Mapping the possible occurrence of archaeological sites by Bayesian inference

Journal of Archaeological Science

Volumn 35, Issue 10, 2008, Pages 2786-2796

  Finke, P A ^a   Meylemans, E ^b   Van de Wauw, J ^a  

^a GHENT UNIVERSITY   (Belgium)

^b Flemish Heritage Institute   (Belgium)

Author keywords

Archaeology; Bayesian inference; Bootstrapping; Error propagation; Prospection

Indexed keywords

ARCHAEOLOGICAL EVIDENCE; BAYESIAN ANALYSIS; BOOTSTRAPPING; ERROR ANALYSIS; GEOSTATISTICS; KRIGING; MAPPING; PLOWING; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; SPATIAL ANALYSIS;

EID: 47949084001     PISSN: 03054403     EISSN: 10959238     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jas.2008.05.004     Document Type: Article

References (59)

1. Arts N. A survey of final Paleolithic archaeology in the southern Netherlands. In: Otte M. (Ed). De la Loire à l'Oder. Actes Coll. Liège 1985. BAR International Series vol. 444(I) (1988) 287-356
2. Aspinall R. An inductive modelling procedure based on Bayes' theorem for analysis of pattern in spatial data. International Journal of Geographical Information Systems 6 2 (1992) 105-121
3. Banning E.B. Archaeological survey. In: Orser Jr. C.E., and Schiffer M.B. (Eds). Manuals in Archaeological Method, Theory, and Technique (2002), Springer, New York
4. Bateman M.D., and Van Huissteden J. The timing of last-glacial periglacial and aeolian events, Twente, eastern Netherlands. Journal of Quaternary Science 14 3 (1999) 227-283
5. Bezdek J.C. Pattern Recognition with Fuzzy Objective Function Algorithms (1981), Plenum, NY
6. Boehner J., Koethe R., Conrad O., Gross J., Ringeler A., and Selige T. Soil regionalisation by means of terrain analysis and process parameterisation. In: Micheli E., Nachtergaele F., and Montanarella L. (Eds). Soil Classification 2001 (2002), European Soil Bureau, Luxembourg 213-222 Research Report No. 7, EUR 20398 EN
7. Burrough P.A. Principles of Geographical Information Systems for Land Resources Assessments (1986), Clarendon Press, Oxford 194 pp.
8. Cauwe N., Vander Linden M., and Vanmontfort B. The Middle and Late Neolithic. In: Cauwe N., Hauzeur A., and Van Berg P.L. (Eds). Prehistory in Belgium. Anthropologica et Praehistorica 112 (2001) 77-90
9. Clark A. Seeing Beneath the Soil. Prospecting Methods in Archaeology (1990), Batsford, London
10. Cousserier, K., Meylemans, E., 2006. Centrale Archeologische Inventaris (CAI) II. Thematisch inventarisatie- en evaluatieonderzoek. VIOE rapporten 02, Brussel, 126 pp. (in Dutch).
11. Couvreur M., Menschaert J., Sevenant M., Ronse A., Van Landuyt W., De Blust G., Antrop M., and Hermy M. Ecodistricten en ecoregio's: gereedschappen voor Vlaams milieubeleid. Natuur.focus 3 2 (2004) 51-58 (in Dutch)
12. Crombé Ph., and Cauwe N. The Mesolithic. In: Cauwe N., Hauzeur A., and Van Berg P.L. (Eds). Prehistory in Belgium. Anthropologica et Praehistorica 112 (2001) 49-62
13. Dalla Bona L. Archaeological Predictive Modelling Project (1994), Ontario Ministry of Natural resources, Centre for Archaeological Resource Prediction, Thunder Bay
14. Deeben J., Hallewas D.P., and Maarleveld Th.J. Predictive modelling in archaeological heritage management of the Netherlands: the indicative map of archaeological values (2nd generation). Berichten van de Rijksdienst voor het Oudheidkundig Bodemonderzoek 45 (2002) 9-56
15. De Decker S., Roymans, J.A.M., 2001. Ruilverkaveling Merksplas; archeologische verwachtings- en beleidsadvieskaart. RAAP rapport 695, Amsterdam (in Dutch).
16. Ebert J.I. Distributional Archaeology (1992), Univ. of New Mexico, Salt Lake City
17. Efron B. Nonparametric estimates of standard error: the jackknife, the bootstrap and other methods. Biometrika 68 (1981) 589-599
18. Espa G., Benedetti R., De Meo A., Ricci U., and Espac S. GIS based models and estimation methods for the probability of archaeological site location. Journal of Cultural Heritage 7 (2006) 147-155
19. Gerlach R. Wie dynamisch sind die geogenen Grundlagen einer archäologischen Prognose? Die Veränderungen von Relief, Boden und Wasser seit dem Neolithikum. In: Kunow J., and Müller J. (Eds). Symposium on the Archaeology of Landscapes and Geographic Information Systems. Predictive Maps, Settlement Dynamics and Space and Territory in Prehistory. Vom 15. bis 19. Oktober 2001 in Wünsdorf. Forschungen zur Archäologie im Land Brandenburg vol. 8 (2003) Wünsdorf, pp. 89-98
20. Gorsevski P.V., Gessler P.E., and Jankowski P. Integrating a fuzzy k-means classification and a Bayesian approach for spatial prediction of landslide hazard. Journal of Geographical Systems 5 (2003) 223-251
21. Good I. Probability and the Weighting of Evidence (1950), Charles Griffin, New York
22. Goodman S.N. Toward evidence-based medical statistics. 2: the Bayes factor. Annals of Internal Medicine 130 12 (1999) 1005-1013
23. Goovaerts P. Geostatistics for Natural Resources Evaluation (1997), Oxford University Press, New York
24. Hanley J.A., and McNeil B.J. A method of comparing the areas under receiving operating characteristic curves derived from the same cases. Radiology 148 (1983) 839-843
25. Hanneman J. Aspekte inhaktlicher und räumlicher Datenintegration bei der Erstellung einer Bodenkonzeptskarte. In: Möller, and Helbig (Eds). GIS-gestützte Bewertung von Bodenfunktionen. Datengrundlagen und Lösungsansätze (2005), Wichmann Verlag, Heidelberg
26. Hengl T., Gruber S., and Shrestha D.P. Digital Terrain Analysis in ILWIS. Lecture Notes (2003), International Institute for Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation (ITC), Enschede, Netherlands. 56 pp. Available from: http://www.itc.nl/personal/shrestha/DTA/
27. Hengl T., Walvoort D.J.J., and Brown A. A double continuous approach to visualisation and analysis of categorical maps. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 18 2 (2004) 183-202
28. Kamermans, H., Deeben, J., Hallewas, D., Van Leusen, M., Verhagen, Ph., Zoetbrood, P., 2004. Deconstructing the crystal ball: the state of the art in predictive modelling for archaeological heritage management in the Netherlands. In: Stadtarchäologie Wien, Enter the Past. The E-way into the Four Dimensions of Cultural Heritage. BAR International Series, vol. 1227, p. 175.
29. Koomen A., Maas G., and Jungerius P. Het stuifzandlandschap als natuurverschijnsel. Landschap 21 3 (2004) 159-169 (in Dutch)
30. Kvamme K.L. Computer processing techniques for regional modelling of archaeological locations. Advances in Computer Archaeology 1 (1983) 26-52
31. Kvamme K.L. The fundamental principles and practice of predictive archaeological modeling. In: Voorrips A. (Ed). Mathematics and Information Science in Archaeology: a Flexible Framework. Studies in Modern Archaeology vol. 3 (1990), Holos-Verlag, Bonn, Germany 257-295
32. Mallows C.L. Choosing a Subset Regression (1966), Joint Statistical Meetings, Los Angeles, CA
33. McBratney A.B., and Moore A.W. Application of fuzzy-sets to climatic classification. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 35 1-4 (1985) 165-185
34. Meylemans, E., 2004. Drie jaar Centrale Archeologische Inventaris: overzicht en stand van zaken (in Dutch). In: CAI-I. De opbouw van een archeologisch beleidsinstrument. IAP rapporten 14, Brussel, pp. 9-28. Available from: http://oar.vioe.be/item/1 (with English summary).
35. Millard A. What can Bayesian statistics do for archaeological predictive modelling?. In: Van Leusen M., and Kamermans H. (Eds). Predictive Modelling for Archaeological Heritage Management: a Research Agenda (2005) Nederlandse Archeologische Rapporten 29, pp. 169-182
36. Mills N. Sample bias, regional analysis and fieldwalking in British archaeology. In: Haselgrove C., Millet M., and Smith I. (Eds). Archaeology from the Ploughsoil (1985) Sheffield, pp. 39-47
37. Minasny B., and McBratney A.B. FuzME Version 3.0 (2002), Australian Centre for Precision Agriculture, The University of Sydney, Australia. http://www.usyd.edu.au/su/agric/acpa Available from:
38. Moore I.D., Gessler P.E., Nielsen G.A., and Peterson G.A. Soil attribute prediction using terrain analysis. Soil Science Society of America Journal 57 (1993) 443-452
39. Mullenders W., and Coremans M. Recherches palynologiques dans la vallée de la Grande Nèthe à Geel (Campine Belge). Bulletin de la Société Royale Botanique de Belgique 23 (1961) 131-136 (in French)
40. Munaut A.V., and Paulissen E. Evolution et paléo-écologie de la vallée de la Petite Nèthe au cours du Post-Würm (Belgique). Annales de la Societe Geologique de Belgique 96 (1973) 301-348 (in French)
41. Nicholls K.H., and Tudorancea C. Application of fuzzy cluster analysis to Lake Simcoe crustacean zooplankton community structure. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58 2 (2001) 231-240
42. OC GIS-Vlaanderen, 2000, Vlaamse Hydrografische atlas. MVG-LIN-AMINAL-Water, Version 2000.
43. Odeh I.O.A., McBratney A.B., and Chittleborough D.J. Soil pattern-recognition with fuzzy-c-means - application to classification and soil-landform interrelationships. Soil Science Society of America Journal 56 2 (1992) 505-516
44. Pebesma E.J. Multivariable geostatistics in S: the gstat package. Computers and Geosciences 30 (2004) 683-691
45. Peterson W.W., Birdsall T.G., and Fox W.C. The theory of signal detectibility. Transactions of the IRE Professional Group in Information Theory, PGIT 2-4 (1954) 171-212
46. R Development Core Team. R: a Language and Environment for Statistical Computing (2007), R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. 3-900051-07-0. http://www.R-project.org Available from:
47. Robberechts, B., 2004. Ruilverkaveling Zondereigen. Gemeenten Baarle-Hertog, Merksplas, Turnhout en Hoogstraten. Een archeologisch-cultuurhistorisch vooronderzoek. RAAP-rapport 1084, Amsterdam (in Dutch).
48. Simpson A.J., and Fitter M.J. What is the best index of detectability?. Psychological Bulletin 80 (1973) 481-488
49. Spiegelhalter D., Freedman L., and Parmar M. Bayesian approaches to randomized trials. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A 157 (1994) 357-387
50. Van Berg P.L., and Hauzeur A. The early Neolithic. In: Cauwe N., Hauzeur A., and Van Berg P.L. (Eds). Prehistory in Belgium. Anthropologica et Praehistorica 112 (2001) 63-76
51. Van Daele, K., De Meyer, M., Meylemans, E., 2004. De Centrale Archeologische Inventaris, een databank van archeologische vindplaatsen (in Dutch). In: CAI-I. De opbouw van een archeologisch beleidsinstrument. IAP rapporten 14, Brussel, 29-48. Available from: http://oar.vioe.be/item/2 (with english summary).
52. Van Dalen J. Probability modelling: a Bayesian and a geometric example. In: Gillings M. (Ed). Geographic Information Systems and Landscape Archaeology. The Archaeology of Meditteranean Landscapes vol. 3 (1999) Oxford, pp. 117-124
53. Van Gils, M., De Bie, M., 2006. Steentijd in de Kempen. Prospectie, kartering en waardering van het (laat)Paleolithisch en Mesolithisch erfgoed (in Dutch). In: Cousserier K., Meylemans, E. Centrale Archeologische Inventaris II (CAI-II): Thematisch inventarisatie- en evaluatieonderzoek. VIOE rapporten 2, Brussel, pp. 2-11. Available from: www.vioe.be/nl/uploads/b25.pdf (with english summary).
54. Vanacker V. Ruimtelijke modellering van de relatie tussen tussen fysische landschapskenmerken en het Mesolithisch nederzettingspatroon in de Antwerpse Noorderkempen. De Aardrijkskunde 3 (1999) 33-41
55. Van Leusen, M., Deeben, J., Hallewas, D., Zoetbrood, P., Kamermans, H., Verhagen, Ph., 2005. A baseline for predictive modelling in the Netherlands. In: Van Leusen M., Kamermans, H., Predictive Modelling for Archaeological Heritage Management: a Research Agenda. Nederlandse Archeologische Rapporten 29, pp. 25-92.
56. Verhaert, A., Annaert, R., Langohr, R., Cooremans, B., Gelorini, V., Bastiaens, J., Deforce, K., Ervynck, A., Desender, K., 2004. Een inheems-Romeinse begraafplaats te Klein-Ravels (gem. Ravels, prov. Antwerpen) (in Dutch). In: Archeologie in Vlaanderen VIII, pp. 165-218. Available from: http://oar.vioe.be/item/39 (with English summary).
57. Vitharana U.W.A., Van Meirvenne M., Simpson D., Cockx L., and De Baerdemaeker J. Key soil and topographic properties to delineate potential management classes for precision agriculture in the European loess area. Geoderma 143 (2008) 206-215
58. In: Westcott K.L., and Brandon R.J. (Eds). Practical Applications of GIS for Archaeologists. A Predictive Modelling Kit (2000) London
59. Zevenbergen L.W., and Thorne C.R. Quantitative analysis of land surface topography. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 12 (1987) 47-56