What age trajectories of cumulative deficits and medical costs tell us about individual aging and mortality risk: Findings from the NLTCS-Medicare data

Mechanisms of Ageing and Development

Volumn 129, Issue 4, 2008, Pages 191-200

  Yashin, Anatoli I ^a   Arbeev, Konstantin G ^a   Kulminski, Alexander ^a   Akushevich, Igor ^a   Akushevich, Lucy ^a   Ukraintseva, Svetlana V ^a  

^a DUKE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Cumulative deficits; Medical costs; Mortality; Quadratic hazard model; Stress resistance

Indexed keywords

AGING; ARTICLE; HEALTH CARE COST; HEALTH SERVICE; HEALTH SURVEY; MEDICAL FEE; MEDICARE; MORTALITY; PRIORITY JOURNAL; STOCHASTIC MODEL; STRESS;

AGE FACTORS; AGED; AGED, 80 AND OVER; AGING; FEMALE; HUMANS; MALE; MEDICARE; MORTALITY; PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS; RISK FACTORS; SEX CHARACTERISTICS; UNITED STATES;

EID: 39749119242     PISSN: 00476374     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.mad.2007.12.005     Document Type: Article

References (31)

1. Akaike H. New look at statistical-model identification. IEEE Trans. Autom. Control Ac19 (1974) 716-723
2. Arbeev K.G., Ukraintseva S.V., Arbeeva L.S., and Yashin A.I. Mathematical models for human cancer incidence rates. Demogr. Res. 12 (2005) 237-271
3. Bhattacharya J., Cutler D.M., Goldman D.P., Hurd M.D., Joyce G.F., Lakdawalla D.N., Panis C.W., and Shang B. Disability forecasts and future Medicare costs. Front Health Policy Res. 7 (2004) 75-94
4. Brown M.L., Riley G.F., Schussler N., and Etzioni R. Estimating health care costs related to cancer treatment from SEER-Medicare data. Med. Care 40 (2002) IV-104-117
5. Byrnes J.P., Miller D.C., and Schafer W.D. Gender differences in risk taking: a meta-analysis. Psychol. Bull. 125 (1999) 367-383
6. Fisher A.L. Just what defines frailty?. J. Am. Geriatr. Soc. 53 (2005) 2229-2230
7. Franceschi C., Valensin S., Bonafe M., Paolisso G., Yashin A.I., Monti D., and De Benedictis G. The network and the remodeling theories of aging: historical background and new perspectives. Exp. Gerontol. 35 (2000) 879-896
8. Goldman D.P., Shang B., Bhattacharya J., Garber A.M., Hurd M., Joyce G.F., Lakdawalla D.N., Panis C., and Shekelle P.G. Consequences of health trends and medical innovation for the future elderly. Health Affairs (Millwood) 24 Suppl. 2 (2005) W5R5-17
9. Hogan C., Lunney J., Gabel J., and Lynn J. Medicare beneficiaries' costs of care in the last year of life. Health Affairs (Millwood) 20 (2001) 188-195
10. Hoover D.R., Crystal S., Kumar R., Sambamoorthi U., and Cantor J.C. Medical expenditures during the last year of life: findings from the 1992-1996 Medicare current beneficiary survey. Health Services Res. 37 (2002) 1625-1642
11. Howard D.H., Culler S.D., Druss B.G., and Thorpe K.E. The relationship between ex ante mortality risk and end-of-life medical costs. Appl. Health Econ. Health Policy 5 (2006) 37-44
12. Husaini B.A., Sherkat D.E., Levine R., Bragg R., Holzer C., Anderson K., Cain V., and Moten C. Race, gender, and health care service utilization and costs among Medicare elderly with psychiatric diagnoses. J. Aging Health 14 (2002) 79-95
13. Kruger D.J., and Nesse R.M. Sexual selection and the male:female mortality ratio. Evol. Psychol. 2 (2004) 66-85
14. Kulminski A., Yashin A., Arbeev K., Akushevich I., Ukraintseva S., Land K., and Manton K. Cumulative index of health disorders as an indicator of aging-associated processes in the elderly: results from analyses of the National Long Term Care Survey. Mech. Ageing Dev. 128 (2007) 250-258
15. Kulminski A., Yashin A., Ukraintseva S., Akushevich I., Arbeev K., Land K., and Manton K. Accumulation of health disorders as a systemic measure of aging: findings from the NLTCS data. Mech. Ageing Dev. 127 (2006) 840-848
16. Kulminski A.M., Ukraintseva S.V., Akushevich I.V., Arbeev K.G., and Yashin A.I. Cumulative index of health deficiencies as a characteristic of long life. J. Am. Geriatr. Soc. 55 (2007) 935-940
17. Mitnitski A., and Rockwood K. Decrease in the relative heterogeneity of health with age: a cross-national comparison. Mech. Ageing Dev. 127 (2006) 70-72
18. Mitnitski A., Song X., and Rockwood K. The estimation of relative fitness and frailty in community-dwelling older adults using self-report data. J. Gerontol. A: Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 59 (2004) M627-M632
19. Mitnitski A.B., Mogilner A.J., and Rockwood K. Accumulation of deficits as a proxy measure of aging. Scientific World J. 1 (2001) 323-336
20. Rockwood K., Mitnitski A., Song X., Steen B., and Skoog I. Long-term risks of death and institutionalization of elderly people in relation to deficit accumulation at age 70. J. Am. Geriatr. Soc. 54 (2006) 975-979
21. Rockwood K., Mogilner A., and Mitnitski A. Changes with age in the distribution of a frailty index. Mech. Ageing Dev. 125 (2004) 517-519
22. Schachter F. Genetics of survival. Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci. 908 (2000) 64-70
23. Sloan F.A., Brown D.S., Carlisle E.S., Ostermann J., and Lee P.P. Estimates of incidence rates with longitudinal claims data. Arch. Ophthalmol. 121 (2003) 1462-1468
24. Strehler B.L., and Mildvan A.S. General theory of mortality and aging. Science 132 (1960) 14-21
25. Taylor Jr. D.H., Sloan F.A., and Doraiswamy P.M. Marked increase in Alzheimer's disease identified in medicare claims records between 1991 and 1999. J. Gerontol. A: Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 59 (2004) 762-766
26. Wang F., McDonald T., Reffitt B., and Edington D.W. BMI, physical activity, and health care utilization/costs among Medicare retirees. Obes. Res. 13 (2005) 1450-1457
27. Witteman J.C., Grobbee D.E., Valkenburg H.A., van Hemert A.M., Stijnen T., Burger H., and Hofman A. J-shaped relation between change in diastolic blood pressure and progression of aortic atherosclerosis. Lancet 343 (1994) 504-507
28. Yashin A.I., Arbeev K.G., Akushevich I., Kulminski A., Akushevich L., and Ukraintseva S.V. Stochastic model for analysis of longitudinal data on aging and mortality. Math. Biosci. 208 (2007) 538-551
29. Yashin A.I., Arbeev K.G., Kulminski A., Akushevich I., Akushevich L., and Ukraintseva S.V. Cumulative index of elderly disorders and its dynamic contribution to mortality and longevity. Rejuvenation Res. 10 (2007) 75-86
30. Yashin A.I., Arbeev K.G., Kulminski A., Akushevich I., Akushevich L., and Ukraintseva S.V. Health decline, aging and mortality: how are they related?. Biogerontology 8 (2007) 291-302
31. Yashin A.I., Ukraintseva S.V., De Benedictis G., Anisimov V.N., Butov A.A., Arbeev K., Jdanov D.A., Boiko S.I., Begun A.S., Bonafe M., and Franceschi C. Have the oldest old adults ever been frail in the past? A hypothesis that explains modern trends in survival. J. Gerontol. A: Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. 56 (2001) B432-B442