Daily load forecasting and maximum demand estimation using ARIMA and GARCH

2006 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS

Volumn , Issue , 2006, Pages

  Hor, Ching Lai ^a,b   Watson, Simon J ^a,b   Majithia, Shanti ^c  

^a IEEE

^b LOUGHBOROUGH UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^c NATIONAL GRID   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

AR GARCH; ARIMA; Climate change; Daily load; Forecasting; Risk

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CONTROL; CLIMATOLOGY; ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING; ELECTRIC NETWORK ANALYSIS; ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS; ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION NETWORKS; ESTIMATION; FORECASTING; LOADS (FORCES); MOBILE TELECOMMUNICATION SYSTEMS; OCCUPATIONAL RISKS; POWER TRANSMISSION; PROBABILITY; PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS; REINFORCEMENT; RISK PERCEPTION; STATISTICS; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; WEATHER INFORMATION SERVICES;

APPLIED (CO); AUTO REGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA); CHALLENGING TASK; CONVENTIONAL MODELING; DECISION MAKER (DM); ELECTRICITY DEMANDS; ELECTRICITY NETWORKS; ENERGY FORECASTERS; EXTREME WEATHER; FINITE TIME SERIES; FUTURE CLIMATE; GENERALISED AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL HETEROSCEDASTICITY (GARCH); GRID REINFORCEMENT; HIGH QUALITY (HQ); HIGH TEMPERATURE (HT); INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES; LOAD DEMAND; LOAD FORECASTING; LOAD PATTERNS; LONG RANGE; LONG TERM; MAXIMUM DEMAND; MAXIMUM LOADS; MEAN ABSOLUTE PERCENTAGE ERROR (MAPE); PLANNING PURPOSES; POWER NETWORKS; POWER SYSTEMS; PRECIPITATION (METALLOGRAPHY); PROBABILISTIC METHODS; SHORT TIME; STUDENT T DISTRIBUTION; TEMPERATURE EXTREMES; TRAINING DATA; TRANSMISSION NETWORK; WEATHER EVENTS; WEATHER EXTREMES;

CLIMATE CHANGE;

EID: 46149113937     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS.2006.360237     Document Type: Conference Paper

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