A test of real-time prediction of magnetic cloud topology and geomagnetic storm occurrence from solar signatures

Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics

Volumn 106, Issue A12, 2001, Pages 29185-29194

  McAllister, A H ^a,b   Martin, S F ^a   Crooker, N U ^c   Lepping, R P ^d   Fitzenreiter, R J ^d  

^a Helio Research   (United States)

^b NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH   (United States)

^c BOSTON UNIVERSITY   (United States)

^d NASA GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER   (United States)

Author keywords

[No Author keywords available]

Indexed keywords

EID: 39449115020     PISSN: None     EISSN: 21699402     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1029/2000ja000032     Document Type: Article

References (50)

1. Bothmer, V., and D. M. Rust, The field configuration of magnetic clouds and the solar cycle, in Coronal Mass Ejections, , vol. 99, edited by N. Crooker, J. Joselyn, and J. Feynman, pp. 139-146, AGU, Washington, D.C., 1997.
2. Bothmer, V., and R. Schwenn, Eruptive prominences as sources of magnetic clouds in the solar wind, , 70, 215-220, 1994.
3. Bothmer, V., and R. Schwenn, The structure and origin of magnetic clouds in the solar wind, , 16, 1-24, 1998.
4. Brueckner, G. E., et al., Geomagnetic storms caused by coronal mass ejections (CMEs): March 1996 through June 1997, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 25, 3019-3022, 1998.
5. Burlaga, L. P., Magnetic clouds, in Physics of the Inner Heliosphere II, edited by R. Schwenn and E. Marsch, pp. 1-22, Springer-Verlag, New York, 1991.
6. Burlaga, L. P., K. W. Behannon, and L. W. Klein, Compound streams, magnetic clouds, and major geomagnetic storms, J. Geophys. Res., , 92, 5725-5734, 1987.
7. Chen, J., Theory of prominence eruption and propegation: Interplanetary consequences, J. Geophys. Res., , 101, 27,499-27,519, 1996.
8. Crooker, N. U., and E. W. Cliver, Reply to the comment by W. D. Gonzalez, A. L. Clua de Gonzalez, and B. T. Tsurutani on "The semiannual variation of great geomagnetic storms and the postshock Russell-McPherron effect preceeding coronal mass ejecta", by N. U. Crooker, E. W. Cliver, and B. T. Tsurutani, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 20, 1661-1662, 1993.
9. Crooker, N. U., and E. W. Cliver, Postmodern view of M-regions, J. Geophys. Res., , 99, 23,383-23,390, 1994.
10. Crooker, N. U., E. W. Cliver, and B. T. Tsurutani, The semiannual variation of great geomagnetic storms and the postshock Russell-McPherron effect preceeding coronal mass ejecta, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 19, 429-432, 1992.
11. Crooker, N. U., et al., Sector boundary transformation by an open magnetic cloud, J. Geophys. Res., , 103, 26,859-26,868, 1998.
12. Dodson, H. W., and E. R. Hedeman, Problems of differentiation of flares with respect to geophysical effects, , 12(5), 393-418, 1964.
13. Fairfield, D. H., Average and unusual locations of the Earth's magnetopause and bow shock, J. Geophys. Res., , 76, 6700-6716, 1971.
14. Gosling, J. T., Coronal mass ejections and magnetic flux ropes in interplanetary space, in Physics of Magnetic Flux Ropes, , vol. 58, edited by C. T. Russell, E. R. Priest, and L. C. Lee, pp. 343-364, AGU, Washington, D.C., 1990.
15. Hanaoka, Y., et al., Simultaneous observations of a prominence eruption followed by a coronal arcade formation in radio, soft x-ray and Hα, , 46, 205-216, 1994.
16. Howard, R. A., D. J. Michels, N. R. Sheeley, and M. J. Koomen, The observation of a coronal transient directed at the Earth, Astrophys. J., , 263, L101-L104, 1982.
17. Hundhausen, A. J., Coronal mass ejections, in Cosmic Winds and The Heliosphere, edited by J. R. Jokipii, C. P. Sonett, and M. S. Giampapa, pp. 256-296, Univ. of Ariz. Press, Tucson, 1997.
18. Joselyn, J. A., and P. S. McIntosh, Disappearing solar filaments: A useful predictor of geomagentic activity, J. Geophys. Res., , 86, 4555-4564, 1981.
19. Khan, J. I., Y. Uchida, A. McAllister, Z. Mouradian, I. Soru-Escaut, and E. Hiei, Yohkoh soft x-ray observations related to the prominence eruption, flare and coronal mass ejections of 1992, May 7, Astron. Astrophys., , 336(14), 753-768, 1998.
20. Lernen, J. R., L. W. Acton, D. Alexander, A. B. Galvin, K. L. Harvey, J. T. Hoeksema, X. Zhao, and H. S. Hudson, Solar identification of solar-wind disturbances observed at Ulysses, in Solar Wind Eight, edited by D. Winterhalter, et al., pp. 92-95, it AIP Conf. Proc., 382, 1996.
21. Lepping, R. P., J. A. Jones, and L. F. Burlaga, Magnetic field structure of interplanetary magnetic clouds at 1 AU, J. Geophys. Res., , 95, 11,957-11,965, 1990.
22. Low, B. C., and D. F. Smith, The free energies of partially-open coronal magnetic fields, Astrophys. J., , 410, 413-425, 1993.
23. Martin, S., and A. H. McAllister, Predicting the sign of helicity in erupting filaments and coronal mass ejections, in Coronal Mass Ejections, , vol. 99, edited by N. Crooker, J. Joselyn, and J. Feynman, pp. 127-138, AGU, Washington, D.C., 1997.
24. Martin, S. F., and A. H. McAllister, The chirality of x-ray coronal arcades overlying Hα filaments, Astrophys. J., , in press, 1999.
25. Martin, S. F., W. H. Marquette, and R. Bilimoria, The solar cycle pattern in the direction of the magnetic field along the long axes of polar filaments, in The Solar Cycle, Astron. Soc. Pacific Conf. Ser. 27, edited by K. L. Harvey, pp. 53-, 1992.
26. Martin, S. F., R. Bilimoria, and P. W. Tracadas, Magnetic field configurations basic to filament channels and filaments, in Solar Surface Magnetism, edited by R. Rutten, and C. J. Schrijver, pp. 303-338, Kluwer Acad., Norwell, Mass., 1994.
27. Marubashi, K., Structure of the interplanetary magnetic clouds and their solar origins, , 6, 335-338, 1986.
28. Marubashi, K., Interplanetary flux ropes and solar filaments, in Coronal Mass Ejections, , vol. 99, edited by N. Crooker, J. Joselyn, and J. Feynman, pp. 147-156, AGU, Washington, D.C., 1997.
29. McAllister, A. H., and N. U. Crooker, Coronal mass ejections, corotating interaction regions, and geomagnetic storms, in Coronal Mass Ejections, , vol. 99, edited by N. Crooker, J. Joselyn, and J. Feynman, pp. 279-289, AGU, Washington, D.C., 1997.
30. McAllister, A., Y. Uchida, S. Tsuneta, K. Strong, L. Acton, E. Hiei, M. Brunner, T. Watanabe, and K. Shibata, The structure of the coronal soft x-ray source associated with the dark filament disappearence of September 28, 1991 using the Yohkoh soft x-ray telescope, , 44, L205-L210, 1992.
31. McAllister, A. H., H. Kurokawa, K. Shibata, and N. Nitta, A filament eruption and accompanying coronal field changes on November 5, 1992, , 169, 123 - -149, 1996a.
32. McAllister, A. H., M. Dryer, P. McIntosh, H. Singer, and L. A. Weiss, A large polar crown coronal mass ejection and a "problem" geomagnetic storm: April 14-23, 1994, J. Geophys. Res., , 101, 13,497-13,515, 1996b.
33. McAllister, A. H., A. J. Hundhuasen, D. MacKay, and E. Priest, The skew of polar crown x-ray arcades, in New Perspectives on Solar Prominences, edited by D. Webb, B. Schmieder, and D. Rust, ASP Conf. Ser., vol. 150, pp. 430-433, Astro. Soc. Pac., San Francisco, Calif., 1998.
34. McComas, D. J., J. T. Gosling, S. J. Bame, E. J. Smith, and H. V. Cane, A test of magnetic field draping induced bz perturbations ahead of fast coronal mass ejecta, J. Geophys. Res., , 94, 1265-1471, 1989.
35. Moore, R. L., B. Schmieder, D. H. Hathaway, and T. D. Tarbell, 3-D magnetic field configuration late in a large two-ribbon flare, , 176, 153 - -169, 1997.
36. Mulligan, T., C. T. Russell, and J. G. Luhmann, Solar cycle evolution of the structure of magnetic clouds in the inner heliosphere, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 25, 2959-2963, 1998.
37. Reiner, M. J., M. L. Kaiser, J. Fainberg, J.-L. Bougeret, and R. G. Stone, On the origin of radio emissions associated with the January 6-11, 1997 CME, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 25, 2493-2496, 1998.
38. Roelof, E. C., and D. G. Sibeck, Magnetopause shape as a bivariate function of interplanetary magnetic field Bz and solar wind dynamic pressure, J. Geophys. Res., , 98, 21,421-21,450, 1993.
39. Russell, C. T., and R. L. McPherron, Semiannual variation of geomagnetic activity, J. Geophys. Res., , 78, 92-108, 1973.
40. Rust, D. M., Spawning and sheeding helical magnetic fields in the solar atmosphere, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 21, 241-244, 1994.
41. Sheeley, N. R., et al., Coronal changes associated with a disappearing filament, , 45, 377 - -392, 1975.
42. Tsurutani, B. T., W. D. Gonzalez, F. Tang, S. I. Akasofu, and E. J. Smith, Origin of interplanetary southward magnetic fields responsible for major magnetic storms near solar maximum (1978-1979), J. Geophys. Res., , 93, 8519-8531, 1988.
43. Tsurutani, B. T., et al., The January 10, 1997 auroral hot spot, horseshoe aurora and first substorm: A CME loop? Geophys. Res. Lett., , 25, 3047-3050, 1998.
44. van Ballegooijen, A., N. P. Cartledge, and E. R. Priest, Magnetic flux transport and the formation of filament channels on the sun, Astrophys. J., , 501, 866-881, 1998.
45. Webb, D. F., A. S. Krieger, and D. M. Rust, Coronal x-ray enhancements associated with Hα filament disappearances, 48, 159, 1976.
46. Webb, D. F., E. W. Cliver, N. Gopalswamy, H. S. Hudson, and O. C. S. Cyr, The solar origin of the January 6, 1997 CME and subsequent geomagnetic cloud and storm, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 24, 2469-2472, 1998.
47. Weiss, L. A., J. T. Gosling, A. H. McAllister, D. J. McComas, A. J. Hundhausen, J. T. Burkepile, J. L. Phillips, K. T. Strong, and R. Forsyth, A comparison of Yohkoh soft x-ray coronal events with observations of coronal mass ejections at Ulysses, Astron. Astrophys., , 316, 384-395, 1996.
48. z polarity's change at 1 AU caused by shocks that precede coronal mass ejections, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 23, 1709-1712, 1996.
49. z event, J. Geophys. Res., , 97, 15,051-15,055, 1992.
50. Zhao, X.-P., and J. T. Hoeksema, Is the geoeffectiveness of the 6 January 1997 CME predictable from solar observations?, Geophys. Res. Lett., , 24, 2965-2968, 1997.