Prospective hot-spotting: The future of crime mapping?

British Journal of Criminology

Volumn 44, Issue 5, 2004, Pages 641-658

  Bowers, Kate J ^a   Johnson, Shane D ^a   Pease, Ken ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 4644347305     PISSN: 00070955     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1093/bjc/azh036     Document Type: Review

References (15)

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3. BROWN, P. J. B. (1991), 'Exploring Geodemographics', in I. Masser and M. Blakemore, eds, Geographic Information Management: Methodology and Applications, 221-58. London: Longman.
4. BRUNSDEN, C. (1995), 'Estimating Probability Surfaces for Geographical Points Data: An Adaptive Kernel Algorithm', Computers and Geosciences, 21: 877-94.
5. FARRELL, G. and PEASE, K. (2001), Repeat Victimisation. Monsey, NY: Criminal Justice Press.
6. GOODALL, B. (1987). The Penguin Dictionary of Human Geography. Harmondsworth, Middlesex: Penguin.
7. GORR, W. and OLLIGSCHLAEGER, A. (2002), Crime Hot Spot Forecasting: Modelling and Comparative Evaluation. Final Report to the National Criminal Justice Reference Service (NCJRS).
8. GROFF, E. R. and LAVIGNE, N. G. (2002), 'Forecasting the Future of Predictive Crime Mapping', in N. Tilley, ed., Analysis for Crime Prevention (Crime Prevention Studies Vol. 13). Monsey, NY: Criminal Justice Press.
9. JEFFERIS, E. S. and MAMALIAN, C. A. (1998), Crime Mapping Research Center's Hot Spot Project. The Second Annual Crime Mapping Research Conference, December, Arlington, VA, USA.
10. JOHNSON, S. D. and BOWERS, K. J. (2004a), 'The Burglary as a Clue to the Future: The Beginnings of Prospective Hot-Spotting', The European Journal of Criminology, 1: 237-255.
11. JOHNSON, S. D. and BOWERS, K. J. (2004b), 'The Stability of Space-Time Clusters of Burglary', British Journal of Criminology, 44: 55-65.
12. PEASE, K (1998), Repeat Victimisation: Taking Stock Crime Detection and Prevention Series, Paper 90. Home Office: London.
13. RATCLIFFE, J. (2000), 'Aoristic Analysis: The Spatial Interpretation of Unspecific Temporal Events', International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 14(7): 669-79.
14. ROSSMO, D. K. (1999), Geographic Profiling. Washington, DC: CRC Press LLC.
15. TOWNSLEY, M. and PEASE, K. (2002), 'Hot Spots and Cold Comfort: The Importance of Having a Working Thermometer', in N. Tilley, ed., Analysis for Crime Prevention (Crime Prevention Studies Vol. 13). Monsey, NY: Criminal Justice Press. Table 1: Percentage of burglaries correctly predicted using the three different hotspotting techniques (actual number of burglaries in parentheses).