44. Review by the MFA.
45. Mikhail Kamyuin, Interfax, 6 Dec. 2007; Lavrov, Interfax, 9 Dec. 2007.
46. See e.g. reports in Interfax, 12, 13 Nov. 2007.
47. Keir Giles, New focus for Russian military doctrine, ARAG paper (Swindon: Defence Academy of the UK, forthcoming, 2008).
48. Transcript of big annual press conference, 14 Feb. 2008. www.kremlin.ru, accessed 16 June 2008
49. Medvedev interview, Financial Times.
50. Konstantin Kosachov, 'Brek! Rossiya-zapad : ishchem vykhod', Izvestiya, 29 Oct. 2007.
51. Sergei Lavrov, 'My staraemsya deideologizirovat nashi'deistviya', Izvestiya, 31 March 2008.
52. Yevgeniy Kiselyov, 'The price Russia must pay for being hysterical', Moscow Times, 2 April 2008.
53. Lavrov, 'Present and future'.
54. Transcript of annual big press conference.
55. Transcript of speech by Dmitri Medvedev, 11 Dec. 2007. www.medvedev2008.ru, accessed 16 June 2008.
56. Lavrov, 'Present and future'.
57. Transcript of annual big press conference.
58. Alexei Arbatov, 'Is a new Cold War imminent?', Russia in Global Affairs 2, Jul.-Sept. 2007.
59. Interview with Sergei Lavrov, Izvestiya, 31 March 2008.
60. See e.g. Oleg Shchederov, 'Putin slams "foreign interference" in Russia vote', Reuters, 26 Nov. 2007, reported injohnson's Russia List, no. 243, 2007; 'Putin slams those who want to "split Russia'", RFE/RL, Newsline 11/ 205, part 1, 5 Nov. 2007.
61. Andrei Okara, 'Sovereign democracy: a new Russian idea or a PR project?', Russia in Global Affairs, no. 2, Jul.-Sept. 2007. Though the concept does not enjoy complete support in Moscow (indeed, it is the subject of some debate, even among official circles, as being oxymoronic), it features increasingly prominently in political discussions.
62. 'Global player', Expert, no. 48 (589), 24-30 Dec. 2007.
63. Transcript of big annual press conference.
64. For more discussion of this, see Nazrin Mehdiyeva, 'New man in the Kremlin : what hope for Russian foreign policy?', International Spectator 43: 2, June 2008, p. 25.
65. Latyuina, 'Building high fences'.
66. Transcript of big annual press conference.
67. Putin, 'Realpolitik from Munich', p. 57.
68. Dmitri Trenin, 'Vueshnaya politika', Kommersant' Vlast, 28 Jan. 2008, http://www.kommersant.ru/doc.aspx?DocsID=845861, accessed 16June2008.
69. Fyodor Lukyanov, 'Refitting global organisations', Russia in Global Affairs, 20 Feb. 2008.
70. See e.g. Sergei Kortunov and Dmitri Suslov in World around Russia, pp. 35-6 and 44 respectively; Alexander Khramchikin, 'Collective security: dusting off old clichés', RIA Novosti, 17 Dec. 2007.
71. Transcript of speech by Sergei Lavrov, MFA press conference, 23 Jan. 2008, www.mid.ru. His speech was reported by one newspaper as reflecting 'decidedly sharp comments', by other media that 'in most cases' he spoke as a 'dove'. See respectively 'Lavrov says Russia won't back down', Moscow Times, 24 Jan. 2008, and 'The West no longer understands Lavrov', RIA Novosti, 24 Jan. 2008.
72. Lavrov, speech to international mass media, 15 Jan. 2008.
73. Roman Dobrokhotov, 'Kontseptsiya izmenilas' ', Noviye Izvestiya, 4 March 2008.
74. Sergei Karaganov, 'A new epoch of confrontation', Russia in Global Affairs 5:4, October-December 2007.
75. Putin, 'Realpolitik from Munich', p. 60.
76. Kosachov, 'Russia and the West'.
77. Kosachov, 'Russia and the West'.
78. See, for example, Natalya Narochnitskaya, ed., Oranzhevuie seti: ot Belgrada do Bishkeka (Orange networks:from Belgrade to Bishkek) (St Petersburg: Aleteiya, 2008).
79. Cited in Natalia Lebedeva, 'Russian freedom house', Rossiiskaya Gazeta, 29 Jan. 2008;
80. Johnson's Russia List, no. 20, 29 Jan. 2008.
81. Keir Giles, Cold start for Russian re-armament, ARAG paper (Swindon: Defence Academy of the UK, forthcoming 2008).
82. Mikhail Delyagin, 'The change in external factors of Russia's development', Russia in Global Affairs, no. 1, Jan.-March 2008, pp. 000-00.
83. Fyodor Lukyanov, 'O vrede i pol'ze shumovikh effektov', Gazeta.ru, 20 March 2008, www.gazeta.ru.
84. Aleksandr Artemyev, 'Rossiya obozrela vragov'.
85. Andrei Fyodorov, 'Strategiya global'nogo proniknoveniya', Nezavisimaya Gazeta, 31 Oct. 2007.
86. Speech by DmitriMedvedevtoDavos Forum, 27 Jan. 2007, www.medvedev2008.ru/ performance_2007_01_27. htm, accessed 16 June 2008
87. For discussion of this, see Karaganov, 'New epoch', and the reply by Roderic Lyne, 'Russia and the West : is confrontation inevitable?', Russia in Global Affairs, no. I, Jan.-March 2008. This to a significant extent replays the debate in the late 1990s over whether Russia had a 'seat at the table'.
88. See the articles by Jonathan Haslam, 'Russia's seat at the table: a place denied or a place delayed?' and William Odom, 'Russia's several seats at the table', in International Affairs 74:1 and 74: 4, 1998, respectively.