Spatially explicit models to analyze forest loss and fragmentation between 1976 and 2020 in southern Chile

Ecological Modelling

Volumn 212, Issue 3-4, 2008, Pages 439-449

  Echeverria, Cristian ^a,b   Coomes, David A ^c   Hall, Myrna ^d   Newton, Adrian C ^e  

^a UNIVERSITY OF CONCEPCIÓN   (Chile)

^b UNIVERSIDAD AUSTRAL DE CHILE   (Chile)

^c UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE   (United Kingdom)

^d STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK   (United States)

^e BOURNEMOUTH UNIVERSITY   (United Kingdom)

Author keywords

Chile; Deforestation; GEOMOD; Landscape indices; Logistic regression; Temperate forests

Indexed keywords

ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL EFFECTS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

LANDSCAPE INDICES; LOGISTIC REGRESSION;

DEFORESTATION;

BIODIVERSITY; DEFORESTATION; GIS; HABITAT FRAGMENTATION; HABITAT LOSS; LAND USE CHANGE; LANDSCAPE; LOGISTICS; PATCH DYNAMICS; POPULATION DECLINE; POPULATION DENSITY; RAINFOREST; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

DEFORESTATION; ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; REGRESSION ANALYSIS;

CHILE; SOUTH AMERICA;

EID: 39649100864     PISSN: 03043800     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.10.045     Document Type: Article

References (56)

1. Armenteras D., Gast F., and Villareal H. Andean forest fragmentation and the representativeness of protected natural areas in the eastern Andes, Colombia. Biol. Conserv. 113 (2003) 245-256
2. Asbjornsen H., Ashton M., Vogt D., and Palacios S. Effects of habitat fragmentation on the buffering capacity of edge environments in a seasonally dry tropical oak forest ecosystem in Oaxaca, Mexico. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 103 (2004) 481-495
3. Bennett A. Linkages in the Landscape. The Role of Corridors and Connectivity in Wildlife Conservation (2003), IUCN, Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, UK 254 pp.
4. Bürgi M., Hersperger A.M., and Schneeberger N. Driving forces of landscape change-current and new directions. Landsc. Ecol. 19 (2004) 857-868
5. Castelletta M., Thiollay J., and Sodhi N. The effects of extreme forest fragmentation on the bird community of Singapore Island. Biol. Conserv. 121 (2005) 135-155
6. Chuvieco, E., 1996. Fundamentos de teledetección espacial. Ediciones RIALP, S.A., Third ed., Madrid, Spain, 568 pp.
7. CONAF, CONAMA, BIRF, Universidad Austral de Chile, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Universidad Católica de Temuco, 1999. Catastro y Evaluación de los Recursos Vegetacionales Nativos de Chile. Informe Nacional con Variables Ambientales. Santiago, Chile, 88 pp.
8. Cornelius C., Cofre H., and Marquet P. Effects of habitat fragmentation on bird species in a relict temperate forest in semiarid Chile. Conserv. Biol. 14 (2000) 534-543
9. Crawley M. Statistical Computing. An Introduction to Data Analysis using S-PLUS (2005), Wiley, USA 761 pp.
10. Dale V.H., and Pearson S.M. Quantifying habitat fragmentation due to land use change in Amazonia. In: Laurance W., and Bierregaard R. (Eds). Tropical Forest Remnants: Ecology, Management, and Conservation of Fragmented Communities (1997), The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, USA 400-414
11. Dalgaard P. Introductory Statistics with R (2002), Springer 267 pp
12. Donoso C. Bosques templados de Chile y Argentina: variación, estructura y dinámica (1993), Universitaria, Santiago, Chile 484 pp.
13. Donoso C., and Lara A. Utilización de los bosques nativos en Chile: pasado, presente y futuro. In: Armesto J.J., Villagrán C., and Arroyo M.K. (Eds). Ecología de los bosques nativos de Chile (1997), Editorial Universitaria, Santiago, Chile 335-362
14. Dytham C. Choosing and using Statistics: A Biologist's Guide (2003), Blackwell Science, York, UK pp. 218
15. Echeverría C., Coomes D., Salas J., Rey-Benayas J.M., Lara A., and Newton A. Rapid deforestation and fragmentation of Chilean temperate forests. Biol. Conserv. 130 (2006) 481-494
16. Echeverría C., Coomes D., Newton A., Rey-Benayas J.M., and Lara A. Impacts of forest fragmentation on species composition and forest structure in the temperate landscape in southern Chile. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 16 (2007) 426-439
17. Evans T., and Moran E. Spatial integration of social and biophysical factors related to land cover change. Popul. Dev. Rev. 28 (2002) 165-186
18. Fitzsimmons M. Effects of deforestation and reforestation on landscape spatial structure in boreal Saskatchewan, Canada. Forest Ecol. Manage. 174 (2003) 577-592
19. Forman R.T.T., and Godron M. Landscape Ecology (1986), John Wiley and Sons, USA 619 pp.
20. Franklin S. Remote Sensing for Sustainable Forest Management (2001), Lewis Publishers, USA 407 pp.
21. Hall, C.A.S., Tian, H., Qi Y., Pontius, G., Cornell, J., Uhlig, J., 1995a. Spatially explicit models of land use change and their application to the tropics. DOE Research Summary, No. 31. CDIAC, Oak Ridge National Lab.
22. Hall C.A.S., Tian H., Qi Y., Pontius G., Cornell J., and Uhlig J. Modeling spatial and temporal patterns of tropical land use change. J. Biogeogr. 22 (1995) 753-757
23. Herrmann H., Babbitt K., Baber M., and Gongalton R. Effects of landscape characteristics on amphibian distribution in a forest-dominated landscape. Biol. Conserv. 123 (2005) 139-149
24. Imbernon J., and Branthomme A. Characterization of landscape patterns of deforestation in tropical rain forests. Inter. J. Remote Sens. 22 (2001) 1753-1765
25. Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias (INIA), 1985. Suelos volcánicos de Chile. Ministerio de Agricultura, Santiago, Chile.
26. Janssen I., Kruemmelbein J., Hora R., and Ellies A. Physical and hydraulic properties of the Nadi soils in south Chile-comparison between untilled and tilled soil. Revista de la Ciencia del Suelo y Nutrición Vegetal 4 (2004) 14-28
27. Lara, A., Echeverría, C., Reyes, R., 2002. Bosques. In: Centro de Análisis de Políticas Públicas. Universidad de Chile (Ed.). Informe País: Estado del Medio Ambiente en Chile-2002. Santiago, Chile, pp. 131-160.
28. Laurance W.F. Reflections on the tropical deforestation crisis. Biol. Conserv. 91 (1999) 109-117
29. Laurance W.F., Lovejoy T.E., Vasconcelos H.L., Bruna E.M., Didham R.K., Stouffer P.C., Gascon C., Bierregaard R.O., Laurance S.G., and Sampiao E. Ecosystem decay of Amazonian forest fragments: a 22-year investigation. Conserv. Biol. 16 (2002) 605-618
30. Martínez-Morales M. Landscape patterns influencing bird assemblages in a fragmented neotropical cloud forest. Biol. Conserv. 121 (2005) 117-126
31. McConnell W., Sweeney S., and Mulley B. Physical and social access to land: spatio-temporal patterns of agricultural expansion in Madagascar. Agriculture. Ecosyst. Environ. 101 (2004) 171-184
32. Metzger J.P. Tree functional group richness and landscape structure in a Brazilian tropical fragmented landscape. Ecol. Applic. 10 (2000) 1147-1161
33. McGarigal, K., Cushman, S.A., Neel, M.C., Ene, E., 2002. Fragstats: spatial pattern analysis program for categorical maps. Retrieved January 20, 2003, from University of Massachusetts, Landscape Ecology Program web site: http://www.umass.edu/landeco/research/fragstats/fragstats.html.
34. Millington A.C., Velez-Liendo X.M., and Bradley A.V. Scale dependence in multitemporal mapping of forest fragmentation in Bolivia: implications for explaining temporal trends in landscape ecology and applications to biodiversity conservation. J. Photogr. & Remote Sens. 57 (2003) 289-299
35. Monserud R.A., and Leemans R. Comparing global vegetation maps with the Kappa statistic. Ecol. Model. 62 (1992) 275-293
36. Myers N., Mittermeler R.A., Mittermeler C.G., da Fonseca G.A.B., and Kent J. Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities. Nature 403 (2000) 853-858
37. Pearson S., Turner M., and Drake J. Landscape change and habitat availability in the southern Appalachian Highlands and Olympic Peninsula. Ecol. Applic. 9 (1999) 1288-1304
38. Pontius R.G. Quantification error versus location error in comparison of categorical maps. Photogr. Eng. Remote Sens. 66 (2000) 1011-1016
39. Pontius R.G. Statistical methods to partition effects of quantity and location during comparison of categorical maps at multiple resolutions. Photogr. Eng. Remote Sens. 68 (2002) 1041-1049
40. Pontius R.G., Cornell J., and Hall C. Modelling the spatial pattern of land-use change with GEOMOD2: application and validation for Costa Rica. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 85 (2001) 191-203
41. Pontius R.G., Agrawal A., and Huffaker D. Estimating the uncertainty of land-cover extrapolations while constructing a raster map from tabular data. J. Geogr. Syst. 5 (2003) 253-273
42. Porej D., Micacchion M., and Hetherington T.E. Core terrestrial habitat for conservation of local populations of salamanders and wood frogs in agricultural landscapes. Biol. Conserv. 120 (2004) 399-409
43. Reed R., Johnson-Barnard J., and Baker W. Fragmentation of a forested rocky mountain landscape, 1950-1993. Biol. Conserv. 75 (1996) 267-277
44. Reed M., and Levine S. A model for behavioral regulation of metapopulation dynamics. Ecol. Model. 183 (2005) 411-423
45. Reyes, R., 2000. Caracterización de los sistemas de producción y comercialización de leña para la ciudad de Puerto Montt, X Región. Thesis, Facultad de Ciencias Forestales, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
46. Saunders D.A., Hobbs R.J., and Margules C.R. Biological consequences of ecosystem, fragmentation: a review. Conserv. Biol. 5 (1991) 18-32
47. Schlatter J., Gerding V., and Huber H. Sistema de Ordenamiento de la Tierra. Herramienta para la planificación forestal aplicado a la X Región. Serie Técnica. Facultad de Ciencias Forestales (1995), Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia
48. Schneider L., and Pontius R.G. Modeling land-use change in the Ipswich watershed, Massachusetts, USA. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 85 (2001) 83-94
49. Serneels S., and Lambin E. Proximate causes of land-cover change in Narok District, Kenya: a spatial statistical model. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 85 (2001) 65-81
50. Staus N., Strittholt J., Dellasala D., and Robinson R. Rate and patterns of forest disturbance in the Klamath-Siskiyou ecoregion, USA between 1972 and 1992. Landsc. Ecol. 17 (2002) 455-470
51. Turner M.G., Gardner R.H., and O'Neill R.V. Landscape Ecology in Theory and Practice: Pattern and Process (2001), Springer, New York 497 pp.
52. Vergara P. Predation on bird nests in forest edges of a National Reserve of the Coastal Range of the Maule Region. In: Smith-Ramirez C., Armesto J.J., and Valdovinos C. (Eds). Historia, biodiversidad y ecología de los bosques costeros de Chile (2005), Editorial Universitaria, Santiago, Chile 578-585
53. Williams N.G., McDonnell M.J., and Seager E. Factors influencing the loss of an endangered ecosystem in an urbanizing landscape: a case study of native grasslands from Melbourne, Australia. Landsc. Urban Plan. 71 (2005) 35-49
54. Willson M., De Santo T.I., Sabag C., and Armesto J.J. Avian communities of fragmented south-temperate rainforests in Chile. Conserv. Biol. 8 (1994) 508-520
55. Wilson K., Newton A., Echeverría C., Weston C., and Burgman M. A vulnerability analysis of the temperate forests of south central Chile. Biol. Conserv. 122 (2005) 9-21
56. Zipperer W.C., Burgess R.L., and Nyland R.D. Patterns of deforestation and reforestation in different landscape types in central New York. Forest Ecol. Manage. 36 (1990) 103-117