Methods for joint inference from multiple data sources for improved estimates of population size and survival rates

Marine Mammal Science

Volumn 20, Issue 3, 2004, Pages 401-423

  Goodman, Daniel ^a  

^a MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY   (United States)

Author keywords

Bayesian inference; Florida manatee; Integrated model; Joint likelihood; Jolly Seber; Lincoln Petersen; Mark recapture; Photo identification; Population estimation; Survival rate; Trichechus manatus latirostris

Indexed keywords

ESTIMATION METHOD; MARINE MAMMAL; MARK-RECAPTURE METHOD; POPULATION SIZE; SPECIES CONSERVATION; SURVIVAL;

MAMMALIA; TRICHECHUS; TRICHECHUS MANATUS; TRICHECHUS MANATUS LATIROSTRIS;

EID: 3943091243     PISSN: 08240469     EISSN: None     Source Type: Journal    
DOI: 10.1111/j.1748-7692.2004.tb01169.x     Document Type: Article

References (29)

1. ACKERMAN, B. B., S. D. WRIGHT, R. K. BONDE, D. K. ODELL AND D. J. BANOWETZ. 1995. Trends and patterns in the mortality of manatees in Florida, 1974-1991. Pages 223-238 in T. J. O'Shea, B. B. Ackerman and H. F. Percival, eds. Population biology of the Florida manatee. Information and Technology Report No. 1, National Biological Service, Washington, DC.
2. BECK, C. A., AND J. P. REID. 1995. An automated photo-identification catalog for studies of the life history of the Florida manatee. Pages 223-258 in T. J. O'Shea, B. B. Ackerman and H. F. Percival, eds. Population biology of the Florida manatee. Information and Technology Report No. 1., National Biological Service, Washington, DC.
3. CASELLA, G. 1986. Refining binomial confidence intervals. Canadian Journal of Statistics 14:113-129.
4. CATCHPOLE, E. A., S. N. FREEMAN, B. J. T. MORGAN AND M. P. HARRIS. 1998. Integrated recovery/recapture data analysis. Biometrics 54:33-46.
5. CHAPMAN, D. G. 1952. Inverse, multiple and sequential sample censuses. Biometrics 8:286-306.
6. CHAVEZ-DEMOULIN, V. 1999. Bayesian inference for small-sample capture-recapture data. Biometrics 55:727-731.
7. CORMACK, R. M. 1979. Models for capture-recapture. Pages 217-255 in R. M. Cormack, G. P. Patil and D. S. Robson, eds. Statistical ecology 5. International Co-operative Publishing House, Burtonsville, MD.
8. CRAIG, B. A., M. A. NEWTON, R. A. GARROTT, J. E. REYNOLDS III AND J. R. WILCOX. 1997. Analysis of aerial survey data on Florida manatee using Markov chain Monte Carlo. Biometrics 53:524-541.
9. DUPUIS, J. A. 1995. Bayesian estimation of movement and survival probabilities from capture-recapture data. Biometrika 82:761-772.
10. DYER, D., AND R. L. PIERCE. 1993. On the choice of the prior distribution in hypergeometric Sampling. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 22:2125-2146.
11. EBERHARDT, L. L., AND T. J. O'SHEA. 1995. Integration of manatee life-history data and population modeling. Pages 269-279 in T. J. O'Shea, B. B. Ackerman and H. F. Percival, eds. Population biology of the Florida manatee. Information and Technology Report No. 1, National Biological Service, Washington, DC.
12. FOURNIER, D. A., J. HAMPTON AND J. R. SIBERT. 1998. MULTIFAN-CL: a length-based, age-structured model for fisheries stock assessment, with application to South Pacific albacore, Thunnus alalunga. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 55:2105-2116.
13. GOODMAN, D. 2004. Taking the prior seriously: Bayesian analysis without subjective probability. In M. R. Taper and S. L. Lele, eds. The nature of scientific evidence. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL.
14. GOODMAN, D., AND S. BLACKER. 1998. Site cleanup: An integrated approach for project optimization to minimize cost and control risk. Pages 4329-4347 in R. A. Meyers, ed. Encyclopedia of environmental analysis and remediation, Wiley, New York, NY.
15. JOLLY, G. M. 1965. Explicit estimates from capture-recapture data with both death and immigration - stochastic model. Biometrika 52(1/2):225-247.
16. LANGTIMM, C. A., AND C. A. BECK. 2003. Lower survival probabilities for adult Florida manatees in years with intense coastal storms. Ecological Applications 13:257-268.
17. LEBRETON, J. D., K. P. BURNHAM, J. CLOBERT AND D. R. ANDERSON. 1992. Modelling survival and testing biological hypotheses using marked animals: A unified approach with case studies. Ecological Monographs 62:67-118.
18. LEFEBVRE, L. W., B. B. ACKERMAN, K. M. PORTIER AND K. H. POLLOCK. 1995. Aerial survey as a technique for estimating trends in manatee population size - problems and prospects. Pages 63-74 in T. J. O'Shea, B. B. Ackerman and H. F. Percival, eds. Population biology of the Florida manatee. Information and Technology Report No. 1. National Biological Service, Washington, DC.
19. MARMONTEL, M., S. R. HUMPHREY AND T. J. O'SHEA. 1997. Population viability analysis of the Florida manatee (Trichechus manatus latirostris), 1976-1991. Conservation Biology 11:467-481.
20. MAUNDER M. N. 2001. A general framework for integrating the standardization of catch-per-unit-of-effort into stock assessment models. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 58:795-803.
21. O'QUIGLEY, J. 1992. Estimating the binomial parameter n on the basis of pairs of known and observed proportions. Applied Statistics 41:173-180.
22. POLLOCK, K. H. 1991. Modeling capture, recapture, and removal statistics for estimation of demographic parameters for fish and wildlife populations: Past, present, and future. Journal of the American Statistical Association 86:225-238.
23. POLLOCK, K. H., J. D. NICHOLS, C. BROWNIE AND J. E. HINES. 1990. Statistical inference for capture-recapture experiments. Wildlife Monographs 107:1-97.
24. REYNOLDS, J. E., III. 1999. Efforts to conserve the manatees. Pages 267-295 in J. R. Twiss and R. R. Reeves, eds. Conservation and management of marine mammals. Smithsonian Institution Press, Washington, DC.
25. RUNGE, M. C., C. A. LANGTIMM AND W. L. KENDALL. 2004. A stage-based model of manatee population dynamics. Marine Mammal Science 20:361-385.
26. WADE, P. R. 2001. The conservation of exploited species in an uncertain world: Novel methods and the failure of traditional techniques. Pages 110-144 in J. D. Reynolds, G. M. Mace, K. H. Redford and J. G. Robinson, eds. Conservation of exploited species, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.
27. WIPER, M. P., AND L. I. PETTIT. 1994. Bayesian estimation of the binomial parameter n. Applied Statistics 43:223-236.
28. WRIGHT, I. E., B. B. ACKERMAN, R. K. BONDE, C. A. BECK AND D. J. BANOWETZ. 1995. Analysis of watercraft-related mortality of manatees in Florida, 1979-1991. Pages 259-268 in T. J. O'Shea, B. B. Ackerman and H. F. Percival, eds. Population biology of the Florida manatee. Information and Technology Report No. 1., National Biological Service, Washington, DC.
29. WRIGHT, S. D., J. E. REYNOLDS III, B. B. ACKERMAN, L. I. WARD, B. L. WEIGLE, AND W. A. SZELISTOWSKI. 2002. Trends in manatee (Trichechus manatus latirostris) counts and habitat use in Tampa Bay, 1987-1994: Implications for conservation. Marine Mammal Science 18:259-274.