Statistical downscaling of daily precipitation over Greece

International Journal of Climatology

Volumn 28, Issue 5, 2008, Pages 679-691

  Kioutsioukis, Ioannis ^a   Melas, Dimitrios ^a   Zanis, Prodromos ^a  

^a ARISTOTLE UNIVERSITY OF THESSALONIKI   (Greece)

Author keywords

Daily precipitation; Greece; Multi site rainfall; Non homogeneous hidden markov model; Statistical downscaling

Indexed keywords

HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS; OPTIMIZATION; STATISTICAL METHODS; WEATHER FORECASTING;

DAILY PRECIPITATION; MULTI-SITE RAINFALL; NON-HOMOGENEOUS HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL; STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING;

PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY);

ACCURACY ASSESSMENT; ANNUAL VARIATION; CORRELATION; DOWNSCALING; MARKOV CHAIN; OPTIMIZATION; PRECIPITATION ASSESSMENT; PRECIPITATION INTENSITY; PREDICTION; RAINGAUGE; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EURASIA; EUROPE; GREECE; SOUTHERN EUROPE;

EID: 42949122017     PISSN: 08998418     EISSN: 10970088     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1002/joc.1557     Document Type: Article

References (23)

1. Bellone E, Hughes JP, Guttorp P. 2000. A hidden Markov model for downscaling synoptic atmospheric patterns to precipitation amounts. Climate Research 15: 1-12.
2. Charles SP, Bates BC, Hughes JP. 1999. A spatiotemporal model for downscaling precipitation occurrence and amounts. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 104: 31 657-31 669.
3. Charles SP, Bates BC, Smith IN, Hughes JP. 2004. Statistical downscaling of daily precipitation from observed and modelled atmospheric fields. Hydrological Processes 18: 1373-1394.
4. Dempster AP, Laird NM, Rubin DB. 1977. Maximum likelihood from incomplete data via EM algorithm. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B-Methodological 39: 1-38.
5. Eshel G, Farrell B. 2000. Mechanisms of eastern Mediterranean rainfall variability. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 57: 3219-3232.
6. Haylock M, Goodness C. 2004. Interannual variability of European extreme winter rainfall and links witb mean large-scale circulation. International Journal of Climatology 24: 759-776.
7. Haylock MR, Cawley GC, Harpham C, Wilby RL, Goodess CM. 2006. Downscaling heavy precipitation over the United Kingdom: a comparison of dynamical and statistical methods and their future scenarios. International Journal of Climatology 22: 1397-1415.
8. Hughes JP, Guttorp P. 1994. Incorporating spatial dependence and atmospheric data in a model of precipitation. Journal of Applied Meteorology 33: 1503-1515.
9. Hughes JP, Guttorp P, Charles SP. 1999. A non-homogeneous hidden Markov model for precipitation occurrence. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, (Applied Statistics) 48: 15-30.
10. Kioutsioukis I, Rapsomanikis S, Loupa R. 2006. Robust stochastic seasonal precipitation scenarios. International Journal of Climatology 26: 2077-2095.
11. Kirshner S. 2005. Modeling of multivariate time series using hidden Markov models, PhD thesis, University of California, Irvine.
12. Kirshner S, Smyth P. 2005. The MVNHMM Toolbox. University of California: Irvine, CA, http://www.datalab.uci.edu/resources/mvnhmm/.
13. Mehrotra R, Sharma A, Cordery I. 2004. Comparison of two approaches for downscaling synoptic atmospheric patterns to multisite precipitation occurrence. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 109: 14 107-14 121.
14. Nicholls N. 1995. Long-term climate monitoring and extreme events. Climatic Change 31: 231-245.
15. Rabiner LR, Juang BH. 1986. An introduction to hidden Markov models. IEEE Transactions on Acoustic Speech Signal Processing 3: 4-16.
16. Robertson AW, Kirshner S, Smyth P. 2004. Downscaling of daily rainfall occurrence over Northeast Brazil using a hidden Markov model. Journal of Climate 17: 4407-4424.
17. Robertson AW, Kirshner S, Smyth P, Charles SP, Bates BC. 2006. Subseasonal-to-interdecadal variability of the Australian monsoon over North Queensland. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 132: 519-542.
18. Schmidli J, Frei C, Vidale PL. 2006. Downscaling from GCM precipitation: a benchmark for dynamical and statistical downscaling methods. International Journal of Climatology 26: 679-689.
19. von Storch H, Zwiers F. 1999. Statistical Analysis in Climate Research. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.
20. Widmann ML, Bretherton CS, Salathe EP. 2003. Statistical precipitation downscaling over the Northwestern United Statesusing numerically simulated precipitation as a predictor. Journal of Climate 16: 799-816.
21. Wilby RL, Charles SP, Zorita E, Timbal B, Whetton P, Mearns LO. 2004. Guidelines for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed from Statistical Downscaling Methods, Data Distribution Centre of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
22. Wilby RL, Wigley TML, Conway D, Jones PD, Hewitson BC, Main J, Wilks DS. 1998. Statistical downscaling of general circulation model output: a comparison of methods. Water Resources Research 34: 2995-3008.
23. Zorita E, von Storch H. 1999. The analog method as a simple statistical downscaling technique: comparison with more complicated methods. Journal of Climate 12: 2474-2489.