Prediction of dynamic line rating based on assessment risk by time series weather model

2006 9th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS

Volumn , Issue , 2006, Pages

  Kim, Dong Min ^b   Cho, Jong Man ^c   Lee, Hyo Sang ^c   Jung, Hyun Soo ^d   Kim, Jin O ^a,b  

^a IEEE

^b Hanyang University   (South Korea)

^c Korea Power eXchange   (South Korea)

^d Samwon Electric Company   (South Korea)

Author keywords

Dynamic line rating; Forecast rating; Monte carlo simulation; Thermal overload risk; Time series

Indexed keywords

COSMIC RAY DETECTORS; DYNAMIC MODELS; ELECTRIC LINES; ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS; ELECTRIC POWER TRANSMISSION NETWORKS; FORECASTING; MONTE CARLO METHODS; POWER TRANSMISSION; PROBABILITY; RISK ASSESSMENT; STATISTICS; TIME SERIES ANALYSIS; TRANSMISSION LINE THEORY;

(N-1) CRITERION; APPLIED (CO); CASE STUDIES; INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES; MONTE CARLO SIMULATION (MCS); POWER SYSTEMS; PROBABILISTIC METHODS; TIME SERIES; TRANSMISSION CAPACITY (TC); TRANSMISSION LINE (TL); WEATHER CONDITIONS; WEATHER ELEMENTS; WEATHER MODELING;

ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING;

EID: 46149085904     PISSN: None     EISSN: None     Source Type: Conference Proceeding    
DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS.2006.360329     Document Type: Conference Paper

References (9)

1. D.A. Douglass and A.A Edris, "Real-Time monitoring and dynamic thermal rating of power transmission circuits", IEEE Trans. on Power Delivery, Vol. 11,No. 3, pp. 1407-1418, 1996.
2. J.S Engelhardt, S.P Babu, "Design, Installation, and Field Experience with an Overhead Transmission DLR System", Transmission and Distribution Conference, 15-20 Sept. 1996 pp. 366 - 370
3. J. K. Raniga, R. K. Rayudu, "Dynamic Rating of Transmission Lines - A New Zealand Experience", Power Engineering Society Winter Meeting, 23-27 Jan. 2000, IEEE Vol. 4, pp. 2403 - 2409
4. J.F.Hall and A.K.Deb, "Prediction of overhead transmission line ampacity by stochastic and deterministic models", IEEE Trans. on Power Delivery, Vol. 3, No.2, pp.789-800, 1988.
5. W.J. Steeley and A.K. Deb, "Ambient temperature correlated dynamic transmission line ratings at two PG&E location", IEEE Trans. on Power Delivery, Vol. 6, No.3, pp. 1234-1242, 1991.
6. Jun Zhang, Jian Pu, James D. MoCalley, Hal Stem, and William A. Gallus, Jr., "A Bayesian Approach for Short-Term Transmission Line Thermal Overload Risk Assessment", IEEE Trans. on Power Delivery, Vol. 17, No. 3, pp. 770-778, 2002.
7. From 1992 to 2002, DB of AWS in Korea Metrological Administration [Online]. Available: http://www.kma.go.kr/eng/index.jsp
8. N. Fisher, Statistical Analysis of Circular Data. Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge Univ. Press. 1993.
9. IEEE Standard for Calculating the Current-Temperature Relationship of Bare Overhead Conductors, IEEE Standard pp.738, 1993.