Exporting the ecological effects of climate change. Developed and developing countries will suffer the consequences of climate change, but differ in both their responsibility and how badly it will affect their ecosystems

EMBO Reports

Volumn 9, Issue SUPPL. 1, 2008, Pages

  Thomas, Chris D ^a   Ohlemüller, Ralf ^b   Anderson, Barbara ^a   Hickler, Thomas ^c   Miller, Paul A ^c   Sykes, Martin T ^c   Williams, John W ^d  

^a UNIVERSITY OF YORK   (United Kingdom)

^b DURHAM UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

^c LUND UNIVERSITY   (Sweden)

^d UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN MADISON   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CARBON DIOXIDE; FOSSIL FUEL;

AIR POLLUTION CONTROL; ARTICLE; BIODIVERSITY; CLIMATE CHANGE; DEVELOPED COUNTRY; DEVELOPING COUNTRY; ECOLOGICAL SPECIALIZATION; ECOLOGY; ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE; ENDEMIC SPECIES; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT; EVOLUTIONARY ADAPTATION; GEOGRAPHICAL VARIATION (SPECIES); GREENHOUSE EFFECT; GREENHOUSE GAS; HUMAN; NONHUMAN; PLANT ECOLOGY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; SEASONAL VARIATION; SPECIES EXTINCTION; VEGETATION;

ANIMALS; BIODIVERSITY; CARBON DIOXIDE; DEVELOPED COUNTRIES; DEVELOPING COUNTRIES; ECOSYSTEM; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; PLANTS;

EID: 45749143568     PISSN: 1469221X     EISSN: 14693178     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1038/embor.2008.42     Document Type: Article

References (25)

1. 2 and climate change: Results from six dynamic global vegetation models. Glob Chang Biol 7: 357-373
2. Franco AMA, Hill JK, Kitschke C, Collingham YC, Roy DB, Fox R, Huntley B, Thomas CD (2006) Impacts of climate warming and habitat loss on extinctions at species' low-latitude range boundaries. Glob Chang Biol 12:1545-1553
3. Gerten D, Schaphoff S, Haberlandt U, Lucht W, Sitch S (2004) Terrestrial vegetation and water balance: Hydrological evaluation of a dynamic global vegetation model. J Hydrol 286: 249-270
4. Hickler T, Prentice IC, Smith B, Sykes MT, Zaehle S (2006) Implementing plant hydraulic architecture within the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 15: 567-577
5. Hickling R, Roy DB, Hill JK, Fox R, Thomas CD (2006) The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewards. Glob Chang Biol 12: 450-455
6. IPCC (2001) Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Geneva, Switzerland: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. http://www.ipcc.ch
7. IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Geneva, Switzerland: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. http://www.ipcc.ch
8. Kintisch E (2006) Climate change. Along the road from Kyoto. Global greenhouse gas emissions keep rising. Science 311: 1702-1703
9. Malcolm JR, Liu CR, Neilson RP, Hansen L, Hannah L (2006) Global warming and extinctions of endemic species from biodiversity hotspots. Conserv Biol 20: 538-548
10. McClean Q et al (2005) African plant diversity and climate change. Ann Mo Bot Gard 92: 139-152
11. Ohlemüller R, Gritti ES, Sykes MT, Thomas CD (2006) Towards European climate risk surfaces: The extent and distribution of analogous and non-analogous climates 1931-2100. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 15: 395-405
12. Overpeck JT, Webb T, Prentice IC (1985) Quantitative interpretation of fossil pollen spectra: Dissimilarity coefficients and the method of modern analogs. Quaternary Res 23: 87-108
13. Parmesan C, Yohe G (2003) A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42
14. Pounds JA et al (2006) Widespread amphibian extinctions from epidemic disease driven by global warming. Nature 439: 161-167
15. Prentice IC et al (2007) Dynamic global vegetation modelling: quantifying terrestrial ecosystem responses to large-scale environmental change. In Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World, JG Canadell, DE Pataki, LF Pitelka (eds), pp 175-192. Berlin, Germany: Springer
16. Root TL, Price JT, Hall RK, Schneider SH, Rosenzweig C, Pounds JA (2003) Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants. Nature 421: 57-60
17. Scholze M, Knorr W, Arnell NW, Prentice IC (2006) A climate-change risk analysis for world ecosystems. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 103: 13116-13120
18. Sitch S et al (2003) Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model. Glob Chang Biol 9: 161-185
19. Thomas CD et al (2004) Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427: 145-148
20. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (1997) Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Bonn, Germany: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. http://www.unfccc.de
21. Walther GR, Post E, Convey P, Menzel A, Parmesan C, Beebee TJ, Fromentin JM, Hoegh-Goldberg O, Bairlein F (2002) Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature 416: 389-395
22. Walther GR, Berger S, Sykes MT (2005) An ecological 'footprint' of climate change. Proc R Soc Lond B 272: 1427-1432
23. Williams JW, Jackson ST, Kutzbach JE (2007) Projected distribution of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 104: 5738-5742
24. Williams SE, Bolitho EE, Fox S (2003) Climate change in Australian tropical rainforests: An impending environmental catastrophe. Proc R Soc Lond B 270: 1887-1892
25. Wilson RJ, Gutiérrez D, Gutiérrez J, Martinez D, Agudo R, Monserrat VJ (2005) Changes to the elevational limits and extent of species ranges associated with climate change. Ecol Lett 8: 1138-1146