Spring and summer severe weather reports over the midwest as a function of convective mode: A preliminary study

Weather and Forecasting

Volumn 23, Issue 1, 2008, Pages 101-113

  Gallus Jr , William A ^a   Snook, Nathan A ^b   Johnson, Elise V ^c  

^a IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^b UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA   (United States)

^c University of Alabama in Huntsville   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

CLIMATE CHANGE; PRECIPITATION (METEOROLOGY); RAIN; STORMS; TORNADOES;

BOW ECHOES; CELLULAR CONVECTION; CELLULAR STORMS; CONVECTIVE STORMS;

WEATHER FORECASTING;

CONVECTIVE SYSTEM; FLOODING; HAIL; RADAR; RISK ASSESSMENT; SPRING (SEASON); STRATIFORM CLOUD; SUMMER; TORNADO; WEATHER FORECASTING;

EID: 41949114010     PISSN: 08828156     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1175/2007WAF2006120.1     Document Type: Article

References (28)

1. Billet, J., M. DeLisi, and B. G. Smith, 1997: Use of regression techniques to predict hail size and the probability of large hail. Wea. Forecasting, 12, 154-164.
2. Bluestein, H. B., and M. H. Jain, 1985: Formation of mesoscale lines of precipitation: Severe squall lines in Oklahoma during the spring. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 1711-1732.
3. Bluestein, H. B., E. W. McCaul Jr., G. P. Byrd, and G. R. Woodall, 1988: Mobile sounding observations of a tornadic storm near the dryline: The Canadian, Texas, storm of 7 May 1986. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116, 1790-1804.
4. Done, J., C. A. Davis, and M. Weisman, 2004: The next generation of NWP. Explicit forecasts of convection using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 5, 110-117.
5. Doswell, C. A., III, and D. W. Burgess, 1988: On some issues of United States tornado climatology. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116, 495-501.
6. Doswell, C. A., III, H. E. Brooks, and R. A. Maddox, 1996: Flash flood forecasting: An ingredients-based methodology. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 560-581.
7. Doswell, C. A., III, H. E. Brooks, and M. P. Kay, 2005: Climatological estimates of daily local nontornadic severe thunderstorm probability for the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 577-595.
8. Duke, J. W., and J. A. Rogash, 1992: Multiscale review of the development and early evolution of the 9 April 1991 derecho. Wea. Forecasting, 7, 623-635.
9. Fowle, M. A., and P. J. Roebber, 2003: Short-range (0-48 h) numerical prediction of convective occurrence, mode, and location. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 782-794.
10. Fujita, T. T., 1978: Manual of downburst identification for project NIMROD. SMRP Res. Paper 156, University of Chicago, 104 pp. [NTIS No. N78-30771/7GI.]
11. Grams, J. S., W. A. Gallus Jr., L. S. Wharton, S. E. Koch, A. Loughe, and E. E. Ebert, 2006: The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 288-306.
12. Miller, D. J., and R. H. Johns, 2000: A detailed look at extreme wind damage in derecho events. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4.3.
13. Moller, A. R., C. A. Doswell III, M. P. Foster, and G. R. Woodall, 1994: The operational recognition of supercell thunderstorm environments and storm structures. Wea Forecasting, 9, 327-347.
14. Parker, M. D., 2007a: Simulated convective lines with parallel stratiform precipitation. Part I: An archetype for convection in along-line shear. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 267-288.
15. Parker, M. D., 2007b: Simulated convective lines with parallel stratiform precipitation. Part II: Governing dynamics and associated sensitivities. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 289-313.
16. Parker, M. D., and R. H. Johnson, 2000: Organizational modes of midlatitude mesoscale convective systems. Mon. Wea Rev., 128, 3413-3436.
17. Parker, M. D., and R. H. Johnson, 2004: Simulated convective lines with leading precipitation. Part II: Evolution and maintenance. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 1656-1673.
18. Pettet, C. R., and R. H. Johnson, 2003: Airflow and precipitation structure of two leading stratiform mesoscale convective systems determined from operational datasets. Wea Forecasting, 18, 685-699.
19. Rotunno, R., J. B. Klemp, and M. L. Weisman, 1988: A theory for strong, long-lived squall lines. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 463-485.
20. Schumacher, R. S., and R. H. Johnson, 2005: Organization and environmental properties of extreme-rain-producing mesoscale convective systems. Mon. Wea Rev., 133, 961-976.
21. Schumacher, R. S., and R. H. Johnson, 2006: Characteristics of extreme U.S. rain events during 1999-2003. Wea Forecasting, 21, 69-85.
22. Smith, T. M., K. L. Ortega, K. A. Scharfenberg, K. L. Manross, and A. Witt, 2006: The Severe Hail Verification Experiment. Preprints, 23rd Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5.3.
23. Smull, B. F., and R. A. Houze, 1987: Rear inflow in squall lines with trailing stratiform precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 2869-2889.
24. Thompson, R. L., R. Edwards, J. A. Hart, K. L. Elmore, and P. M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.
25. Trapp, R. J., S. A. Tessendorf, E. Savageau Godfrey, and H. E. Brooks, 2005: Tornadoes from squall lines and bow echoes. Part I: Climatological distribution. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 23-34.
26. Trapp, R. J., D.-M. Wheatley, N. T. Atkins, R. W. Przybylinski, and R. Wolf, 2006: Buyer beware: Some words of caution on the use of severe wind reports in postevent assessment and research. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 408-415.
27. Verbout, S. M., H. E. Brooks, L. M. Leslie, and D. M. Schultz, 2006: Evolution of the U.S. tornado database: 1954-2003. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 86-93.
28. Weiss, S. J., J. A. Hart, and P. R. Janish, 2002: An examination of severe thunderstorm wind report climatology. Preprints, 21st Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 446-449.