메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 19, Issue 1, 2000, Pages 1-21

Forecasting an aggregate of cointegrated disaggregates

Author keywords

Aggregation; Error correction; Monte Carlo

Indexed keywords


EID: 4444355061     PISSN: 02776693     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1099-131x(200001)19:1<1::aid-for729>3.0.co;2-4     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (7)

References (18)
  • 1
    • 0002735854 scopus 로고
    • Correspondence on the selection of error measures for comparisons among forecasting methods
    • Armstrong, J. S. and Fildes, R. 'Correspondence on the selection of error measures for comparisons among forecasting methods', Journal of Forecasting, 14 (1995), 67-71.
    • (1995) Journal of Forecasting , vol.14 , pp. 67-71
    • Armstrong, J.S.1    Fildes, R.2
  • 2
    • 34248625602 scopus 로고
    • On the limitations of comparing mean square forecast errors
    • Clements, M. P. and Hendry, D. F. 'On the limitations of comparing mean square forecast errors', Journal of Forecasting, 12 (1993), 617-37.
    • (1993) Journal of Forecasting , vol.12 , pp. 617-637
    • Clements, M.P.1    Hendry, D.F.2
  • 3
    • 70350347433 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Forecast evaluation and combination
    • Maddala, G. S. and Rao, C. R. (eds), Amsterdam: North-Holland
    • Diebold, F. X. and Lopez, J. A. 'Forecast evaluation and combination', in Maddala, G. S. and Rao, C. R. (eds), The Handbook of Statistics, Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1996.
    • (1996) The Handbook of Statistics
    • Diebold, F.X.1    Lopez, J.A.2
  • 4
    • 0000013567 scopus 로고
    • Cointegration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing
    • Engle, R. F. and Granger, C. W. J. 'Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing', Econometrica, 55 (1987), 251-76.
    • (1987) Econometrica , vol.55 , pp. 251-276
    • Engle, R.F.1    Granger, C.W.J.2
  • 5
    • 45949119851 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting and testing in cointegrated systems
    • Engle, R. F. and Yoo, B. S. 'Forecasting and testing in cointegrated systems', Journal of Econometrics, 35 (1987), 143-59.
    • (1987) Journal of Econometrics , vol.35 , pp. 143-159
    • Engle, R.F.1    Yoo, B.S.2
  • 6
    • 84864410847 scopus 로고
    • Testing for a unit root in time series with pretest data-based model selection
    • Hall, A. 'Testing for a unit root in time series with pretest data-based model selection', Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12 (1994), 461-70.
    • (1994) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.12 , pp. 461-470
    • Hall, A.1
  • 7
    • 85017144515 scopus 로고
    • Is the price level tied to the M2 monetary aggregate in the long run?
    • Hallman, J. J., Porter, R. R. and Small, B. D. H. 'Is the price level tied to the M2 monetary aggregate in the long run?', American Economic Review, 81 (1991), 841-58.
    • (1991) American Economic Review , vol.81 , pp. 841-858
    • Hallman, J.J.1    Porter, R.R.2    Small, B.D.H.3
  • 8
    • 0003410290 scopus 로고
    • Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press
    • Hamilton, J. D. Time Series Analysis, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1994.
    • (1994) Time Series Analysis
    • Hamilton, J.D.1
  • 9
    • 0000936670 scopus 로고
    • When is an aggregate of a time series efficiently forecast by its past?
    • Kohn, R. 'When is an aggregate of a time series efficiently forecast by its past?', Journal of Econometrics, 18 (1982), 337-50.
    • (1982) Journal of Econometrics , vol.18 , pp. 337-350
    • Kohn, R.1
  • 11
    • 0000158117 scopus 로고
    • Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models
    • Johansen, S. 'Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models', Econometrica, 59 (1991), 1551-80.
    • (1991) Econometrica , vol.59 , pp. 1551-1580
    • Johansen, S.1
  • 12
    • 0001022674 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting contemporaneously aggregated vector ARMA processes
    • Lütkepohl, H. 'Forecasting contemporaneously aggregated vector ARMA processes', Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2 (1984a), 201-14.
    • (1984) Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , vol.2 , pp. 201-214
    • Lütkepohl, H.1
  • 13
    • 0012173230 scopus 로고
    • Linear transformations of vector ARMA processes
    • Lütkepohl, H. 'Linear transformations of vector ARMA processes', Journal of Econometrics, 26 (1984b), 283-94.
    • (1984) Journal of Econometrics , vol.26 , pp. 283-294
    • Lütkepohl, H.1
  • 14
    • 0000631178 scopus 로고
    • A note with quantiles of the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood cointegration rank test statistics
    • Osterwald-Lenum, M. 'A note with quantiles of the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood cointegration rank test statistics', Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 54 (1992), 461-72.
    • (1992) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics , vol.54 , pp. 461-472
    • Osterwald-Lenum, M.1
  • 15
    • 84981477914 scopus 로고
    • Vector autoregressive models with unit roots and reduced rank structure: Estimation, likelihood ratio test, and forecasting
    • Reinsel, G. C. and Ahn, S. K. 'Vector autoregressive models with unit roots and reduced rank structure: estimation, likelihood ratio test, and forecasting', Journal of Time Series Analysis, 13 (1992), 353-75.
    • (1992) Journal of Time Series Analysis , vol.13 , pp. 353-375
    • Reinsel, G.C.1    Ahn, S.K.2
  • 16
    • 0000997472 scopus 로고
    • Macroeconomics and reality
    • Sims, C. A. 'Macroeconomics and reality', Econometrica, 48 (1980), 1-49.
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 1-49
    • Sims, C.A.1
  • 17
    • 0000048080 scopus 로고
    • Vector autoregressions and causality
    • Toda, H. Y. and Phillips, P. C. B. 'Vector autoregressions and causality', Econometrica, 61 (1993), 1367-93.
    • (1993) Econometrica , vol.61 , pp. 1367-1393
    • Toda, H.Y.1    Phillips, P.C.B.2
  • 18
    • 84947516512 scopus 로고
    • Vector autoregression and causality: A theoretical overview and simulation study
    • Toda, H. Y. and Phillips, P. C. B. 'Vector autoregression and causality: a theoretical overview and simulation study', Econometric Reviews, 13 (1994), 259-85.
    • (1994) Econometric Reviews , vol.13 , pp. 259-285
    • Toda, H.Y.1    Phillips, P.C.B.2


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.