Variability of seasonal-mean fields arising from intraseasonal variability. Part 2, application to nh winter circulations

Climate Dynamics

Volumn 23, Issue 2, 2004, Pages 193-206

  Frederiksen, C S ^a   Zheng, X ^b  

^a BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY RESEARCH CENTRE   (Australia)

^b NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF WATER AND ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (New Zealand)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

ATMOSPHERIC BLOCKING; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; GEOPOTENTIAL; SEASONAL VARIATION;

EID: 4344679798     PISSN: 09307575     EISSN: 14320894     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-004-0429-6     Document Type: Article

References (44)

1. Barnett TP (1985) Variations in near-global sea level pressure. J Atmos Sci 42: 478-501
2. Barnston AG, Livezey RE (1987) Classification, seasonality and persistence of low- frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon Weather Rev 115: 1083-1126
3. Defant A (1924) Die Schwankungen der atmospherischen Zirkulation ηber dem Nordatlantischen Ozean im 25-jahrigen Zeitraum 1881-1905. Geogr Ann 6: 13-41
4. Dole RM (1986) Persistent anomalies of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere wintertime circulation structure. Mon Weather Rev 114: 178-207
5. Frederiksen JS (1982) A unified three-dimensional instability theory of the onset of blocking and cyclogenesis. J Atmos Sci 39: 969-987
6. Frederiksen JS (1983) A unified three-dimensional instability theory of the onset of blocking and cyclogenesis. II: teleconnection patterns. J Atmos Sci 40: 2593-2609
7. Frederiksen JS, Bell RC (1987) Teleconnection patterns and the roles of baroclinic and topographic instability. J Atmos Sci 44: 2200-2218
8. Frederiksen JS, Bell RC (1990) North Atlantic blocking during January 1979: linear theory. Q J R Meteorol Soc 116: 1289-1313
9. Frederiksen CS, Frederiksen JS (1992) Northern Hemisphere storm tracks and teleconnection patterns in primitive equation and quasigeostrophic models. J Atmos Sci 49: 1443-1458
10. Frederiksen JS, Frederiksen CS (1993) Monsoon disturbances, intraseasonal oscillations, teleconnection patterns, blocking and storm tracks of the global atmosphere during January 1979 : linear theory. J Atmos Sci 50: 1349-1372
11. Frederiksen JS, Frederiksen CS (1997) Mechanisms of the formation of intraseasonal oscillations and Australian monsoon disturbances : the roles of latent heat, barotropic and baroclinic Instability. Contrib Atmos Phy 70: 39-56
12. Frederiksen JS, Puri K (1985) Nonlinear instability and error growth in northern hemisphere three-dimensional flows: cyclogenesis, onset-of-blocking and mature anomalies. J Atmos Sci 42: 1374-1397
13. Frederiksen JS, Webster PJ (1988) Alternative theories of atmospheric teleconnections and low-frequency fluctuations. Rev Geophys 26: 459-494
14. Frederiksen CS, Zheng X (2000) Chaos, potential predictability and model validation of climate variations. ANZIAM J 42(E): c608-c626
15. Gambo K, Weijing L (1987) Numerical simulation of eurasian teleconnection pattern in atmospheric circulation during the northern hemisphere winter. Adv Atmos Sci 4: 385-394
16. Hendon HH, Liebmann B (1990) A composite study of onset of the Australian summer monsoon. J Atmos Sci 47: 2227-2240
17. Huang J, Higuchi K, Shabbar A (1998): The relationship between North Atlantic Oscillation and with El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Geophys Res Letts 25: 2707-2710
18. Kalnay EM et al. (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77: 437-471
19. Karoly DJ, Plumb RA, Ting M (1989) Examples of the horizontal propagation of quasi-stationary waves. J Atmos Sci 46: 2802-2811
20. Kodera K (1998) Consideration of the origin of the different midlatitude atmospheric responses among el nino events. J Meterol Soc Jap 76: 347-361
21. Knutson TR, Weickmann KM (1987) 30-60 day atmospheric oscillations: composite life cycles of convection and circulation anomalies. Mon Weather Rev 115: 1407-1436
22. Kutzbach JE (1970) Large-scale features of monthly mean Northern Hemisphere anomaly maps of sea-level pressure. Mon Weather Rev 98: 708-716
23. Lau N-C, Lau K-M (1986) The structure and propagation of intraseasonal oscillations appearing in a GFDL GCM. J Atmos Sci 43: 2023-2047
24. Lau N-C, Nath MJ (1994) A modeling study of the relative roles of tropical and extropical SST anomalies in the variability of the global atmosphere-ocean system. J Clim 7: 1184-1207
25. Lau N-C, Nath MJ (1996) The role of the "atmospheric fridge" in linking tropical Pacific ENSO events to extratropical SST anomalies. J Clim 9: 2036-2057
26. Lejenäs H, Økland H (1983) Characteristics of Northern Hemisphere blocking as determined from a long time series of observational data. Tellus 35A: 350-362
27. Livezey RE, Mo KC (1987) Tropical extratropical teleconnections during the Northern Hemisphere winter, Part II: relationships between monthly mean Northern Hemisphere circulation patterns and proxies for tropical convection. Mon Weather Rev 115: 3115-3132
28. Madden RA (1976) Estimates of the natural variability of time averaged sea level pressure. Mon Weather Rev 104: 942-952
29. Madden RA, Julian PR (1971) Detection of a 40-50 day oscillation in zonal wind in the tropical Pacific. J Atmos Sci 28: 702-708
30. Madden RA, Julian PR (1972) Description of global scale circulation cells in the tropics with a 40-50 day period. J Atmos Sci 29: 1109-1123
31. Mo R, Fyfe J, Derome J (1998) Phase-locked and asymmetric correlations of the Wintertime atmospheric patterns with ENSO. Atmos Ocean 36: 213-239
32. Rayner NA, Parker DE, Folland CK, Alexander LV, Horton EB, Rowell DP (2003) Globally complete analyses of sea-surface temperature, sea-ice and marine air temperature, 1871-2000. J Geophys Res 180: 4407
33. Rodwell MJ, Folland CK (2002) Atlantic air-sea interaction and seasonal predictability. Q J R Meteorol Soc 128: 1413-1443
34. Rodwell MJ, Folland CK (2003) Atlantic air-sea interaction and model validation. Ann Geophys 46: 47-56.
35. Schubert SD, Parl C-K (1991) Low-frequency intraseasonal tropical-extratropical interactions. J Atmos Sci 47: 357-379
36. Simmons AJ, Wallace JM, Branstator GW (1983) Barotropic wave propagations and instability, and atmospheric teleconnection patterns. J Atmos Sci 40: 1363-1392
37. Thompson DWJ, Wallace JM (1998) The Arctic Oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields. Geophys Res Lett 25: 1297-1300
38. van Loon H, Rogers JC (1978) The seesaw in winter temperatures between Greenland and Northern Europe. Part 1: general description. Mon Weather Rev 106: 296-310
39. Walker GT, Bliss EW (1932) World Intraseasonal V. Mem. Roy Meteor Soc 4: 53-84
40. Wallace JM, Gutzler DS (1981) Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon Weather Rev 109: 784-812
41. Wilks DS (1995) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. Academic Press pp 467
42. Zheng X, Frederiksen CS (1999) Validating interannual variability in an ensemble of AGCM simulations. J Clim 12: 2386-2396
43. Zheng X, Frederiksen CS (2004) Variability of seasonal-mean fields arising from intraseasonal variability: Part 1, methodology. Clim Dyn (in press)
44. Zheng X, Nakamura H, Renwick JA (2000) Potential predictability of seasonal means based on monthly time series of meteorological variables. J Clim 13: 2591-2604