Environmental factors that influence the distribution of coral reef fishes: Modeling occurrence data for broad-scale conservation and management

Marine Ecology Progress Series

Volumn 361, Issue , 2008, Pages 1-13

  Beger, Maria ^a   Possingham, Hugh P ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND   (Australia)

Author keywords

Coral reef conservation; Coral reef fishes; Environmental parameters; GLM; Logistic regression; Species distribution modeling

Indexed keywords

COMPARATIVE STUDY; CONSERVATION MANAGEMENT; CONSERVATION PLANNING; CORAL REEF; ECOLOGICAL MODELING; ENVIRONMENTAL FACTOR; FISH; HABITAT SELECTION; MARINE PARK; REGRESSION ANALYSIS; RESERVE DESIGN; SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION;

ANTHOZOA; PISCES;

EID: 47149111210     PISSN: 01718630     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.3354/meps07481     Document Type: Article

References (66)

1. Akaike H (1974) A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control 19:716-723
2. Allen GR, Munday P (1994) Fish diversity of Kimbe Bay. The Nature Conservancy, Auckland
3. Allen GR, Steene R (1994) Indo-Pacific coral reef field guide. Tropical Reef Research, Singapore
4. Araujo MB, New M (2007) Ensemble forecasting of species distributions. Trends Ecol Evol 22:42-47
5. Austin MP (2002) Spatial prediction of species distribution: an interface between ecological theory and statistical modelling. Ecol Model 157:101-118
6. Beger M (2002) The diversity and status of coral reef fishes of eastern Kimbe Bay. The Nature Conservancy, Brisbane
7. Beger M, Jones GP, Munday PL (2003) Conservation of coral reef biodiversity: a comparison of reserve selection procedures for corals and fishes. Biol Conserv 111:53-62
8. Beger M, Jones GP, Possingham HP (2006) Models of coral reef fish biodiversity and species habitat association in conservation planning. In: Suzuki Y, Nakamori T, Hidaka M, Kayanne H and others (eds) Proceedings of the 10th international coral reef symposium. Japanese Coral Reef Society, Okinawa, p 1445-1456
9. Bellwood DR, Hughes TP, Connolly SR, Tanner J (2005) Environmental and geometric constraints on Indo-Pacific coral reef biodiversity. Ecol Lett 8:643-651
10. British Oceanographic Data Centre (2007) Gridded bathymetry data. Available at: www.bodc.ac.uk/data/online_delivery/gebco
11. Burnham KP, Anderson DR (1998) Model selection and inference: a practical information-theoretic approach. Springer-Verlag, New York
12. Cayuela L, Benayas JM, Justel A, Salas-Rey J (2006) Modelling tree diversity in a highly fragmented tropical montane landscape. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 15:602-613
13. Cleary DFR, Becking LE, de Voogd NJ, Renema W, de Beer M, van Soest RWM, Hoeksema BW (2005) Variation in the diversity and composition of benthic taxa as a function of distance offshore, depth and exposure in the Spermonde Archipelago, Indonesia. Estuar Coast Shelf Sci 65:557-570
14. CSIRO (Australian Commonwealth Scientific and Research Organization) (2006) Access to Bluelink ReANalysis (BRAN) output. Available at: www.marine.csiro.au/ofam1/
15. Directorate of Oceanography and Meteorology Australia (2007) Online data services. Available at: www.metoc.gov.au/products/data.html
16. Dormann CF, McPherson JM, Araujo MB, Bivand R and others (2007) Methods to account for spatial autocorrelation in the analysis of species distributional data: a review. Ecography 30:609-628
17. Dunk JR, Zielinski WJ, Preisler HK (2004) Predicting the occurrence of rare mollusks in northern California forests. Ecol Appl 14:713-729
18. Elith J (2000) Quantitative methods for modeling species habitat: comparative performance and application to Australian plants. In: Ferson S, Burgman M (eds) Quantitative methods for conservation biology. Springer-Verlag, New York, p 33-58
19. Elith J, Graham CH, Anderson RP, Dudik M and others (2006) Novel methods improve prediction of species' distributions from occurrence data. Ecography 29:129-151
20. Engler R, Guisan A, Rechsteiner L (2004) An improved approach for predicting the distribution of rare and endangered species from occurrence and pseudo-absence data. J Appl Ecol 41:263-274
21. Fabricius KE (2005) Effects of terrestrial runoff on the ecology of corals and coral reefs: review and synthesis. Mar Pollut Bull 50:125-146
22. Faith DP, Nix HA, Hutchinson MF, Stein JL and others (2000) The BioRap biodiversity assessment and planning study for Papua New Guinea. Pac Conserv Biol 6:279-288
23. Fulton CJ, Bellwood DR, Wainwright PC (2005) Wave energy and swimming performance shape coral reef fish assemblages. Proc R Soc Lond B 272:827-832
24. Garza-Perez JR, Lehmann A, Arias-Gonzalez JE (2004) Spatial prediction of coral reef habitats: integrating ecology with spatial modeling and remote sensing. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 269:141-152
25. Guisan A, Zimmermann NE (2000) Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol Model 135:147-186
26. Guisan A, Lehmann A, Ferrier S, Austin M, Overton JMC, Aspinall R, Hastie T (2006) Making better biogeographical predictions of species' distributions. J Appl Ecol 43:386-392
27. Harborne AR, Mumby PJ, Zychaluk K, Hedley JD, Blackwell PG (2006) Modeling the beta diversity of coral reefs. Ecology 87:2871-2881
28. Harrell FE (2001) Regression modeling strategies with applications to linear models, logistic regression and survival analysis. Springer-Verlag, New York
29. Holbrook SJ, Brooks AJ, Schmitt RJ (2002) Predictability of fish assemblages on coral patch reefs. Mar Freshw Res 53:181-188
30. Hugall A, Moritz C, Moussalli A, Stanisic J (2002) Reconciling paleodistribution models and comparative phylogeography in the Wet Tropics rainforest land snail Gnarosophia bellendenkerensis (Brazier, 1875). Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 99:6112-6117
31. Hughes TP, Baird AH, Bellwood DR, Card M and others (2003) Climate change, human impacts, and the resilience of coral reefs. Science 301:929-933
32. International Research Institute for Climate and Society (2007) Data library - wind vectors and sea surface temperatures. Available at: ingrid.Idgo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.IGOSS/TOGA-TAO.cdf/
33. Jones GP, McCormick MI, Srinivasan M, Eagle JV (2004) Coral decline threatens fish biodiversity in marine reserves. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101:8251-8253
34. Kelly NM, Fonseca M, Whitfield P (2001) Predictive mapping for management and conservation of seagrass beds in North Carolina. Aquat Conserv Mar Freshw Ecosyst 11:437-451
35. Lawler JJ, White D, Sifneos JC, Master LL (2003) Rare species and the use of indicator groups for conservation planning. Conserv Biol 17:875-882
36. Leathwick JR, Elith J, Francis MP, Hastie T, Taylor P (2006a) Variation in demersal fish species richness in the oceans surrounding New Zealand: an analysis using boosted regression trees. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 321:267-281
37. Leathwick JR, Elith J, Hastie T (2006b) Comparative performance of generalized additive models and multivariate adaptive regression splines for statistical modelling of species distributions. Ecol Model 199:188-196
38. Lehmann A, Overton JM, Austin MP (2002) Regression models for spatial prediction: their role for biodiversity and conservation. Biodivers Conserv 11:2085-2092
39. Lennon JJ, Koleff P, Greenwood JJD, Gaston KJ (2004) Contribution of rarity and commonness to patterns of species richness. Ecol Lett 7:81-87
40. Madin JS, Black KP, Connolly SR (2006) Scaling water motion on coral reefs: from regional to organismal scales. Coral Reefs 25:635-644
41. Manel S, Dias JM, Ormerod SJ (1999) Comparing discriminant analysis, neural networks and logistic regression for predicting species distributions: a case study with a Himalayan river bird. Ecol Model 120:337-347
42. Manly BFJ (1997) Randomization, bootstrap and Monte Carlo methods in biology. Chapman & Hall, London
43. McCullagh P, Nelder JA (1997) Generalised linear models. Chapman & Hall, London
44. Mora C, Chittaro PM, Sale PF, Kritzer JP, Ludsin SA (2003) Patterns and processes in reef fish diversity. Nature 421:933-936
45. Myers RF (1999) Micronesian reef fishes. Coral Graphics, Barrigada
46. NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) (2007) SeaWiFS project. Available at: oceancolor.gfsc.nasa.gov/SeaWiFS
47. National Geophysical Data Center NOAA (2007) Shoreline/Coastline data. Available at: www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/shorelines/shorelines.html
48. NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) (2007) Tides and currents. Available at: tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov
49. Peterson AT, Egbert SL, Sanchez-Cordero V, Price KP (2000) Geographic analysis of conservation priority: endemic birds and mammals in Veracruz, Mexico. Biol Conserv 93:85-94
50. Polasky S, Camm JD, Solow AR, Csuti B, White D, Ding RG (2000) Choosing reserve networks with incomplete species information. Biol Conserv 94:1-10
51. Possingham HP, Wilson KA, Andelman SJ, Vynne CH (2006) Protected areas: goals, limitations, and design. In: Groom MJ, Meffe GK, Carroll CR (eds) Principles of conservation biology. Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, MA, p 509-533
52. R Development Core Team (2005) R: a language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna
53. Roberts CM, McClean CJ, Veron JEN, Hawkins JP and others (2002) Marine biodiversity hotspots and conservation priorities for tropical reefs. Science 295:1280-1284
54. Robertson DR (2001) Population maintenance among tropical reef fishes: inferences from small-island endemics. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 98:5667-5670
55. Rondinini C, Wilson KA, Boitani L, Grantham H, Possingham HP (2006) Tradeoffs of different types of species occurrence data for use in systematic conservation planning. Ecol Lett 9:1136-1145
56. Smith LD, Hughes TP (1999) An experimental assessment of survival, re-attachment and fecundity of coral fragments. J Exp Mar Biol Ecol 235:147-164
57. Steinberg CR, Choukroun SM, Slivkoff MM, Mahoney MV, Brinkman RM (2006) Currents in the Bismarck Sea and Kimbe Bay, Papua New Guinea. TNC Pacific Island Countries Report No. 6/06, Australian Institute of Marine Science and The Nature Conservancy, Brisbane
58. Stumpf RP, Holderied K, Sinclair M (2003) Determination of water depth with high-resolution satellite imagery over variable bottom types. Limnol Oceanogr 48:547-556
59. Syms C, Jones GP (2004) Habitat structure, disturbance and the composition of sand-dwelling goby assemblages in a coral reef lagoon. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 268:221-230
60. Thomas CD, Cameron A, Green RE, Bakkenes M and others (2004) Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427:145-148
61. Tunnicliffe V (1982) The effects of wave-induced flow on a reef coral. J Exp Mar Biol Ecol 64:1-10
62. Venables WN, Dichmont CM (2004) GLMs, GAMs and GLMMs: an overview of theory for applications in fisheries research. Fish Res 70:319-337
63. Veron JEN (2000) Corals of the world. Australian Institute of Marine Science, Townsville
64. Victor S, Neth L, Gobuu Y, Wolanski E, Richmond RH (2006) Sedimentation in mangroves and coral reefs in a wet tropical island, Pohnpei, Micronesia. Estuar Coast Shelf Sci 66:409-416
65. Williams DM (1991) Patterns and processes in the distribution of coral reef fishes. In: Sale PF (ed) The ecology of fishes on coral reefs. Academic Press, San Diego, CA, p 437-474
66. Wintle BA, Elith J, Potts JM (2005) Fauna habitat modelling and mapping: a review and case study in the Lower Hunter Central Coast region of NSW. Austral Ecol 30:719-738