Solar activity prediction: Timing predictors and cycle 24 (Journal of Geophysical Research (2002) 107:A11 DOI: 10.1029/2002JA009404);Solar activity prediction: Timing predictors and cycle 24

Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics

Volumn 107, Issue A11, 2002, Pages

  Schatten, Kenneth ^a  

^a ai Solutions Inc   (United States)

Author keywords

Geomagnetic activity; Solar activity; Solar cycle; Solar forecasting; Solar radio flux; Sunspot number; 7524 solar physics, astrophysics, and astronomy: Magnetic fields; 7534 solar physics, astrophysics, and astronomy: Radio emissions; 7536 solar physics, astrophysics, and astronomy: Solar activity cycle (2162)

Indexed keywords

EID: 41549107943     PISSN: None     EISSN: 21699402     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2003JA009843     Document Type: Erratum

References (20)

1. Brown, G. M., and W. R. Williams, Some properties of the day-to-day variability of Sq(H), Planet Space Sci., 17, 455-469, 1969.
2. Feynman, J., and X. Y. Gu, Prediction of geomagnetic activity on time scales of one to ten years, Rev. Geophys., 24, 650, 1986.
3. Harvey, K. L., and O. R. White, What is solar minimum?, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 19,759, 1999.
4. Hathaway, D. H., R. M. Wilson, and E. J. Reichman, A synthesis of solar cycle prediction techniques, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 22,375, 1999.
5. Joselyn, J. A., et al., Panel achieves consensus prediction of Solar Cycle 23, Eos Trans. AGU, 78, 205, 211-212, 1997.
6. Kurths, J., and A. Ruzmaikin, On forecasting sunspots numbers, Solar Phys., 126, 407-410, 1990.
7. Layden, A., P. Fox, J. Howard, A. Sarajedini, K. Schatten, and S. Sofia, Dynamo-based scheme for forecasting the magnitude of solar activity cycles, Solar Phys., 132, 1, 1991.
8. Ohl, A. I., Forecast of sunspot maximum number of cycle 20, Soln. Dann., 12, 84, 1966.
9. Ohl, A. I., and G. I. Ohl, A new method of very long-term prediction of solar activity, in Solar-Terrestrial Predictions Proceedings, vol. 2, edited by R. Donnelly, p. 258-263, NOAA/Space Environ. Lab., Boulder, Colo., 1979.
10. Ruzmaikin, A., and J. Feynman, Strength and phase of the solar dynamo during the last 12 cycles, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 15,783-15,789, 2001.
11. Schatten, K. H., and J. A. Orosz, A solar cycle timing predictor - The latitude of active regions, Solar Phys., 125, 185-189, 1990.
12. Schatten, K. H., and W. D. Pesnell, An early solar dynamo prediction: Cycle 23 ∼ Cycle 22, Geophys. Res. Lett, 20, 2275-2278, 1993.
13. Schatten, K. H., P. H. Scherrer, L. Svalgaard, and J. M. Wilcox, Using dynamo theory to predict the sunspot number during solar cycle 21″, Geophys. Res. Lett., 5, 411, 1978.
14. Schatten, K. H., D. J. Myers, and S. Sofia, Solar activity forecast for solar cycle 23, Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 605-608, 1996.
15. Sofia, S., P. Fox, and K. Schatten, Forecast update for activity cycle 23 from a dynamo-based method, Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 4149-4152, 1998.
16. Stix, M., On the origin of stellar macnetism, Astron. Astrophys., 47, 243-254, 1976.
17. Thompson, R. J., A technique for predicting the amplitude of the solar cycle, Solar Phys., 148, 383, 1993.
18. Tobiska, K. W., et al., The SOLAR2000 empirical solar irradiance model and forecast tool, J. Atmos. Solar Terr. Phys., 62, 1233-1250, 2000.
19. Waldmeier, M., Astron. Ergenbnisse nd Probleme der Sonnenforschung, 2nd ed., Geest and Porttig, Leipzig, 1955.
20. Waldmeier, M., the sunspot activity in the years 1610-1960, Astron. Mitt. Eidg. Sternw, 285, 286, 1968.