Regulatory foresight: Methodologies and selected applications

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Volumn 75, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 496-516

  Blind, Knut ^a,b  

^a FRAUNHOFER INSTITUTE FOR SYSTEMS AND INNOVATION RESEARCH ISI   (Germany)

^b TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITÄT BERLIN   (Germany)

Author keywords

Delphi Survey; Foresight; Indicators; Regulation; Standards

Indexed keywords

REGULATORY COMPLIANCE; STANDARDIZATION; STANDARDS;

DELPHI SURVEY; REGULATORY BODIES; REGULATORY FORESIGHT; REGULATORY FRAMEWORK; SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY;

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING;

COMPARATIVE STUDY; DELPHI ANALYSIS; REGULATORY APPROACH; SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY; STANDARD (REGULATION); STANDARDIZATION; TELECOMMUNICATION;

EID: 42949139920     PISSN: 00401625     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2008.02.004     Document Type: Article

References (51)

1. OECD. Regulatory Reform in the United States (1999), OECD, Paris
2. OECD. Regulatory Impact Analysis: Best Practices in OECD Countries (1997), OECD Publications Service, Paris
3. R.E. Löfstedt, The Swing of the Regulatory Pendulum in Europe: From Precautionary Principle to (Regulatory) Impact Analysis, AEI Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies (ed.), Working Paper 04-07, (2004).
4. OECD: Regulatory Performance: Ex Post evaluation of Regulatory Policies - Proceedings from the OECD Expert Meeting September 2003, OECD (ed.), Paris: OECD Publications Service, (2003).
5. European Commission. European Governance: Better Lawmaking (2002), COM, Brussels 275 final
6. Böhret C., and Konzendorf G. Handbuch Gesetzesfolgenabschätzung (GFA) - Gesetze, Verordnungen, Verwaltungsvorschriften (2001), NOMOS Verlagsgesellschaft, Baden-Baden
7. Tassey G. Methods for Assessing the Economic Impacts of Government R&D (2003), National Institute of Standards & Technology, Gaithersburg, MD
8. K. Blind, B. Bührlen, C. Kotz, K. Menrad, R. Walz, New Products and Services: Analysis of Regulations Shaping New Markets, European Commission DG Enterprise (ed.), Luxembourg, (2004).
9. Martin B.R. Foresight in science and technology. Technol. Anal. Strateg. Manag. 7 2 (1995) 139-168
10. Blind K., Cuhls K., and Grupp H. Current foresight activities in Central Europe. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 60 1 (1999) 15-35
11. Landeta J. Current validity of the Delphi method in social sciences. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 73 (2006) 467-482
12. Flechtheim O.K. Futurologie - Möglichkeiten und Grenzen, Frankfurt/M./ Berlin (1968)
13. Helmer O. Social Technology (1966), Basic Books, New York/London
14. Forrester J.W. Der teuflische Regelkreis: Das Globalmodell der Menschheitskrise, Stuttgart (1971)
15. Meadows D.L., Meadows D.H., Zahn E., and Milling P. The Limits to Growth (1972), Universe Books, New York
16. Helmer O. Analysis of the Future: The Delphi Method (1967), Rand Corporation, Santa Monica
17. Irvine J., and Martin B.R. Foresight in Science, Picking the Winners (1984), London, Dover
18. P. Swann: Do standards enable or constrain innovation? In: The Empirical Economics of Standards. Department of Trade and Industry (ed.), London, pp. 76-120, (2005).
19. G. Fahrenkrog, W. Polt, J. Rojo, A. Tübke, K. Zinöcker, RTD Evaluation Toolbox - Assessing the Socio-economic Impact of RTD-Policies, Seville: European Commission: Joint Research Centre, (eds.) (2002).
20. In: Moed H.F., Glänzel W., and Schmoch U. (Eds). Handbook of Quantitative Science and Technology Research (2004), Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht (The Netherlands)
21. Blind K. The Economics of Standards - Theory, Evidence, Policy (2004), Edward Elgar, Cheltenham
22. Schmoch U., Laville F., Patel P., and Frietsch R. Linking Technology Areas to Industrial Sectors, Final Report to the European Commission, DG Research, Karlsruhe (2003)
23. Blind K. Patent pools - a solution to patent conflicts in standardisation and an instrument of technology transfer. In: Jakobs K., Krechmer K., and Gyedi T. (Eds). Proceedings of the 3rd IEEE Conference on Standardisation and Innovation in Information Technology (2003) 27-35 Delft
24. Grupp H. The Foundations of the Economics of Innovation - Theory, Measurement and Practice (1998), Elgar, Cheltenham
25. Blind K. Driving forces for standardization in standards development organizations. Appl. Econ. 34 16 (2002) 1985-1998
26. Bekkers R., Duysters G., and Verspagen B. Intellectual property rights, strategic technology agreements and market structure - the case of GSM. Research Policy vol. 31 (7) (2002) 1141-1161
27. Koch K., Rafiquzzaman M., and Rao S. The Impact of Regulatory Policies on Innovation: Evidence from G-7 Countries (2004), Industry Canada, Ottawa
28. A. Bassanini, E. Ernst: Labour Market Institutions, Product Market Regulation, and Innovation: Cross Country Evidence, ECO/WKP (2002) 2, OECD (ed.), Paris.
29. Blum U., Töpfer A., Eickhoff G., and Junginger I. Gesamtwirtschaftlicher Nutzen der Normung: Unternehmerischer Nutzen - Beuth-Verlag, 2 Bände (2000), Beuth-Verlag, Berlin
30. Meeus M.T.H., Faber J., and Oerlemans L.A.G. Why do firms participate in standardization? An empirical exploration of the relation between isomorphism and institutional dynamics in standardization. Working Paper Department of Innovation Studies (2002), Univ. of Utrecht, Utrecht
31. Vad T. European Standardisation - why paradoxically small and unambitious?. EURAS Proceedings 2004 (2004), Wissenschaftsverlag Mainz in Aachen, Aachen 24-38
32. De Vries H.J. Standardization in service sectors - exploration of market needs in the Netherlands. Proceeding of the First Interdisciplinary Workshop on Standardization Research (1997), Universität der Bundeswehr, Hamburg 311-333
33. De Vries H.J. Standardization: a business approach to the role of national standardization organizations (1999), Kluwer Academic Publ., Boston
34. DIN: Standardisierung in der deutschen Dienstleistungswirtschaft - Potenziale und Handlungsbedarf - Beuth, DIN-Fachbericht 116, Berlin: Beuth, (ed.) (2002).
35. I. Mörschel, C. Schwengels: Standardisierungspotenziale für Dienstleistungen - Ergebnisse einer allgemeinen Bedarfserhebung, Standardisierung in der deutschen Dienstleistungswirtschaft - Potenziale und Handlungsbedarf. DIN Deutsches Institut für Normung (ed.). Berlin: Beuth Verlag GmbH, pp. 51-65 (2002).
36. Blind K. Standards in the Service Sectors: An Explorative Study - Report for DG Enterprise of the European Commission (2003), ISI, Karlsruhe
37. Blind K. A taxonomy of standards in the service sector: theoretical discussion and empirical test. Serv. Ind. J. 26 4 (2006)
38. European Commission Enterprise Directorate-General. Programming Mandate Addressed to CEN, CENELEC and ETSI in the Field of Services (2003), European Commission, Brussels
39. Blind K., and Gauch S. Frictions in the interface between nanotechnology research and standardisation in Germany: explanations and solutions. EURAS Proceedings 2006 (2006), Wissenschaftsverlag Mainz, Aachen 61-70
40. Gordon T.J., and Helmer O. Report on a Long-range Forecasting Study (1964), Rand Corporation, Santa Monica/California
41. Helmer O. Looking Forward. A Guide to Futures Research, Beverly Hills/London/New Delhi (1983)
42. Cuhls K. Technikvorausschau in Japan. Ein Rückblick auf 30 Jahre Delphi-Expertenbefragungen (1998), Physica Verlag, Heidelberg
43. National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP): The Fifth Technology Forecast Survey - Future Technology in Japan - (NISTEP Report No. 25, English translation of the 5th Japanese Delphi Report, abridged version), Tokyo.
44. Bundesministerium für Forschung und Technologie (BMFT): Deutscher Delphi-Bericht zur Entwicklung von Wissenschaft und Technik, Bonn, (ed.) (1993).
45. National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP); Science and Technology Agency (1997): The Sixth Technology Forecast Survey - Future Technology in Japan toward The Year 2025, No. 52, NISTEP Report, Tokyo, (1993).
46. Cuhls K., Blind K., and Grupp H. Delphi '98 Umfrage. Zukunft nachgefragt (1998), Studie zur globalen Entwicklung von Wissenschaft und Technik, Karlsruhe
47. Cuhls K., and Kuwahara T. Outlook for Japanese and German Future Technology, Comparing Technology Forecast Surveys (1994), Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg
48. Science and Technology Foresight Center (NISTEP). The Seventh Technoloy Forecast - Future Technology in Japan toward the Year 2030, No. 72, NISTEP Report, Tokyo (2001)
49. K. Cuhls, S. Breiner, H. Grupp, Delphi-Bericht 1995 zur Entwicklung von Wissenschaft und Technik - Mini-Delphi, Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF) (ed.), Bonn: BMBF, (1996).
50. Kuhlmann S., Bättig C., Cuhls K., and Peter V. Regulation und künftige Technikentwicklung, Technik, Wirtschaft und Politik. Schriftenreihe des Fraunhofer ISI; Bd. 31 (1998), Physica-Verl., Berlin
51. Blind K., and Goluchowicz K. Identifikation zukünftiger Standardisierungsfelder. DIN-Mitt. (Maerz) (2007) 6-10