How scenarios support strategic early warning processes

Foresight

Volumn 6, Issue 3, 2004, Pages 173-185

  Fink, Alexander ^a   Siebe, Andreas ^a   Kuhle, Jens Peter ^a  

^a Scenario Management International AG   (Germany)

Author keywords

Business planning; Strategic management

Indexed keywords

EID: 4444304334     PISSN: 14636689     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1108/14636680410548392     Document Type: Review

References (24)

1. Ashley, W.C. and Morrison, J.L. (1997), "Anticipatory management: tools for better decision making", The Futurist, September/October, pp. 47-50.
2. Courtney, H. (2001), 2020 Foresight: Crafting Strategy in an Uncertain World, Harvard Business School Press, Cambridge, MA.
3. Fink, A. (2002), "Scenarios to plan", in Ringland, G. (Ed.), Scenarios in Business, Wiley, Chichester.
4. Fink, A. and Schlake, O. (2000), "Scenario management - an approach for strategic foresight", Competitive Intelligence Review, Vol. 11 No. 1, pp. 37-45.
5. Fink, A., Schlake, O. and Siebe, A. (2000), "Wie Sie mit Szenarien die Zukunft vorausdenken", Harvard Business Manager, pp. 34-47.
6. Fink, A., Schlake, O. and Siebe, A. (2001), Erfolg durch Szenario-Management: Prinzip und Werkzeuge der strategischen Vorausschau, Campus, Frankfurt.
7. Fink, A., Siebe, A. and Marr, B. (2002), "The future scorecard: the benefits of a combination of future scenarios with performance measurement", in Nealy, A. and Walters, A. (Eds), Performance Measurement and Management 2002: Research and Action, Centre for Business Performance. Cranfield School of Management, Cranfield.
8. Gausemeier, J., Fink, A. and Schlake, O. (1998), "Scenario management: an approach to develop future potentials", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 59, pp. 111-30.
9. Gomez, P. and Probst, G. (1995), Die Praxis des ganzheitlichen Problemlösens: Vernetzt denken, unternehmerisch handeln, persönlich überzeugen, Haupt, Bern.
10. Kaplan, R.S. and Norton, D.P. (2000), The Strategy-Focused Organization: How Business Scorecard Companies Thrive in the New Business Environment, Harvard Business School Press, Cambridge, MA.
11. Makridakis, S.G. (1990), Forecasting, Planning and Strategy for the 21st Century, Free Press, New York, NY.
12. Mitroff, I. and Linstone, H. (1993), Unbounded Mind: Breaking The Vahins of Traditional Business Thinking, Oxford University Press, New York, NY.
13. Moore, J.F. (1997), The Death of Competition. Leadership & Strategy in the Age of Business Ecosystems, HarperCollins, New York, NY.
14. Neely, A., Adams, C. and Kennerley, M. (2002), The Performance Prism: The Scorecard for Measuring Stakeholder Relationships, FT Prentice-Hall, London.
15. Ratcliffe, J. (2002), "Scenario planning: strategic interviews and conversations", foresight, Vol. 4 No. 1, pp. 19-30.
16. Schoemaker, P.J.H. (1995), "Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking", Sloan Management Review, Winter, pp. 25-40.
17. Tessun, F. (1997), "Scenario analysis and early warning systems at Daimler-Benz Aerospace", Competitive Intelligence Review, Vol. 8 No. 4, pp. 30-40.
18. Van der Heijden, K. (2002), The Sixth Sense: Accelerating Organizational Learning with Scenarios, Wiley, Chichester.
19. Wood, R. (2000), Managing Complexity: How Businesses Can Adapt and Prosper in the Connected Economy, Profile Books, London.
20. Zohar, D. (1997), Rewiring the Corporate Brain: Using the New Science to Rethink How We Structure and Lead Organizations, Berrett-Koehler, San Francisco, CA.
21. De Geus, A. (1997), The Living Company: Growth, Learning and Longevity in Business, Nicholas Brealey, London.
22. Fink, A., Schlake, O. and Siebe, A. (2000a), "Scenario management: integrating scenarios into strategic planning and early warning", Scenarios and Strategy Planning, August/September, pp. 10-13.
23. Hodgson, P. and White, R.P. (2001), Relax - It's Only Uncertainty: Lead the Way When the Way Is Changing, Pearson Education, Harlow/London.
24. Schoemaker, P.J.H. (2002), Profiting from Uncertainty: Strategies for Succeeding No Matter What the Future Brings, Free Press, New York, NY.