메뉴 건너뛰기




Volumn 14, Issue 5, 2008, Pages 1007-1025

The lead-lag relationship between cash and stock index futures in a new market

Author keywords

GIR analysis; Granger causality; Price discovery; Stock index futures markets; VECM GARCH; Volatility spillovers

Indexed keywords


EID: 42149156796     PISSN: 13547798     EISSN: 1468036X     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-036X.2007.00412.x     Document Type: Article
Times cited : (69)

References (44)
  • 1
    • 0000501656 scopus 로고
    • Information theory and the extension of the maximum likelihood principle
    • in. Petrov, B. N. and. Csaki, F., eds, Budapest Akademiai Kiado, pp.
    • Akaike, H. Information theory and the extension of the maximum likelihood principle in Petrov, B. N. and Csaki, F., eds, Proceeding of the Second International Symposium on Information Theory (Budapest Akademiai Kiado, 1973 pp. 267 81.
    • (1973) Proceeding of the Second International Symposium on Information Theory , pp. 267-81
    • Akaike, H.1
  • 2
    • 0009086382 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Market efficiency, thin trading and non-linear behaviour: Evidence from an emerging market
    • and. pp.
    • Antoniou, A. and Ergul, N. Market efficiency, thin trading and non-linear behaviour: evidence from an emerging market European Financial Management, Vol. 3, 1997, pp. 175 90.
    • (1997) European Financial Management , vol.3 , pp. 175-90
    • Antoniou, A.1    Ergul, N.2
  • 3
    • 84978555515 scopus 로고
    • Common volatility in S&P 500 stock index and S&P 500 index futures prices during October 1987
    • and. pp.
    • Arshanapalli, B. and Doukas, J. Common volatility in S&P 500 stock index and S&P 500 index futures prices during October 1987 Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 14, 1994, pp. 915 25.
    • (1994) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.14 , pp. 915-25
    • Arshanapalli, B.1    Doukas, J.2
  • 4
  • 6
    • 70349218800 scopus 로고
    • Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of dynamic models with time-varying covariances
    • and. pp.
    • Bollerslev, T. and Wooldridge, J. M. Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of dynamic models with time-varying covariances Econometric Reviews, Vol. 11, 1992, pp. 143 72.
    • (1992) Econometric Reviews , vol.11 , pp. 143-72
    • Bollerslev, T.1    Wooldridge, J.M.2
  • 7
    • 5344239698 scopus 로고
    • The international lead-lag effect between market returns: Comparisons of stock index futures and cash markets
    • and. pp.
    • Booth, G. G., Martikainen, T. and Puttonen, V. The international lead-lag effect between market returns: comparisons of stock index futures and cash markets International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Vol. 3, 1994, pp. 537 57.
    • (1994) International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money , vol.3 , pp. 537-57
    • Booth, G.G.1    Martikainen, T.2    Puttonen, V.3
  • 8
    • 0001559684 scopus 로고
    • A further analysis of the lead-lag relationship between the cash market and stock index futures market
    • pp.
    • Chan, K. A further analysis of the lead-lag relationship between the cash market and stock index futures market Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 5, 1992, pp. 123 52.
    • (1992) Review of Financial Studies , vol.5 , pp. 123-52
    • Chan, K.1
  • 9
    • 0000183335 scopus 로고
    • Intraday volatility in the stock index and stock index futures markets
    • and. pp.
    • Chan, K., Chan, K. C. and Karolyi, G. A. Intraday volatility in the stock index and stock index futures markets Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 4, 1991, pp. 657 84.
    • (1991) Review of Financial Studies , vol.4 , pp. 657-84
    • Chan, K.1    Chan, K.C.2    Karolyi, G.A.3
  • 10
    • 0032362713 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Information and volatility in futures and spot markets: The case of the Japanese Yen
    • and. pp.
    • Chatrath, A. and Song, F. Information and volatility in futures and spot markets: the case of the Japanese Yen Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 18, 1998, pp. 201 23.
    • (1998) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.18 , pp. 201-23
    • Chatrath, A.1    Song, F.2
  • 12
    • 0001675669 scopus 로고
    • Constraints on short-selling and asset price adjustment to private information
    • and. pp.
    • Diamond, D. W. and Verrecchia, R. E. Constraints on short-selling and asset price adjustment to private information Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 18, 1987, pp. 277 311
    • (1987) Journal of Financial Economics , vol.18 , pp. 277-311
    • Diamond, D.W.1    Verrecchia, R.E.2
  • 13
    • 0000472488 scopus 로고
    • Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root
    • and. pp.
    • Dickey, D. and Fuller, W. Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root Econometrica, Vol. 49, 1981, pp. 1057 72.
    • (1981) Econometrica , vol.49 , pp. 1057-72
    • Dickey, D.1    Fuller, W.2
  • 14
    • 11144278609 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Divergent opinions and the performance of value stocks
    • and. pp.
    • Doukas, J. A., Chansog, F. K. and Pantzalis, C. Divergent opinions and the performance of value stocks Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 60, 2004, pp. 55 64.
    • (2004) Financial Analysts Journal , vol.60 , pp. 55-64
    • Doukas, J.A.1    Chansog, F.K.2    Pantzalis, C.3
  • 15
    • 84993924525 scopus 로고
    • Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility
    • and. pp.
    • Engle, R. F. and Ng, V. K. Measuring and testing the impact of news on volatility Journal of Finance, Vol. 48, 1993, pp. 1749 78.
    • (1993) Journal of Finance , vol.48 , pp. 1749-78
    • Engle, R.F.1    Ng, V.K.2
  • 16
    • 45949119851 scopus 로고
    • Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems
    • and. pp.
    • Engle, R. F. and Yoo, B. S. Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 35, 1987, pp. 143 59.
    • (1987) Journal of Econometrics , vol.35 , pp. 143-59
    • Engle, R.F.1    Yoo, B.S.2
  • 17
    • 0030544148 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trading costs and the relative rates of price discovery in stock, futures and options markets
    • and. pp.
    • Fleming, J., Ostdiek, B. and Whaley, R. E. Trading costs and the relative rates of price discovery in stock, futures and options markets Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 4, 1996, pp. 353 87.
    • (1996) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.4 , pp. 353-87
    • Fleming, J.1    Ostdiek, B.2    Whaley, R.E.3
  • 18
    • 33746832945 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • The disposition effect and underreaction to news
    • pp.
    • Frazzini, A. The disposition effect and underreaction to news Journal of Finance, Vol. 61, 2006, pp. 2017 246.
    • (2006) Journal of Finance , vol.61 , pp. 2017-246
    • Frazzini, A.1
  • 19
    • 28144459550 scopus 로고
    • Some recent developments in a concept of causality
    • pp.
    • Granger, C. W. J. Some recent developments in a concept of causality Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 39, 1988, pp. 199 211.
    • (1988) Journal of Econometrics , vol.39 , pp. 199-211
    • Granger, C.W.J.1
  • 20
    • 35548931351 scopus 로고
    • Efficient test for normality, homoskedasticity and serial dependence of regression residuals
    • and. pp.
    • Jarque, C. M. and Bera, A. K. Efficient test for normality, homoskedasticity and serial dependence of regression residuals Economic Letters, Vol. 6, 1980, pp. 255 59.
    • (1980) Economic Letters , vol.6 , pp. 255-59
    • Jarque, C.M.1    Bera, A.K.2
  • 21
    • 0345510809 scopus 로고
    • Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors
    • pp.
    • Johansen, S. Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 12, 1988, pp. 231 54.
    • (1988) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control , vol.12 , pp. 231-54
    • Johansen, S.1
  • 22
    • 54049119473 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Pricing of futures contracts on coupon bonds: Empirical evidence from Finland
    • pp.
    • Kappi, J. Pricing of futures contracts on coupon bonds: empirical evidence from Finland European Financial Management, Vol. 3, 1997, pp. 321 32.
    • (1997) European Financial Management , vol.3 , pp. 321-32
    • Kappi, J.1
  • 23
    • 54049114927 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Hedging effectiveness of the Athens stock index futures contracts
    • and. forthcoming
    • Kavussanos, M. G. and Visvikis, I. D. Hedging effectiveness of the Athens stock index futures contracts European Journal of Finance, forthcoming, 2007.
    • (2007) European Journal of Finance
    • Kavussanos, M.G.1    Visvikis, I.D.2
  • 24
    • 36549080035 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • An EGARCH/GARCH examination of the relationship between stock returns and trading activity in an emerging capital market
    • and. pp.
    • Kavussanos, M. G. and Phylaktis, K. An EGARCH/GARCH examination of the relationship between stock returns and trading activity in an emerging capital market Greek Economic Review, Vol. 21, 2001, pp. 19 36.
    • (2001) Greek Economic Review , vol.21 , pp. 19-36
    • Kavussanos, M.G.1    Phylaktis, K.2
  • 25
    • 80053256245 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Price limits and stock market volatility in the Athens stock exchange
    • and. pp.
    • Kavussanos, M. G., Phylaktis, K. and Manalis, G. Price limits and stock market volatility in the Athens stock exchange European Financial Management, Vol. 5, 1999, pp. 69 84.
    • (1999) European Financial Management , vol.5 , pp. 69-84
    • Kavussanos, M.G.1    Phylaktis, K.2    Manalis, G.3
  • 26
    • 42449096254 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Price discovery in the Athens derivatives exchange: Evidence for the FTSE/ASE-20 futures market
    • pp.
    • Kenourgios, D. Price discovery in the Athens derivatives exchange: evidence for the FTSE/ASE-20 futures market Economic and Business Review, Vol. 6, 2004, pp. 229 43.
    • (2004) Economic and Business Review , vol.6 , pp. 229-43
    • Kenourgios, D.1
  • 27
    • 0033414392 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Trading costs and price discovery across stock index futures and cash markets
    • and. pp.
    • Kim, M., Szakmary, A. C. and Schwarz, T. V. Trading costs and price discovery across stock index futures and cash markets Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 19, 1999, pp. 475 98.
    • (1999) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.19 , pp. 475-98
    • Kim, M.1    Szakmary, A.C.2    Schwarz, T.V.3
  • 28
    • 8744258821 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Temporal relationships and dynamic interactions between spot and futures stock markets
    • and. pp.
    • Koutmos, G. and Tucker, M. Temporal relationships and dynamic interactions between spot and futures stock markets Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 16, 1996, pp. 55 69.
    • (1996) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.16 , pp. 55-69
    • Koutmos, G.1    Tucker, M.2
  • 29
    • 38149148141 scopus 로고
    • Spread and volatility in spot and forward exchange rates
    • pp.
    • Lee, T. H. Spread and volatility in spot and forward exchange rates Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 13, 1994, pp. 375 83.
    • (1994) Journal of International Money and Finance , vol.13 , pp. 375-83
    • Lee, T.H.1
  • 30
    • 0017846358 scopus 로고
    • On a measure of lack of fit in time series models
    • and. pp.
    • Ljung, M. and Box, G. On a measure of lack of fit in time series models Biometrica, Vol. 65, 1978, pp. 297 303.
    • (1978) Biometrica , vol.65 , pp. 297-303
    • Ljung, M.1    Box, G.2
  • 31
    • 84959710840 scopus 로고
    • Volume determination in stock and stock index futures markets: An analysis of arbitrage and volatility effects
    • Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
    • Merrick, J. Volume determination in stock and stock index futures markets: an analysis of arbitrage and volatility effects Working Paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, 1987).
    • (1987) Working Paper
    • Merrick, J.1
  • 32
    • 0042190576 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Efficiency in the pricing of the FTSE 100 futures contract
    • pp.
    • Miffre, J. Efficiency in the pricing of the FTSE 100 futures contract European Financial Management, Vol. 7, 2001, pp. 9 22.
    • (2001) European Financial Management , vol.7 , pp. 9-22
    • Miffre, J.1
  • 33
    • 84993915177 scopus 로고
    • Mean reversion of Standard & Poors 500 index basis changes: Arbitrage-induced or statistical illusion?
    • and. pp.
    • Miller, M. H., Muthuswamy, J. and Whaley, R. E. Mean reversion of Standard & Poors 500 index basis changes: arbitrage-induced or statistical illusion? Journal of Finance, Vol. 49, 1994, pp. 479 513.
    • (1994) Journal of Finance , vol.49 , pp. 479-513
    • Miller, M.H.1    Muthuswamy, J.2    Whaley, R.E.3
  • 34
    • 0033435580 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A further investigation of the lead-lag relationship between the spot market and stock index futures: Early evidence from Korea
    • and. pp.
    • Min, J. H. and Najand, M. A further investigation of the lead-lag relationship between the spot market and stock index futures: early evidence from Korea Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 19, 1999, pp. 217 32.
    • (1999) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.19 , pp. 217-32
    • Min, J.H.1    Najand, M.2
  • 35
    • 77956888124 scopus 로고
    • Testing for a unit root in time series regressions
    • and. pp.
    • Phillips, P. C. B. and Perron, P. Testing for a unit root in time series regressions Biometrica, Vol. 75, 1988, pp. 335 46.
    • (1988) Biometrica , vol.75 , pp. 335-46
    • Phillips, P.C.B.1    Perron, P.2
  • 36
    • 84977718754 scopus 로고
    • Information and volatility: The no-arbitrage martingale approach to timing and resolution irrelevancy
    • pp.
    • Ross, S. Information and volatility: The no-arbitrage martingale approach to timing and resolution irrelevancy Journal of Finance, Vol. 44, 1989, pp. 1 17.
    • (1989) Journal of Finance , vol.44 , pp. 1-17
    • Ross, S.1
  • 37
    • 0000120766 scopus 로고
    • Estimating the dimension of a model
    • pp.
    • Schwartz, G. Estimating the dimension of a model Annals of Statistics, Vol. 6, 1978, pp. 461 64.
    • (1978) Annals of Statistics , vol.6 , pp. 461-64
    • Schwartz, G.1
  • 38
    • 0030552959 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • A further investigation of the lead-lag relationship between the cash market and stock index futures market with the use of bid/ask quotes: The case of France
    • and. pp.
    • Shyy, G. Vijayraghavan, V. and Quinn, B. S. A further investigation of the lead-lag relationship between the cash market and stock index futures market with the use of bid/ask quotes: the case of France Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 16, 1996, pp. 405 20.
    • (1996) Journal of Futures Markets , vol.16 , pp. 405-20
    • Shyy, G.1    Vijayraghavan, V.2    Quinn, B.S.3
  • 39
    • 85007696257 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Index futures trading and spot price volatility: Evidence from an emerging market
    • pp.
    • Spyrou, S. Index futures trading and spot price volatility: evidence from an emerging market Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Vol. 4, 2005, pp. 151 67.
    • (2005) Journal of Emerging Market Finance , vol.4 , pp. 151-67
    • Spyrou, S.1
  • 41
    • 0002912008 scopus 로고
    • A theory of trading in stock index futures
    • pp.
    • Subrahmanyam, A. A theory of trading in stock index futures Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 4, 1991, pp. 17 51.
    • (1991) Review of Financial Studies , vol.4 , pp. 17-51
    • Subrahmanyam, A.1
  • 42
    • 0035076767 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Equilibrium adjustment, basis risk and risk transmission in spot and forward foreign exchange markets
    • and. pp.
    • Wang, P. and Wang, P. Equilibrium adjustment, basis risk and risk transmission in spot and forward foreign exchange markets Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 11, 2001, pp. 127 36.
    • (2001) Applied Financial Economics , vol.11 , pp. 127-36
    • Wang, P.1    Wang, P.2
  • 43
    • 0000095552 scopus 로고
    • A heteroskedastic-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity
    • pp.
    • White, H. A heteroskedastic-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity Econometrica, Vol. 48, 1980, pp. 817 38.
    • (1980) Econometrica , vol.48 , pp. 817-38
    • White, H.1
  • 44
    • 33645072225 scopus 로고    scopus 로고
    • Information uncertainty and stock returns
    • pp.
    • Zhang, X. F. Information uncertainty and stock returns Journal of Finance, Vol. 61, 2006, pp. 105 37.
    • (2006) Journal of Finance , vol.61 , pp. 105-37
    • Zhang, X.F.1


* 이 정보는 Elsevier사의 SCOPUS DB에서 KISTI가 분석하여 추출한 것입니다.