Doomed reservoirs in Kansas, USA? Climate change and groundwater mining on the Great Plains lead to unsustainable surface water storage

Journal of Hydrology

Volumn 354, Issue 1-4, 2008, Pages 90-101

  Brikowski, T H ^a  

^a UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AT DALLAS   (United States)

Author keywords

Arid zones; Global climate change; Groundwater mining; Water supply

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; STREAM FLOW; WATER SUPPLY;

ARID ZONES; GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE; GROUNDWATER MINING;

RESERVOIRS (WATER);

CLIMATE CHANGE; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; RESERVOIRS (WATER); STREAM FLOW; WATER SUPPLY;

ARID ENVIRONMENT; CLIMATE CHANGE; GROUNDWATER; MINING; STREAMFLOW; SURFACE WATER; WATER BUDGET; WATER RESOURCE; WATER STORAGE; WATER SUPPLY;

CEDAR BLUFF RESERVOIR; GREAT PLAINS; KANSAS; KEITH SEBELIUS RESERVOIR; KIRWIN RESERVOIR; NORTH AMERICA; OKLAHOMA [UNITED STATES]; OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE; OPTIMA LAKE; UNITED STATES; WEBSTER RESERVOIR;

EID: 43449119491     PISSN: 00221694     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.02.020     Document Type: Article

References (35)

1. Barnett, T.P., Pierce, D.W., 2008. When will Lake Mead go dry? Water Resour. Res., in press, doi:10.1029/2007WR006704.
2. Brikowski, T.H., Anderson, W.J., 2006. Storage efficiency: converting from surface to groundwater storage to survive long-term drought. Managing Drought and Water Scarcity in Vulnerable Environments: Creating a Roadmap for Change in the United States, 18 Sep.
3. 2 growth from economic activity, carbon intensity, and efficiency of natural sinks. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. (2007) 104
4. Chatfield C. Calculating interval forecasts. J. Busin. & Econ. Statist. 11 2 (1993) 121-135
5. Christensen N.S., and Lettenmaier D.P. A multimodel ensemble approach to assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology and water resources of the Colorado River Basin. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 11 (2007) 1417-1434
6. Christensen N.S., Wood A.W., Voisin N., Lettenmaier D.P., and Palmer R.N. The effects of climate change on the hydrology and water resources of the Colorado River basin. Climatic Change 62 1-3 (2004) 337-363
7. Conover W.J. Practical Non-Parametric Statistics. second ed. (1980), John Wiley and Sons, New York
8. Cook E.R., and Meko D. Drought reconstructions for the continental United States. J. Climate 12 (1999) 1145-1162
9. Dai A., Trenberth K.E., and Qian T. A global dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870-2002: relationship with soil moisture and effects of surface warming. J. Hydrometeorol. 5 (2004) 1117-1130
10. Ferrari, R.L., 2001. Cedar Bluff Reservoir 2000 Reservoir Survey. Tech. Rep., US Bureau of Reclamation, Denver Federal Center, Denver, CO, Mar.
11. Garbrecht J., Liew M.V., and Brown G.O. Trends in precipitation, streamflow, and evapotranspiration in the Great Plains of the United States. J. Hydrologic Eng. 9 5 (2004) 360-367
12. Garbrecht J.D., and Rossel F.E. Decade-scale precipitation increase in great plains at end of 20th century. J. Hydrologic. Eng. 7 1 (2002) 64-75
13. Garbrecht J.D., and Schneider J.M. Case study of multi-year precipitation variations and the hydrology of Fort Cobb Reservoir. J. Hydrol. Eng. 13 2 (2008) 64-70
14. Gutentag, E.D., Heimes, F.J., Krothe, N.C., Luckey, R.R., Weeks, J.B., 1984. Geohydrology of the high plains aquifer in parts of Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Texas and Wyoming. Professional Paper 1400-B.
15. Held I.M., and Soden B.J. Robust responses of the hydrological cycle to global warming. J. Climate 19 (2006) 5686-5699
16. Hoerling M., and Eischeid J. Past peak water in the Southwest. Southwest Hydrol. 6 1 (2007) 18-20
17. Hurd B., Leafy N., and Jones R. Relative regional vulnerability of water resources to climate change. JAWRA 35 6 (1999) 1399-1409
18. IPCC, 2000. Special report on emission scenarios. Tech. Rep., UN Intergov. Panel on climate change.
19. IPCC4, 2007. Climate change 2007. The Physical Science Basis, Summary for Policymakers (4th Climate Assessment Report). Tech. Rep., UN Intergov. Panel on Climate Change, 5 Feb, p. 18.
20. McGuire, V.L., 2007. Water-level changes in the high plains aquifer. Predevelopment to 2005 and 2003 to 2005. Scientific Investigations Report SIR 2006-5324, US Geol. Survey, Reston, VA.
21. Milly P.C.D., Dunne K.A., and Vecchia A.V. Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate. Nature 438 7066 (2005) 347-350
22. Pelletier J.D., and Turcotte D.L. Long-range persistence in climatological and hydrological time series: analysis, modeling and application to drought hazard assessment. J. Hydrol. 203 1-4 (1997) 198-208
23. Ratzlaff J.R. The effects of agricultural practices upon the hydrology of Cedar Bluff Reservoir, western Kansas. Compass 70 3 (1993) 92-99
24. Rosenberg N.J., Brown R.A., Izaurralde R.C., and Thomson A.M. Integrated assessment of Hadley Centre (HadCM2) climate change projections on agricultural productivity and irrigation water supply in the conterminous United States. Ag. Forest Meteorol. 117 1-2 (2003) 73-96
25. Sophocleous M. From safe yield to sustainable development of water resources - the Kansas experience. J. Hydrol. 235 1-2 (2000) 27-43
26. Sophocleous M. Groundwater recharge and sustainability in the High Plains aquifer in Kansas, USA. Hydrogeol. J. 13 (2005) 351-365
27. Streeter, T., 2007. The State of Kansas' Reservoirs. In: Proceedings Kansas Reservoir Summit. Kansas Water Office, 17 Oct.
28. USBR, 2007. HYDROMET Data System. website, US Bureau of Reclamation, 16 May. URL http://www.usbr.gov/gp/hydromet/index.cfm.
29. USGS, 2007. National Water Information System (NWIS). website, 16 May. URL http://water.usgs.gov/waterwatch/.
30. Wahl, K.L., Tortorelli, R.L., 1996. Changes in flow in the Beaver-North Canadian River Basin Upstream from Canton Lake, Western Oklahoma. Water Resour. Investig. 96-4304, US Geol. Survey, Reston, VA.
31. Wahl, K.L., Wahl, T.L., 1988. Effects of regional groundwater level declines on streamflow in the Oklahoma Panhandle. In: Proceedings of Symposium on Water-Use Data for Water Resources Management. AWRA, Tucson, AZ, Aug., pp. 239-249. URL http://.
32. Wen F., and Chen X. Evaluation of the impact of groundwater irrigation on streamflow in Nebraska. J. Hydrol. 327 3-4 (2006) 603-617
33. Whittemore, D.O., 2002. Recharge changes along rivers crossing the High Plains Aquifer. Geol. Soc. Amer. Abstr. w. Programs 34 (6), 98, Oct.
34. Woodhouse C.A., and Overpeck J.T. 2000 years of drought variability in the Central United States. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79 12 (1998) 2693-2714
35. Young, D.P., Buddemeier, R.W., 2002. Climate variation: implications of long-term records and recent observations. Open File Report OFR 2002-25E, Kansas Geol. Survey, The University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS.